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Monterrey vs Tijuana prediction & odds

Monterrey

03:05

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 03:05

Tijuana

Odds 1X2

1Monterrey1.56XDraw4.612Tijuana5.50

Estadio BBVA

MonterreyvsTijuana

Nito’s pick1.50

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.50

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga MX
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 03:05 EET
Stadium: Estadio BBVA
Capacity: 53,500
City: Guadalupe

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.570%Confidence1.50Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.50 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+3 pts)
3+ goals in 70% of Monterrey's last 5 and 50% of Tijuana's
Goals per game in the last 5: Monterrey matches 3.3, Tijuana matches 3.2
Their 35 meetings average 2.9 goals; both teams scored in 66%

Best price 1.50 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+3 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)MonterreyHigh confidence

Confidence67%

Indicative price1.56

Monterrey to win: our confidence is 67%, 3 points above the 64% the best price of 1.56 implies.

Both teams to scoreYesHigh confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.61

Both teams to score: Yes: our confidence is 68%, 6 points above the 62% the best price of 1.61 implies.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.50

Over 2.5 goals: our confidence is 70%, 3 points above the 67% the best price of 1.50 implies.

Asian handicap -1Monterrey -1

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.84

Asian handicap: Monterrey -1: our confidence is 60%, 6 points above the 54% the best price of 1.84 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Monterrey62%1.56

Draw21%4.61

Tijuana17%5.50

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Monterrey1.5662%Draw4.6121%Tijuana5.5017%

Double chance

Monterrey or Draw1.12Monterrey or Tijuana1.17Draw or Tijuana2.25

1st-half resultmargin 5.9%

Monterrey1.9848%Draw2.6935%Tijuana5.5017%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Monterrey1.9350%Tijuana1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13Monterrey wins

14Draws

8Tijuana wins

Last matches: Monterrey

Copa MXMonterreyCafetaleros de Chiapas60W
Copa MXLeones Negros UdeGMonterrey12W
Copa MXCafetaleros de ChiapasMonterrey12W
Copa MXMonterreyLeones Negros UdeG21W
25.10.26Liga MXMonterreyGuadalajara01L

Last matches: Tijuana

Copa MXTijuanaMineros de Zacatecas20W
Copa MXMineros de ZacatecasTijuana23W
Copa MXQuerétaroTijuana32L
Copa MXTijuanaQuerétaro20W
29.10.26Liga MXClub AmericaTijuana11D

Head-to-head matches

01.02.26Liga MXMonterreyTijuana22D
06.10.25Liga MXTijuanaMonterrey22D
30.03.25AperturaMonterreyTijuana12L
24.08.24AperturaTijuanaMonterrey22D
29.02.24AperturaTijuanaMonterrey11D
26.10.23AperturaMonterreyTijuana31W

2.91Avg goals66%Both scored63%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Monterrey vs Tijuana: head-to-head record

35 meetings since 2011: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13Monterrey wins

14Draws

8Tijuana wins

61:41Goals (Monterrey : Tijuana)

2.91Goals per match

66%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

63%Over 2.5

34%Over 3.5

Monterrey at home: 7-7-330:17 goals in 17 games
Tijuana at home: 5-7-624:31 goals in 18 games
Monterrey's biggest win: 4–0Monterrey 4–0 Tijuana, 2 Apr 2023
Tijuana's biggest win: 2–0Tijuana 2–0 Monterrey, 25 Feb 2017

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Feb 2026	Liga MX	Monterrey	2–2	Tijuana
6 Oct 2025	Liga MX	Tijuana	2–2	Monterrey
30 Mar 2025	Apertura	Monterrey	1–2	Tijuana
24 Aug 2024	Apertura	Tijuana	2–2	Monterrey
29 Feb 2024	Apertura	Tijuana	1–1	Monterrey
26 Oct 2023	Apertura	Monterrey	3–1	Tijuana
2 Apr 2023	Apertura	Monterrey	4–0	Tijuana
29 Aug 2022	Apertura	Tijuana	0–3	Monterrey
1 May 2022	Apertura	Monterrey	2–0	Tijuana
28 Aug 2021	Apertura	Tijuana	2–2	Monterrey
28 Feb 2021	Apertura	Monterrey	1–1	Tijuana
5 Sept 2020	Apertura	Tijuana	2–1	Monterrey
9 Nov 2019	Apertura	Tijuana	0–4	Monterrey
17 Mar 2019	Apertura	Tijuana	1–0	Monterrey
30 Sept 2018	Apertura	Monterrey	3–0	Tijuana
6 May 2018	Apertura	Monterrey	1–2	Tijuana
3 May 2018	Apertura	Tijuana	1–1	Monterrey
21 Jan 2018	Apertura	Monterrey	0–0	Tijuana
5 Aug 2017	Apertura	Tijuana	0–3	Monterrey
25 Feb 2017	Apertura	Tijuana	2–0	Monterrey

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Monterrey4W 0D 1L · goals 12–4

W01.01Copa MXHCafetaleros de Chiapas6–0
W01.01Copa MXALeones Negros UdeG2–1
W01.01Copa MXACafetaleros de Chiapas2–1
W01.01Copa MXHLeones Negros UdeG2–1
L25.10Liga MXHGuadalajara0–1

Tijuana3W 1D 1L · goals 10–6

W01.01Copa MXHMineros de Zacatecas2–0
W01.01Copa MXAMineros de Zacatecas3–2
L01.01Copa MXAQuerétaro2–3
W01.01Copa MXHQuerétaro2–0
D29.10Liga MXAClub America1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MonterreyTijuana

2.2Goals scored per game1.9

1.1Goals conceded per game1.3

70%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score10%

4-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

MonterreyTijuana

Liga MX 2026/2027 · 6 gamesLiga MX 2026/2027 · 9 games

2.2Goals scored1.6

1.7Goals conceded1.4

7.0Corners3.9

18.7Shots12.3

57%Possession44%

1.3Yellow cards1.4

17%Clean sheets33%

17%Failed to score22%

2-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)0-2-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Club Leon	14	+3	22	DWLDW
7	Club Tijuana	14	+4	21	DWDDD
8	Monterrey	13	+5	20	LWWDL
9	Queretaro	13	-1	20	LLLWW

Comments

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About this match

Monterrey vs Tijuana preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 03:05, Monterrey take on Tijuana in the Liga MX.

Form · last 5 matches

MonterreyWWWWL12 scored · 4 conceded

TijuanaWWLWD10 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MonterreyTijuana

2.2Goals scored per game1.9

1.1Goals conceded per game1.3

70%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

13Monterrey wins

14Draws

8Tijuana wins

35 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 66%

What's at stake

Monterrey8th20 pts · 13 played

Tijuana7th21 pts · 14 played

Tijuana lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.570%Confidence1.50Price

+3 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estadio BBVA hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Monterrey the favourite at 1.56 (62% implied), with the draw at 4.61 (21%).

Our strongest pick is Over 2.5 goals with 70% confidence at a best price of 1.50.

We also have Both teams to score: Yes (68%, 1.61), Monterrey to win (67%, 1.56) and Asian handicap: Monterrey -1 (60%, 1.84).

Monterrey come into the game with WWWWL in their last 5 (12 scored, 4 conceded), while Tijuana have WWLWD (10 scored, 6 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Monterrey's recent games and 50% of Tijuana's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 70%.

Per game, Monterrey average 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Tijuana 1.9 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 35 previous meetings: Monterrey 13 wins, Tijuana 8 wins, draws 14.

Those 35 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-01) ended Monterrey 2–2 Tijuana.

In the table, Monterrey are 8th (20 pts from 13 games) and Tijuana are 7th (21 pts from 14).

Nito explains: Monterrey vs Tijuana

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Monterrey vs Tijuana mean?

The best prices are 1.56 for a Monterrey win, 4.61 for a draw and 5.50 for a Tijuana win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.56 returns 15.60 if Monterrey win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 62% Monterrey, 21% draw and 17% Tijuana.

What does Nito's pick "Over 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.50, the price implies a 67% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Monterrey and Tijuana matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Monterrey's last 10 matches and 70% of Tijuana's last 10. In their 35 recorded meetings it was 66%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Monterrey reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Tijuana in 50% of their last 10. Their 35 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (63% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Monterrey, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (12 scored, 4 conceded). Tijuana, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (10 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Monterrey and Tijuana stand in the table?

Monterrey are 8th with 20 points from 13 games. Tijuana are 7th with 21 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Monterrey vs Tijuana: questions & answers

Who will win Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Our pick is Monterrey to win with 67% confidence (best price 1.56). Bookmaker odds imply Monterrey 62%, draw 21%, Tijuana 17%.

Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (68% confidence, 1.61). Both teams scored in 66% of their 35 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Monterrey's matches and 70% of Tijuana's.

What are the odds for Monterrey vs Tijuana?

Odds: Monterrey 1.56, draw 4.61, Tijuana 5.50. Our pick Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50.

When is the Monterrey vs Tijuana kick-off?

Monterrey vs Tijuana kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 03:05 (GMT+2) at Estadio BBVA.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Tijuana?

35 meetings: Monterrey 13 wins, 14 draws, Tijuana 8 wins. Those 35 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

Other Liga MX matches on 1 Nov

All Liga MX fixtures

Monterrey vs Tijuana prediction & odds

Monterrey

Tijuana

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds