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MK Dons vs Doncaster prediction & odds

MK Dons

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Doncaster

Odds 1X2

1MK Dons2.07XDraw3.652Doncaster3.67

Stadium MK

MK DonsvsDoncaster

Nito’s pick1.62

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Doncaster

1.62

67%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: League One
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET
Stadium: Stadium MK
Capacity: 30,500
City: Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Doncaster67%Confidence1.62Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.62 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 67% (+5 pts)
Doncaster won 2 of their last 5 (goals 5–7); MK Dons won 3 (goals 8–9)
In the table Doncaster are 18th with 12 pts, MK Dons 14th with 15 pts
In 20 meetings Doncaster won 10, MK Dons won 4, 6 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or DoncasterHigh confidence

Confidence67%

Indicative price1.62

Double chance: Draw or Doncaster: our confidence is 67%, 5 points above the 62% the best price of 1.62 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price2.19

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 19 points above the 46% the best price of 2.19 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

MK Dons47%2.07

Draw27%3.65

Doncaster26%3.67

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.0%

MK Dons2.0747%Draw3.6527%Doncaster3.6726%

Double chance

MK Dons or Draw1.26MK Dons or Doncaster1.21Draw or Doncaster1.62

Total goals 2.5margin 4.3%

Over 2.51.7056%Under 2.52.2044%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.6%

MK Dons -0.52.0248%Doncaster +0.51.8552%

1st-half resultmargin 5.0%

MK Dons2.5338%Draw2.4439%Doncaster4.0823%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

MK Dons1.9350%Doncaster1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4MK Dons wins

6Draws

10Doncaster wins

Last matches: MK Dons

27.10.26League OneMK DonsBromley41W
24.10.26League OneStevenageMK Dons01W
20.10.26League OneBlackpoolMK Dons20L
17.10.26League OneMK DonsLuton21W
10.10.26League OneMK DonsReading15L

Last matches: Doncaster

27.10.26League OneLutonDoncaster31L
24.10.26League OneDoncasterSheffield Wed20W
20.10.26League OneDoncasterStockport County02L
17.10.26League OneLeicesterDoncaster21L
10.10.26League OneDoncasterBurton10W

Head-to-head matches

01.02.25League TwoDoncasterMK Dons21L
21.09.24League TwoMK DonsDoncaster11D
01.01.24League TwoDoncasterMK Dons30L
26.08.23League TwoMK DonsDoncaster21W
22.01.22League OneMK DonsDoncaster01L
02.10.21League OneDoncasterMK Dons21L

2.20Avg goals50%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

MK Dons vs Doncaster: head-to-head record

20 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4MK Dons wins

6Draws

10Doncaster wins

19:25Goals (MK Dons : Doncaster)

2.20Goals per match

50%BTTS

70%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

5%Over 3.5

MK Dons at home: 4-1-513:10 goals in 10 games
Doncaster at home: 5-5-015:6 goals in 10 games
MK Dons's biggest win: 3–0MK Dons 3–0 Doncaster, 21 Apr 2015
Doncaster's biggest win: 3–0Doncaster 3–0 MK Dons, 1 Jan 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Feb 2025	League Two	Doncaster	2–1	MK Dons
21 Sept 2024	League Two	MK Dons	1–1	Doncaster
1 Jan 2024	League Two	Doncaster	3–0	MK Dons
26 Aug 2023	League Two	MK Dons	2–1	Doncaster
22 Jan 2022	League One	MK Dons	0–1	Doncaster
2 Oct 2021	League One	Doncaster	2–1	MK Dons
27 Mar 2021	League One	MK Dons	1–0	Doncaster
12 Sept 2020	League One	Doncaster	1–1	MK Dons
7 Mar 2020	League One	MK Dons	0–1	Doncaster
7 Dec 2019	League One	Doncaster	1–1	MK Dons
14 Apr 2018	League One	MK Dons	1–2	Doncaster
25 Nov 2017	League One	Doncaster	2–1	MK Dons
21 Apr 2015	League One	MK Dons	3–0	Doncaster
25 Oct 2014	League One	Doncaster	0–0	MK Dons
5 Mar 2013	League One	MK Dons	3–0	Doncaster
12 Feb 2013	League One	Doncaster	0–0	MK Dons
9 Dec 2005	League One	MK Dons	2–3	Doncaster
8 Aug 2005	League One	Doncaster	1–1	MK Dons
25 Dec 2004	League One	Doncaster	3–0	MK Dons
10 Sept 2004	League One	MK Dons	0–1	Doncaster

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

MK Dons3W 0D 2L · goals 8–9

W27.10League OneHBromley4–1
W24.10League OneAStevenage1–0
L20.10League OneABlackpool0–2
W17.10League OneHLuton2–1
L10.10League OneHReading1–5

Doncaster2W 0D 3L · goals 5–7

L27.10League OneALuton1–3
W24.10League OneHSheffield Wed2–0
L20.10League OneHStockport County0–2
L17.10League OneALeicester1–2
W10.10League OneHBurton1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MK DonsDoncaster

2.3Goals scored per game1.1

1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score20%

4-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · League One

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
13	Stevenage	11	+4	15	LWLWL
14	MK Dons	12	-3	15	WWLWL
15	Wycombe	12	-4	15	DDWLD
17	AFC Wimbledon	12	-11	13	DLLLD
18	Doncaster	12	-3	12	LWLLW
19	Notts County	11	-3	11	DWLLL

Comments

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About this match

MK Dons vs Doncaster preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, MK Dons take on Doncaster in the League One.

Form · last 5 matches

MK DonsWWLWL8 scored · 9 conceded

DoncasterLWLLW5 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MK DonsDoncaster

2.3Goals scored per game1.1

1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

4MK Dons wins

6Draws

10Doncaster wins

20 meetings · 2.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

MK Dons14th15 pts · 12 played

Doncaster18th12 pts · 12 played

MK Dons lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Doncaster67%Confidence1.62Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Stadium MK hosts the match.

Bookmakers make MK Dons the favourite at 2.07 (47% implied), with the draw at 3.65 (27%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or Doncaster: 67% confidence, priced at 1.62.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (65%, 2.19).

MK Dons come into the game with WWLWL in their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded), while Doncaster have LWLLW (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of MK Dons's recent games and 40% of Doncaster's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 40%.

Per game, MK Dons average 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Doncaster 1.1 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 20 previous meetings: MK Dons 4 wins, Doncaster 10 wins, draws 6.

Those 20 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2025-02-01) ended Doncaster 2–1 MK Dons.

In the table, MK Dons are 14th (15 pts from 12 games) and Doncaster are 18th (12 pts from 12).

Nito explains: MK Dons vs Doncaster

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for MK Dons vs Doncaster mean?

The best prices are 2.07 for a MK Dons win, 3.65 for a draw and 3.67 for a Doncaster win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.07 returns 20.70 if MK Dons win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.0% removed) that is 47% MK Dons, 27% draw and 26% Doncaster.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Doncaster" mean?

It wins if Doncaster win or draw; it loses only if MK Dons win. At 1.62, the price implies a 62% chance; Nito's data rates it at 67%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do MK Dons and Doncaster matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of MK Dons's last 10 matches and 40% of Doncaster's last 10. In their 20 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. MK Dons reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Doncaster in 40% of their last 10. Their 20 meetings averaged 2.2 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. MK Dons, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (8 scored, 9 conceded). Doncaster, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do MK Dons and Doncaster stand in the table?

MK Dons are 14th with 15 points from 12 games. Doncaster are 18th with 12 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

MK Dons vs Doncaster: questions & answers

Who will win MK Dons vs Doncaster?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Doncaster with 67% confidence (best price 1.62). Bookmaker odds imply MK Dons 47%, draw 27%, Doncaster 26%.

Will both teams score in MK Dons vs Doncaster?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 20 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of MK Dons's matches and 40% of Doncaster's.

What are the odds for MK Dons vs Doncaster?

Odds: MK Dons 2.07, draw 3.65, Doncaster 3.67. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Doncaster is available at 1.62.

When is the MK Dons vs Doncaster kick-off?

MK Dons vs Doncaster kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Stadium MK.

What is the head-to-head record between MK Dons and Doncaster?

20 meetings: MK Dons 4 wins, 6 draws, Doncaster 10 wins. Those 20 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other League One matches on 31 Oct

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MK Dons vs Doncaster prediction & odds

MK Dons

Doncaster

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds