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Elfsborg vs Orgryte prediction & odds

Elfsborg

17:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:30

Orgryte

Odds 1X2

1Elfsborg1.39Nito’s pickXDraw5.282Orgryte7.35

Borås Arena

ElfsborgvsOrgryte

Nito’s pick1.39

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Elfsborg

1.39

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Allsvenskan
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:30 EET
Stadium: Borås Arena
Capacity: 16,899

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Elfsborg75%Confidence1.39Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.39 means bookmakers give it 72%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+3 pts)
Elfsborg won 2 of their last 5 (goals 10–5); Orgryte won 1 (goals 8–11)
In the table Elfsborg are 5th with 43 pts, Orgryte 15th with 19 pts
In 25 meetings Elfsborg won 10, Orgryte won 10, 5 were drawn

Best price 1.39 means bookmakers give it 72%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+3 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Elfsborg69%1.39

Draw18%5.28

Orgryte13%7.35

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.5%

Elfsborg1.3969%Draw5.2818%Orgryte7.3513%

1st-half resultmargin 6.7%

Elfsborg1.7554%Draw2.8433%Orgryte6.9513%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

10Elfsborg wins

5Draws

10Orgryte wins

Last matches: Elfsborg

27.10.26AllsvenskanAIKElfsborg22D
23.10.26AllsvenskanElfsborgMalmo FF00D
18.10.26AllsvenskanSiriusElfsborg22D
12.10.26AllsvenskanElfsborgHalmstad40W
20.09.26AllsvenskanDjurgardenElfsborg12W

Last matches: Orgryte

29.10.26AllsvenskanOrgryteMjallby12L
24.10.26AllsvenskanDjurgardenOrgryte22D
18.10.26AllsvenskanOrgryteGAIS42W
11.10.26AllsvenskanHackenOrgryte30L
19.09.26AllsvenskanOrgryteSirius12L

Head-to-head matches

29.05.26AllsvenskanOrgryteElfsborg22D
16.02.25Svenska CupenElfsborgOrgryte31W
24.02.24Svenska CupenOrgryteElfsborg32L
28.10.09AllsvenskanOrgryteElfsborg11D
06.07.09AllsvenskanElfsborgOrgryte30W
25.09.06AllsvenskanElfsborgOrgryte20W

3.20Avg goals64%Both scored64%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Elfsborg vs Orgryte: head-to-head record

25 meetings since 1997: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

10Elfsborg wins

5Draws

10Orgryte wins

40:40Goals (Elfsborg : Orgryte)

3.20Goals per match

64%BTTS

88%Over 1.5

64%Over 2.5

40%Over 3.5

Elfsborg at home: 7-1-422:14 goals in 12 games
Orgryte at home: 6-4-326:18 goals in 13 games
Elfsborg's biggest win: 3–0Elfsborg 3–0 Orgryte, 6 Jul 2009
Orgryte's biggest win: 5–1Orgryte 5–1 Elfsborg, 30 Jun 1999

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 May 2026	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	2–2	Elfsborg
16 Feb 2025	Svenska Cupen	Elfsborg	3–1	Orgryte
24 Feb 2024	Svenska Cupen	Orgryte	3–2	Elfsborg
28 Oct 2009	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	1–1	Elfsborg
6 Jul 2009	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	3–0	Orgryte
25 Sept 2006	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	2–0	Orgryte
2 May 2006	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	0–2	Elfsborg
1 Oct 2005	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	4–2	Elfsborg
16 Apr 2005	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1–0	Orgryte
25 Sept 2004	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	0–2	Elfsborg
4 Apr 2004	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1–2	Orgryte
19 Oct 2003	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	1–0	Elfsborg
12 Apr 2003	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	3–1	Orgryte
21 Sept 2002	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	2–1	Orgryte
29 Jul 2002	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	4–1	Elfsborg
29 Jul 2001	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	0–3	Orgryte
20 Jun 2001	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	1–1	Elfsborg
20 Sept 2000	Allsvenskan	Orgryte	1–2	Elfsborg
28 May 2000	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	4–1	Orgryte
21 Aug 1999	Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1–2	Orgryte

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Elfsborg2W 3D 0L · goals 10–5

D27.10AllsvenskanAAIK2–2
D23.10AllsvenskanHMalmo FF0–0
D18.10AllsvenskanASirius2–2
W12.10AllsvenskanHHalmstad4–0
W20.09AllsvenskanADjurgarden2–1

Orgryte1W 1D 3L · goals 8–11

L29.10AllsvenskanHMjallby1–2
D24.10AllsvenskanADjurgarden2–2
W18.10AllsvenskanHGAIS4–2
L11.10AllsvenskanAHacken0–3
L19.09AllsvenskanHSirius1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ElfsborgOrgryte

1.9Goals scored per game1.4

0.8Goals conceded per game1.9

50%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

5Clean sheets0

10%Failed to score20%

3-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ElfsborgOrgryte

Allsvenskan 2025 · 29 gamesAllsvenskan 2026 · 16 games

1.6Goals scored0.9

1.8Goals conceded2.3

5.7Corners4.3

13.0Shots10.6

48%Possession42%

2.0Yellow cards1.5

17%Clean sheets13%

34%Failed to score44%

7-3-5Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Allsvenskan

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Hacken	26	+17	46	DWWWW
5	Elfsborg	26	+13	43	DDDWW
6	Vasteras SK	26	+1	41	WLWLW
14	Degerfors	26	-23	20	LLLDL
15	Orgryte	26	-26	19	LDWLL
16	Halmstad	26	-31	17	LWLLW

Comments

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About this match

Elfsborg vs Orgryte preview

Elfsborg host Orgryte in the Allsvenskan on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:30.

Form · last 5 matches

ElfsborgDDDWW10 scored · 5 conceded

OrgryteLDWLL8 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ElfsborgOrgryte

1.9Goals scored per game1.4

0.8Goals conceded per game1.9

50%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

5Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

10Elfsborg wins

5Draws

10Orgryte wins

25 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 64%

What's at stake

Elfsborg5th43 pts · 26 played

Orgryte15th19 pts · 26 played

Elfsborg lead by 24 pts

Our pick

Elfsborg to winElfsborg75%Confidence1.39Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Borås Arena.

The best available prices are 1.39 on Elfsborg, 5.28 on the draw and 7.35 on Orgryte, which is roughly 69%, 18% and 13% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Elfsborg to win with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.39.

Recent form over the last 5: Elfsborg DDDWW (goals 10–5), Orgryte LDWLL (goals 8–11).

Both teams scored in 50% of Elfsborg's recent games and 80% of Orgryte's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 70% respectively.

Per game, Elfsborg average 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Orgryte 1.4 and 1.9 (clean sheets: 0).

Across 25 head-to-head games the record reads 10–5–10 (wins–draws–losses) from Elfsborg's side.

Those 25 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-29) ended Orgryte 2–2 Elfsborg.

Elfsborg sit 5th on 43 pts after 26 games, Orgryte 15th on 19 pts.

Nito explains: Elfsborg vs Orgryte

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Elfsborg vs Orgryte mean?

The best prices are 1.39 for a Elfsborg win, 5.28 for a draw and 7.35 for a Orgryte win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.39 returns 13.90 if Elfsborg win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.5% removed) that is 69% Elfsborg, 18% draw and 13% Orgryte.

What does Nito's pick "Elfsborg to win" mean?

It wins only if Elfsborg win; a draw or a Orgryte win loses. At 1.39, the price implies a 72% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Elfsborg and Orgryte matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Elfsborg's last 10 matches and 80% of Orgryte's last 10. In their 25 recorded meetings it was 64%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Elfsborg reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Orgryte in 70% of their last 10. Their 25 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (64% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DDDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Elfsborg, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (10 scored, 5 conceded). Orgryte, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (8 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Elfsborg and Orgryte stand in the table?

Elfsborg are 5th with 43 points from 26 games. Orgryte are 15th with 19 points from 26 games. The gap between them is 24 points.

Elfsborg vs Orgryte: questions & answers

Who will win Elfsborg vs Orgryte?

Our pick is Elfsborg to win with 75% confidence (best price 1.39). Bookmaker odds imply Elfsborg 69%, draw 18%, Orgryte 13%.

Will both teams score in Elfsborg vs Orgryte?

Both teams scored in 64% of their 25 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Elfsborg's matches and 80% of Orgryte's.

What are the odds for Elfsborg vs Orgryte?

Odds: Elfsborg 1.39, draw 5.28, Orgryte 7.35. Our pick Elfsborg to win is available at 1.39.

When is the Elfsborg vs Orgryte kick-off?

Elfsborg vs Orgryte kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:30 (GMT+2) at Borås Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Elfsborg and Orgryte?

25 meetings: Elfsborg 10 wins, 5 draws, Orgryte 10 wins. Those 25 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

Other Allsvenskan matches on 1 Nov

All Allsvenskan fixtures

Elfsborg vs Orgryte prediction & odds

Elfsborg

Orgryte

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds