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Club America vs Toluca prediction & odds

Club America

05:10

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 05:10

Toluca

Odds 1X2

1Club America2.31XDraw3.802Toluca2.92

Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes

Club AmericavsToluca

Nito’s pick1.70

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap 0Club America 0

1.70

61%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 61% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga MX
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 05:10 EET
Stadium: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Capacity: 32,329
City: Ciudad de México (D.F.)

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap 0Club America 061%Confidence1.70Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.70 means bookmakers give it 59%; Nito's confidence is 61% (+2 pts)
Club America won 2 of their last 5 (goals 13–9); Toluca won 4 (goals 9–2)
In the table Club America are 1st with 28 pts, Toluca 5th with 23 pts
In 51 meetings Club America won 18, Toluca won 17, 16 were drawn

Best price 1.70 means bookmakers give it 59%; Nito's confidence is 61% (+2 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 61% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Club America42%2.31

Draw25%3.80

Toluca33%2.92

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

Club America2.3142%Draw3.8025%Toluca2.9233%

Double chance

Club America or Draw1.37Club America or Toluca1.22Draw or Toluca1.56

Total goals 2.5margin 5.4%

Over 2.51.4864%Under 2.52.6436%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.7%

Club America -0.251.9948%Toluca +0.251.8752%

1st-half resultmargin 5.4%

Club America2.7235%Draw2.5837%Toluca3.3528%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Club America1.9450%Toluca1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Club America wins

16Draws

17Toluca wins

Last matches: Club America

29.10.26Liga MXClub AmericaTijuana11D
26.10.26Liga MXClub AmericaPachuca12L
22.10.26Liga MXAtlasClub America25W
18.10.26Liga MXClub LeonClub America35W
11.10.26Liga MXClub AmericaMonterrey11D

Last matches: Toluca

Copa MXTolucaVeracruz20W
Copa MXAlebrijes de OaxacaToluca14W
Copa MXVeracruzToluca01W
Copa MXTolucaAlebrijes de Oaxaca10W
24.10.26Liga MXClub LeonToluca11D

Head-to-head matches

19.04.26Liga MXClub AmericaToluca21W
09.11.25Liga MXTolucaClub America20L
26.05.25AperturaTolucaClub America20L
23.05.25AperturaClub AmericaToluca00D
01.03.25AperturaClub AmericaToluca30W
30.11.24AperturaTolucaClub America02W

3.06Avg goals69%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Club America vs Toluca: head-to-head record

51 meetings since 2008: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Club America wins

16Draws

17Toluca wins

82:74Goals (Club America : Toluca)

3.06Goals per match

69%BTTS

90%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

35%Over 3.5

Club America at home: 13-9-452:28 goals in 26 games
Toluca at home: 13-7-546:30 goals in 25 games
Club America's biggest win: 7–2Club America 7–2 Toluca, 30 Aug 2009
Toluca's biggest win: 4–0Toluca 4–0 Club America, 10 Nov 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Liga MX	Club America	2–1	Toluca
9 Nov 2025	Liga MX	Toluca	2–0	Club America
26 May 2025	Apertura	Toluca	2–0	Club America
23 May 2025	Apertura	Club America	0–0	Toluca
1 Mar 2025	Apertura	Club America	3–0	Toluca
30 Nov 2024	Apertura	Toluca	0–2	Club America
28 Nov 2024	Apertura	Club America	2–0	Toluca
10 Nov 2024	Apertura	Toluca	4–0	Club America
14 Apr 2024	Apertura	Club America	5–1	Toluca
24 Sept 2023	Apertura	Toluca	1–1	Club America
15 Jan 2023	Apertura	Toluca	2–2	Club America
20 Dec 2022	Copa por México	Club America	2–0	Toluca
23 Oct 2022	Apertura	Club America	1–1	Toluca
20 Oct 2022	Apertura	Toluca	2–1	Club America
14 Jul 2022	Apertura	Club America	1–0	Toluca
20 Mar 2022	Apertura	Club America	3–0	Toluca
19 Sept 2021	Apertura	Toluca	3–1	Club America
25 Apr 2021	Apertura	Toluca	3–1	Club America
13 Sept 2020	Apertura	Club America	1–1	Toluca
11 Aug 2019	Apertura	Toluca	0–1	Club America

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Club America2W 2D 1L · goals 13–9

D29.10Liga MXHTijuana1–1
L26.10Liga MXHPachuca1–2
W22.10Liga MXAAtlas5–2
W18.10Liga MXAClub Leon5–3
D11.10Liga MXHMonterrey1–1

Toluca4W 1D 0L · goals 9–2

W01.01Copa MXHVeracruz2–0
W01.01Copa MXAAlebrijes de Oaxaca4–1
W01.01Copa MXAVeracruz1–0
W01.01Copa MXHAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–0
D24.10Liga MXAClub Leon1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Club AmericaToluca

2.4Goals scored per game1.9

2.0Goals conceded per game1.4

90%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score0%

0-4-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Club AmericaToluca

Liga MX 2026/2027 · 8 gamesLiga MX 2026/2027 · 6 games

2.1Goals scored2.0

1.0Goals conceded0.7

7.3Corners5.8

20.6Shots18.7

56%Possession62%

1.5Yellow cards1.3

50%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score17%

3-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Club America	14	+15	28	DLWWD
2	Cruz Azul	14	+9	26	WWWDD
4	Atlas	14	-1	24	WLWDW
5	Toluca	14	+10	23	DDDLD
6	Club Leon	14	+3	22	DWLDW

About this match

Club America vs Toluca preview

Liga MX fixture: Club America welcome Toluca on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (05:10 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Club AmericaDLWWD13 scored · 9 conceded

TolucaWWWWD9 scored · 2 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Club AmericaToluca

2.4Goals scored per game1.9

2.0Goals conceded per game1.4

90%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

18Club America wins

16Draws

17Toluca wins

51 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 69%

What's at stake

Club America1st28 pts · 14 played

Toluca5th23 pts · 14 played

Club America lead by 5 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapClub America 061%Confidence1.70Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.

The best available prices are 2.31 on Club America, 3.80 on the draw and 2.92 on Toluca, which is roughly 42%, 25% and 33% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Asian handicap: Club America 0 with 61% confidence at a best price of 1.70.

Recent form over the last 5: Club America DLWWD (goals 13–9), Toluca WWWWD (goals 9–2).

Both teams scored in 90% of Club America's recent games and 70% of Toluca's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Club America average 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Toluca 1.9 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 51 head-to-head games the record reads 18–16–17 (wins–draws–losses) from Club America's side.

Those 51 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-19) ended Club America 2–1 Toluca.

Club America sit 1st on 28 pts after 14 games, Toluca 5th on 23 pts.

Nito explains: Club America vs Toluca

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Club America vs Toluca mean?

The best prices are 2.31 for a Club America win, 3.80 for a draw and 2.92 for a Toluca win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.31 returns 23.10 if Club America win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 42% Club America, 25% draw and 33% Toluca.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Club America 0" mean?

Asian handicap: 0 goals are added to Club America's final score, and the bet wins if Club America are still ahead after that. If it is level after the handicap, the stake is returned. At 1.70, the price implies a 59% chance; Nito's data rates it at 61%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Club America and Toluca matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 90% of Club America's last 10 matches and 70% of Toluca's last 10. In their 51 recorded meetings it was 69%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Club America reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Toluca in 50% of their last 10. Their 51 meetings averaged 3.1 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLWWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Club America, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (13 scored, 9 conceded). Toluca, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (9 scored, 2 conceded).

Where do Club America and Toluca stand in the table?

Club America are 1st with 28 points from 14 games. Toluca are 5th with 23 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Club America vs Toluca: questions & answers

Who will win Club America vs Toluca?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Club America 0 with 61% confidence (best price 1.70). Bookmaker odds imply Club America 42%, draw 25%, Toluca 33%.

Will both teams score in Club America vs Toluca?

Both teams scored in 69% of their 51 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 90% of Club America's matches and 70% of Toluca's.

What are the odds for Club America vs Toluca?

Odds: Club America 2.31, draw 3.80, Toluca 2.92. Our pick Asian handicap: Club America 0 is available at 1.70.

When is the Club America vs Toluca kick-off?

Club America vs Toluca kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 05:10 (GMT+2) at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.

What is the head-to-head record between Club America and Toluca?

51 meetings: Club America 18 wins, 16 draws, Toluca 17 wins. Those 51 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.

Other Liga MX matches on 1 Nov

All Liga MX fixtures

Club America vs Toluca prediction & odds

Club America

Toluca

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds