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Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction & odds

Corinthians

01:00
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 01:00

Mirassol

Odds 1X2
1Corinthians1.89XDraw3.652Mirassol4.44
CorinthiansvsMirassolNito’s pick1.82

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.82

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Serie A
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.570%Confidence1.82Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.82 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+15 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 60% of Corinthians's last 5 and 20% of Mirassol's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Corinthians matches 2.9, Mirassol matches 2.2
  • Their 17 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 53%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreYes
Confidence60%
Indicative price2.05

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 2.05 implies only 49%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence
Confidence70%
Indicative price1.82

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 70% — the price of 1.82 implies only 55%.

Asian handicap -0.75Mirassol +0.75
Confidence62%
Indicative price1.89

Asian handicap: Mirassol +0.75: our confidence is 62%, 9 points above the 53% the best price of 1.89 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Corinthians51%1.89
Draw27%3.65
Mirassol22%4.44

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.8%
Corinthians1.8951%Draw3.6527%Mirassol4.4422%
Double chance
Corinthians or Draw1.14Corinthians or Mirassol1.21Draw or Mirassol1.99
Total goals 2.5margin 3.2%
Over 2.52.0048%Under 2.51.8852%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 2.7%
Corinthians -0.51.8952%Mirassol +0.52.0148%
1st-half resultmargin 3.9%
Corinthians2.5039%Draw2.2942%Mirassol4.9519%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Corinthians1.9549%Mirassol1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

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About this match

Corinthians vs Mirassol preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 01:00, Corinthians take on Mirassol in the Serie A.