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Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction & odds

Sturm Graz

22:00

Kick-off Thu 5 Nov, 22:00

Celje

Odds 1X2

1Sturm Graz1.52XDraw3.782Celje4.47

Merkur Arena

Sturm GrazvsCelje

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Europa League
Kick-off: Thu 5 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Merkur Arena
Capacity: 16,764
City: Graz

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Sturm Graz57%1.52

Draw23%3.78

Celje20%4.47

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 14.6%

Sturm Graz1.5257%Draw3.7823%Celje4.4720%

Double chance

Sturm Graz or Draw1.12Sturm Graz or Celje1.17Draw or Celje2.23

1st-half resultmargin 15.0%

Sturm Graz1.9545%Draw2.3837%Celje4.6119%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.7%

Sturm Graz1.9150%Celje1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Sturm Graz

29.10.26Austria CupA. LustenauSturm Graz32L
25.10.26Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazRied22D
22.10.26Europa LeagueSturm GrazMarseille10W
18.10.26Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazGrazer AK61W
15.10.26Europa LeagueBournemouthSturm Graz30L

Last matches: Celje

28.10.261-SNLO. LjubljanaCelje11D
25.10.26Slovenia CupKorotanCelje02W
22.10.26Europa LeagueCeljeSalzburg22D
18.10.261-SNLMariborCelje00D
15.10.26Europa LeagueCeljeOmonia03L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Sturm Graz2W 1D 2L · goals 11–9

L29.10Austria CupAA. Lustenau2–3
D25.10Austrian BundesligaHRied2–2
W22.10Europa LeagueHMarseille1–0
W18.10Austrian BundesligaHGrazer AK6–1
L15.10Europa LeagueABournemouth0–3

Celje1W 3D 1L · goals 5–6

D28.101-SNLAO. Ljubljana1–1
W25.10Slovenia CupAKorotan2–0
D22.10Europa LeagueHSalzburg2–2
D18.101-SNLAMaribor0–0
L15.10Europa LeagueHOmonia0–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Sturm GrazCelje

1.9Goals scored per game0.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.1

50%Both teams scored30%

70%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets4

30%Failed to score50%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Sturm GrazCelje

Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 5 gamesUEFA Europa League 2025/2026 · 4 games

1.0Goals scored2.0

1.6Goals conceded2.0

7.4Corners0.0

15.4Shots0.0

48%Possession–

2.2Yellow cards2.3

20%Clean sheets0%

20%Failed to score0%

2-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Europa League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
18	Din. Zagreb	3	-1	4	LWD
19	Sturm Graz	3	-2	4	WLD
20	Nijmegen	3	-3	4	WDL
28	Torreense	3	-3	3	LLW
29	Celje	3	-5	1	DLL
30	H. Beer Sheva	3	-5	1	LLD

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About this match

Sturm Graz vs Celje preview

On Thu, 5 Nov 2026 at 22:00, Sturm Graz take on Celje in the Europa League.

Form · last 5 matches

Sturm GrazLDWWL11 scored · 9 conceded

CeljeDWDDL5 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Sturm GrazCelje

1.9Goals scored per game0.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.1

50%Both teams scored30%

70%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets4

What's at stake

Sturm Graz19th4 pts · 3 played

Celje29th1 pts · 3 played

Sturm Graz lead by 3 pts

Read the full match preview

Merkur Arena hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Sturm Graz the favourite at 1.52 (57% implied), with the draw at 3.78 (23%).

Sturm Graz come into the game with LDWWL in their last 5 (11 scored, 9 conceded), while Celje have DWDDL (5 scored, 6 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Sturm Graz's recent games and 30% of Celje's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 30%.

Per game, Sturm Graz average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Celje 0.7 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 4).

In the table, Sturm Graz are 19th (4 pts from 3 games) and Celje are 29th (1 pts from 3).

Nito explains: Sturm Graz vs Celje

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Sturm Graz vs Celje mean?

The best prices are 1.52 for a Sturm Graz win, 3.78 for a draw and 4.47 for a Celje win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.52 returns 15.20 if Sturm Graz win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 14.6% removed) that is 57% Sturm Graz, 23% draw and 20% Celje.

How often do Sturm Graz and Celje matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Sturm Graz's last 10 matches and 30% of Celje's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Sturm Graz reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Celje in 30% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LDWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Sturm Graz, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (11 scored, 9 conceded). Celje, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (5 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Sturm Graz and Celje stand in the table?

Sturm Graz are 19th with 4 points from 3 games. Celje are 29th with 1 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Sturm Graz vs Celje: questions & answers

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Bookmaker odds imply Sturm Graz 57%, draw 23%, Celje 20%.

Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Celje?

In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Sturm Graz's matches and 30% of Celje's.

What are the odds for Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Odds: Sturm Graz 1.52, draw 3.78, Celje 4.47.

When is the Sturm Graz vs Celje kick-off?

Sturm Graz vs Celje kicks off on Thu, 5 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Merkur Arena.

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Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction & odds

Sturm Graz

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Our picks for this match

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