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Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion prediction & odds

Cerro Porteno

22:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 22:00

Olimpia Asuncion

Odds 1X2

1Cerro Porteno2.88XDraw3.232Olimpia Asuncion2.48

Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla

Cerro PortenovsOlimpia Asuncion

Nito’s pick1.33

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Olimpia Asuncion

1.33

73%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 73% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primera Division
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla
Capacity: 45,000
City: Asunción

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Olimpia Asuncion73%Confidence1.33Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.33 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 73% (-2 pts)
Olimpia Asuncion won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–5); Cerro Porteno won 2 (goals 10–7)
In the table Olimpia Asuncion are 1st with 82 pts, Cerro Porteno 4th with 62 pts
In 51 meetings Olimpia Asuncion won 20, Cerro Porteno won 13, 18 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 73% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Olimpia AsuncionHigh confidence

Confidence73%

Indicative price1.33

Double chance: Draw or Olimpia Asuncion: our confidence is 73% at a best price of 1.33.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.75

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 1.75 implies only 57%.

Asian handicap 0Olimpia Asuncion 0

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.76

We rate Asian handicap: Olimpia Asuncion 0 at 62% — the price of 1.76 implies only 57%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Cerro Porteno33%2.88

Draw29%3.23

Olimpia Asuncion38%2.48

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.0%

Cerro Porteno2.8833%Draw3.2329%Olimpia Asuncion2.4838%

Double chance

Cerro Porteno or Draw1.44Cerro Porteno or Olimpia Asuncion1.26Draw or Olimpia Asuncion1.33

1st-half resultmargin 17.1%

Cerro Porteno3.1227%Draw2.0142%Olimpia Asuncion2.8330%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Cerro Porteno1.9549%Olimpia Asuncion1.8951%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13Cerro Porteno wins

18Draws

20Olimpia Asuncion wins

Last matches: Cerro Porteno

25.10.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoCerro Porteno13W
18.10.26Primera DivisionCerro PortenoAmeliano22D
14.10.26Copa ParaguayCerro PortenoSan Lorenzo22D
10.10.26Primera DivisionSp. LuquenoCerro Porteno03W
05.10.26Primera DivisionCerro Porteno2 de Mayo02L

Last matches: Olimpia Asuncion

25.10.26Primera DivisionAmelianoOlimpia Asuncion23W
17.10.26Primera DivisionOlimpia Asuncion2 de Mayo30W
11.10.26Primera DivisionRubio NuOlimpia Asuncion00D
06.10.26Primera DivisionOlimpia AsuncionNacional Asuncion11D
01.10.26Copa ParaguayOlimpia AsuncionSp. Luqueno12L

Head-to-head matches

23.08.26Primera DivisionOlimpia AsuncionCerro Porteno21L
19.04.26Primera DivisionOlimpia AsuncionCerro Porteno30L
21.02.26Primera DivisionCerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion01L
19.10.25AperturaCerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion11D
03.08.25AperturaOlimpia AsuncionCerro Porteno23W
03.05.25AperturaCerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion12L

2.35Avg goals51%Both scored37%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion: head-to-head record

51 meetings since 2014: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13Cerro Porteno wins

18Draws

20Olimpia Asuncion wins

54:66Goals (Cerro Porteno : Olimpia Asuncion)

2.35Goals per match

51%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

37%Over 2.5

20%Over 3.5

Cerro Porteno at home: 7-10-925:29 goals in 26 games
Olimpia Asuncion at home: 11-8-637:29 goals in 25 games
Cerro Porteno's biggest win: 0–4Olimpia Asuncion 0–4 Cerro Porteno, 22 May 2022
Olimpia Asuncion's biggest win: 3–0Olimpia Asuncion 3–0 Cerro Porteno, 19 Apr 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
23 Aug 2026	Primera Division	Olimpia Asuncion	2–1	Cerro Porteno
19 Apr 2026	Primera Division	Olimpia Asuncion	3–0	Cerro Porteno
21 Feb 2026	Primera Division	Cerro Porteno	0–1	Olimpia Asuncion
19 Oct 2025	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–1	Olimpia Asuncion
3 Aug 2025	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	2–3	Cerro Porteno
3 May 2025	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–2	Olimpia Asuncion
23 Feb 2025	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	2–1	Cerro Porteno
27 Oct 2024	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	3–0	Cerro Porteno
18 Aug 2024	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–1	Olimpia Asuncion
12 May 2024	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–1	Olimpia Asuncion
17 Feb 2024	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	1–1	Cerro Porteno
29 Oct 2023	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	0–0	Cerro Porteno
13 Aug 2023	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–1	Olimpia Asuncion
13 May 2023	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	2–2	Olimpia Asuncion
4 Mar 2023	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	2–2	Cerro Porteno
16 Oct 2022	Apertura	Cerro Porteno	1–2	Olimpia Asuncion
14 Aug 2022	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	2–0	Cerro Porteno
26 May 2022	Libertadores	Cerro Porteno	0–1	Olimpia Asuncion
22 May 2022	Apertura	Olimpia Asuncion	0–4	Cerro Porteno
5 Apr 2022	Libertadores	Olimpia Asuncion	0–0	Cerro Porteno

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Cerro Porteno2W 2D 1L · goals 10–7

W25.10Primera DivisionASan Lorenzo3–1
D18.10Primera DivisionHAmeliano2–2
D14.10Copa ParaguayHSan Lorenzo2–2
W10.10Primera DivisionASp. Luqueno3–0
L05.10Primera DivisionH2 de Mayo0–2

Olimpia Asuncion2W 2D 1L · goals 8–5

W25.10Primera DivisionAAmeliano3–2
W17.10Primera DivisionH2 de Mayo3–0
D11.10Primera DivisionARubio Nu0–0
D06.10Primera DivisionHNacional Asuncion1–1
L01.10Copa ParaguayHSp. Luqueno1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Cerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion

1.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.1Goals conceded per game0.7

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets5

10%Failed to score10%

3-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Cerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion

Division Profesional 2026 · 24 gamesDivision Profesional 2025 · 22 games

1.4Goals scored1.5

1.0Goals conceded1.7

4.7Corners5.2

13.6Shots16.4

56%Possession52%

1.6Yellow cards2.4

38%Clean sheets18%

17%Failed to score18%

8-3-3Home / away record (W-D-L)2-3-6

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Olimpia Asuncion	38	+36	82	WWDDW
2	Nacional Asuncion	38	+23	68	LWWDD
3	Sportivo Trinidense	38	+18	62	WWDWW
4	Cerro Porteno	38	+14	62	WDWLL
5	Libertad Asuncion	38	+15	61	WLDWL

Comments

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About this match

Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion preview

Primera Division fixture: Cerro Porteno welcome Olimpia Asuncion on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (22:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Cerro PortenoWDDWL10 scored · 7 conceded

Olimpia AsuncionWWDDL8 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Cerro PortenoOlimpia Asuncion

1.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.1Goals conceded per game0.7

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

13Cerro Porteno wins

18Draws

20Olimpia Asuncion wins

51 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 51%

What's at stake

Cerro Porteno4th62 pts · 38 played

Olimpia Asuncion1st82 pts · 38 played

Olimpia Asuncion lead by 20 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Olimpia Asuncion73%Confidence1.33Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla.

The market sees little between the sides: Cerro Porteno 2.88 (33%), draw 3.23 (29%), Olimpia Asuncion 2.48 (38%).

Double chance: Draw or Olimpia Asuncion is our top pick for this game (73% confidence, best price 1.33).

We also have Asian handicap: Olimpia Asuncion 0 (62%, 1.76) and Under 2.5 goals (60%, 1.75).

Recent form over the last 5: Cerro Porteno WDDWL (goals 10–7), Olimpia Asuncion WWDDL (goals 8–5).

Both teams scored in 60% of Cerro Porteno's recent games and 50% of Olimpia Asuncion's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Cerro Porteno average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Olimpia Asuncion 1.8 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 5).

Across 51 head-to-head games the record reads 13–18–20 (wins–draws–losses) from Cerro Porteno's side.

Those 51 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-23) ended Olimpia Asuncion 2–1 Cerro Porteno.

Cerro Porteno sit 4th on 62 pts after 38 games, Olimpia Asuncion 1st on 82 pts.

Nito explains: Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion mean?

The best prices are 2.88 for a Cerro Porteno win, 3.23 for a draw and 2.48 for a Olimpia Asuncion win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.88 returns 28.80 if Cerro Porteno win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.0% removed) that is 33% Cerro Porteno, 29% draw and 38% Olimpia Asuncion.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Olimpia Asuncion" mean?

It wins if Olimpia Asuncion win or draw; it loses only if Cerro Porteno win. At 1.33, the price implies a 75% chance; Nito's data rates it at 73%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Cerro Porteno and Olimpia Asuncion matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Cerro Porteno's last 10 matches and 50% of Olimpia Asuncion's last 10. In their 51 recorded meetings it was 51%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Cerro Porteno reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Olimpia Asuncion in 60% of their last 10. Their 51 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (37% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Cerro Porteno, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (10 scored, 7 conceded). Olimpia Asuncion, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Cerro Porteno and Olimpia Asuncion stand in the table?

Cerro Porteno are 4th with 62 points from 38 games. Olimpia Asuncion are 1st with 82 points from 38 games. The gap between them is 20 points.

Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion: questions & answers

Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Olimpia Asuncion with 73% confidence (best price 1.33). Bookmaker odds imply Cerro Porteno 33%, draw 29%, Olimpia Asuncion 38%.

Will both teams score in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?

Both teams scored in 51% of their 51 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Cerro Porteno's matches and 50% of Olimpia Asuncion's.

What are the odds for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion?

Odds: Cerro Porteno 2.88, draw 3.23, Olimpia Asuncion 2.48. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Olimpia Asuncion is available at 1.33.

When is the Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion kick-off?

Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia Asuncion?

51 meetings: Cerro Porteno 13 wins, 18 draws, Olimpia Asuncion 20 wins. Those 51 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

Other Primera Division matches on 1 Nov

All Primera Division fixtures

Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion prediction & odds

Cerro Porteno

Olimpia Asuncion

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds