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FC Porto vs Estoril prediction & odds

FC Porto

22:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 22:30

Estoril

Odds 1X2

1FC Porto1.18XDraw7.602Estoril17.00

FC PortovsEstoril

Nito’s pick1.45

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.45

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga Portugal
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 22:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.575%Confidence1.45Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.45 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+6 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of FC Porto's last 5 and 40% of Estoril's
Goals per game in the last 5: FC Porto matches 2.8, Estoril matches 2.2
Their 26 meetings average 3.0 goals; both teams scored in 54%

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.57

We rate Both teams to score: No at 70% — the price of 1.57 implies only 64%.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.45

We rate Over 2.5 goals at 75% — the price of 1.45 implies only 69%.

Asian handicap -1.75FC Porto -1.75High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.71

We rate Asian handicap: FC Porto -1.75 at 65% — the price of 1.71 implies only 58%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

FC Porto82%1.18

Draw13%7.60

Estoril6%17.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%

FC Porto1.1882%Draw7.6013%Estoril17.006%

Double chance

FC Porto or Draw1.08FC Porto or Estoril–Draw or Estoril3.93

Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%

Over 2.51.4566%Under 2.52.7634%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.1%

FC Porto -21.9550%Estoril +21.9350%

1st-half resultmargin 3.8%

FC Porto1.5662%Draw3.2030%Estoril11.778%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

FC Porto1.9450%Estoril1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

19FC Porto wins

4Draws

3Estoril wins

Last matches: FC Porto

28.10.26League CupFC PortoAcademico Viseu10W
24.10.26Primeira LigaGil VicenteFC Porto01W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueFC PortoPSV01L
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBetisFC Porto32L
10.10.26Primeira LigaMaritimoFC Porto12W

Last matches: Estoril

25.10.26Primeira LigaEstorilMoreirense13L
18.10.26Taça de PortugalSalgueirosEstoril11D
10.10.26Primeira LigaAcademico ViseuEstoril21L
20.09.26Primeira LigaEstorilCasa Pia12L
14.09.26Primeira LigaBragaEstoril10L

Head-to-head matches

12.04.26Primeira LigaEstorilFC Porto13W
30.11.25Primeira LigaFC PortoEstoril10W
30.03.25Portuguese LigaEstorilFC Porto12W
03.11.24Portuguese LigaFC PortoEstoril40W
30.03.24Portuguese LigaEstorilFC Porto10L
09.01.24CupEstorilFC Porto04W

3.04Avg goals54%Both scored65%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

FC Porto vs Estoril: head-to-head record

26 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

19FC Porto wins

4Draws

3Estoril wins

57:22Goals (FC Porto : Estoril)

3.04Goals per match

54%BTTS

81%Over 1.5

65%Over 2.5

46%Over 3.5

FC Porto at home: 10-1-228:7 goals in 13 games
Estoril at home: 1-3-915:29 goals in 13 games
FC Porto's biggest win: 5–0FC Porto 5–0 Estoril, 6 Apr 2015
Estoril's biggest win: 1–0Estoril 1–0 FC Porto, 30 Mar 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Primeira Liga	Estoril	1–3	FC Porto
30 Nov 2025	Primeira Liga	FC Porto	1–0	Estoril
30 Mar 2025	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–2	FC Porto
3 Nov 2024	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	4–0	Estoril
30 Mar 2024	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–0	FC Porto
9 Jan 2024	Cup	Estoril	0–4	FC Porto
3 Nov 2023	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	0–1	Estoril
10 Mar 2023	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	3–2	Estoril
17 Sept 2022	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–1	FC Porto
14 May 2022	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	2–0	Estoril
8 Jan 2022	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	2–3	FC Porto
21 Feb 2018	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–3	FC Porto
9 Aug 2017	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	4–0	Estoril
28 Jan 2017	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–2	FC Porto
20 Aug 2016	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	1–0	Estoril
30 Jan 2016	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	1–3	FC Porto
29 Aug 2015	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	2–0	Estoril
6 Apr 2015	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	5–0	Estoril
9 Nov 2014	Portuguese Liga	Estoril	2–2	FC Porto
23 Feb 2014	Portuguese Liga	FC Porto	0–1	Estoril

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

FC Porto3W 0D 2L · goals 6–5

W28.10League CupHAcademico Viseu1–0
W24.10Primeira LigaAGil Vicente1–0
L20.10UEFA Champions LeagueHPSV0–1
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueABetis2–3
W10.10Primeira LigaAMaritimo2–1

Estoril0W 1D 4L · goals 4–9

L25.10Primeira LigaHMoreirense1–3
D18.10Taça de PortugalASalgueiros1–1
L10.10Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu1–2
L20.09Primeira LigaHCasa Pia1–2
L14.09Primeira LigaABraga0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

FC PortoEstoril

1.8Goals scored per game0.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score40%

3-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

FC PortoEstoril

Primeira Liga 2026/2027 · 7 gamesPrimeira Liga 2025/2026 · 34 games

2.6Goals scored1.6

0.4Goals conceded1.7

6.9Corners4.4

15.9Shots11.6

54%Possession52%

0.9Yellow cards2.5

57%Clean sheets15%

0%Failed to score29%

4-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)4-4-9

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	9	+17	27	WWWWW
2	Benfica	9	+18	22	WWLWW
17	Rio Ave	9	-13	7	LWLDL
18	Estoril	9	-10	2	LLLLD

Comments

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About this match

FC Porto vs Estoril preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:30, FC Porto take on Estoril in the Liga Portugal.

Form · last 5 matches

FC PortoWWLLW6 scored · 5 conceded

EstorilLDLLL4 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

FC PortoEstoril

1.8Goals scored per game0.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

19FC Porto wins

4Draws

3Estoril wins

26 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 54%

What's at stake

FC Porto1st27 pts · 9 played

Estoril18th2 pts · 9 played

FC Porto lead by 25 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.575%Confidence1.45Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.18 on FC Porto, 7.60 on the draw and 17.00 on Estoril, which is roughly 82%, 13% and 6% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Over 2.5 goals with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.45.

We also have Both teams to score: No (70%, 1.57) and Asian handicap: FC Porto -1.75 (65%, 1.71).

Recent form over the last 5: FC Porto WWLLW (goals 6–5), Estoril LDLLL (goals 4–9).

Both teams scored in 50% of FC Porto's recent games and 60% of Estoril's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 40% respectively.

Per game, FC Porto average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Estoril 0.6 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 26 head-to-head games the record reads 19–4–3 (wins–draws–losses) from FC Porto's side.

Those 26 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-12) ended Estoril 1–3 FC Porto.

FC Porto sit 1st on 27 pts after 9 games, Estoril 18th on 2 pts.

Nito explains: FC Porto vs Estoril

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for FC Porto vs Estoril mean?

The best prices are 1.18 for a FC Porto win, 7.60 for a draw and 17.00 for a Estoril win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.18 returns 11.80 if FC Porto win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.8% removed) that is 82% FC Porto, 13% draw and 6% Estoril.

What does Nito's pick "Over 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.45, the price implies a 69% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do FC Porto and Estoril matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of FC Porto's last 10 matches and 60% of Estoril's last 10. In their 26 recorded meetings it was 54%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. FC Porto reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Estoril in 40% of their last 10. Their 26 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (65% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. FC Porto, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (6 scored, 5 conceded). Estoril, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (4 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do FC Porto and Estoril stand in the table?

FC Porto are 1st with 27 points from 9 games. Estoril are 18th with 2 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 25 points.

FC Porto vs Estoril: questions & answers

Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our pick is Asian handicap: FC Porto -1.75 with 65% confidence (best price 1.71). Bookmaker odds imply FC Porto 82%, draw 13%, Estoril 6%.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (70% confidence, 1.57). Both teams scored in 54% of their 26 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of FC Porto's matches and 60% of Estoril's.

What are the odds for FC Porto vs Estoril?

Odds: FC Porto 1.18, draw 7.60, Estoril 17.00. Our pick Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.45.

When is the FC Porto vs Estoril kick-off?

FC Porto vs Estoril kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Estoril?

26 meetings: FC Porto 19 wins, 4 draws, Estoril 3 wins. Those 26 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

Other Liga Portugal matches on 31 Oct

17:30MoreirenseEstrela

All Liga Portugal fixtures

FC Porto vs Estoril prediction & odds

FC Porto

Estoril

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds