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Excelsior vs Twente prediction & odds

Excelsior

15:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 15:30

Twente

Odds 1X2

1Excelsior5.18XDraw4.532Twente1.61Nito’s pick

Stadion Woudestein

ExcelsiorvsTwente

Nito’s pick1.61

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Twente

1.61

68%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eredivisie
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 15:30 EET
Stadium: Stadion Woudestein
Capacity: 4,500
City: Rotterdam

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Twente68%Confidence1.61Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.61 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+6 pts)
Twente won 3 of their last 5 (goals 9–4); Excelsior won 1 (goals 6–12)
In the table Twente are 4th with 20 pts, Excelsior 13th with 11 pts
In 24 meetings Twente won 12, Excelsior won 5, 7 were drawn

Best price 1.61 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+6 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Excelsior19%5.18

Draw21%4.53

Twente60%1.61

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Excelsior5.1819%Draw4.5321%Twente1.6160%

Double chance

Excelsior or Draw2.24Excelsior or Twente1.17Draw or Twente1.13

Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%

Over 2.51.4765%Under 2.52.6835%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.9%

Excelsior +11.9350%Twente -11.9250%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Excelsior5.2518%Draw2.7135%Twente2.0147%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Excelsior1.9350%Twente1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Excelsior wins

7Draws

12Twente wins

Last matches: Excelsior

28.10.26KNVB CupMaastrichtExcelsior03W
25.10.26EredivisieSittardExcelsior10L
16.10.26EredivisieHeerenveenExcelsior40L
11.10.26EredivisieExcelsiorGroningen15L
19.09.26EredivisieAjaxExcelsior22D

Last matches: Twente

25.10.26EredivisieAZ AlkmaarTwente02W
22.10.26Conference LeagueLincoln Red ImpsTwente14W
18.10.26EredivisieTwenteUtrecht12L
15.10.26Conference LeagueTwenteThun10W
10.10.26EredivisieSittardTwente11D

Head-to-head matches

24.01.26EredivisieTwenteExcelsior00D
30.08.25EredivisieExcelsiorTwente10W
10.02.24EredivisieExcelsiorTwente03L
08.12.23EredivisieTwenteExcelsior42L
01.04.23EredivisieExcelsiorTwente00D
31.08.22EredivisieTwenteExcelsior40L

2.50Avg goals50%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Excelsior vs Twente: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Excelsior wins

7Draws

12Twente wins

22:38Goals (Excelsior : Twente)

2.50Goals per match

50%BTTS

71%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

Excelsior at home: 2-5-58:15 goals in 12 games
Twente at home: 7-2-323:14 goals in 12 games
Excelsior's biggest win: 1–3Twente 1–3 Excelsior, 27 Oct 2017
Twente's biggest win: 4–0Twente 4–0 Excelsior, 31 Aug 2022

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Eredivisie	Twente	0–0	Excelsior
30 Aug 2025	Eredivisie	Excelsior	1–0	Twente
10 Feb 2024	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–3	Twente
8 Dec 2023	Eredivisie	Twente	4–2	Excelsior
1 Apr 2023	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–0	Twente
31 Aug 2022	Eredivisie	Twente	4–0	Excelsior
23 Dec 2017	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–0	Twente
27 Oct 2017	Eredivisie	Twente	1–3	Excelsior
12 Feb 2017	Eredivisie	Excelsior	1–1	Twente
6 Aug 2016	Eredivisie	Twente	1–2	Excelsior
20 Apr 2016	Eredivisie	Twente	2–0	Excelsior
5 Dec 2015	Eredivisie	Excelsior	1–1	Twente
7 Feb 2015	Eredivisie	Twente	1–3	Excelsior
26 Oct 2014	Eredivisie	Excelsior	2–1	Twente
21 Apr 2012	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–1	Twente
2 Oct 2011	Eredivisie	Twente	2–2	Excelsior
20 Mar 2011	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–2	Twente
6 Nov 2010	Eredivisie	Twente	2–1	Excelsior
5 Apr 2008	Eredivisie	Twente	1–0	Excelsior
18 Aug 2007	Eredivisie	Excelsior	0–2	Twente

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Excelsior1W 1D 3L · goals 6–12

W28.10KNVB CupAMaastricht3–0
L25.10EredivisieASittard0–1
L16.10EredivisieAHeerenveen0–4
L11.10EredivisieHGroningen1–5
D19.09EredivisieAAjax2–2

Twente3W 1D 1L · goals 9–4

W25.10EredivisieAAZ Alkmaar2–0
W22.10Conference LeagueALincoln Red Imps4–1
L18.10EredivisieHUtrecht1–2
W15.10Conference LeagueHThun1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ExcelsiorTwente

1.5Goals scored per game2.1

1.9Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored60%

90%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score0%

1-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-2-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ExcelsiorTwente

Eredivisie 2025/2026 · 34 gamesEredivisie 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.3Goals scored2.1

1.6Goals conceded1.0

4.1Corners7.4

12.5Shots21.6

47%Possession57%

1.2Yellow cards0.9

18%Clean sheets29%

21%Failed to score14%

5-3-9Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eredivisie

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	PSV	10	+15	20	DLWLW
4	Twente	10	+9	20	WLDWW
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	+8	20	LDLWD
12	Nijmegen	10	-1	11	DDDDL
13	Excelsior	10	-3	11	LLLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	-7	9

Comments

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About this match

Excelsior vs Twente preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:30, Excelsior take on Twente in the Eredivisie.

Form · last 5 matches

ExcelsiorWLLLD6 scored · 12 conceded

TwenteWWLWD9 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ExcelsiorTwente

1.5Goals scored per game2.1

1.9Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored60%

90%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

5Excelsior wins

7Draws

12Twente wins

24 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Excelsior13th11 pts · 10 played

Twente4th20 pts · 10 played

Twente lead by 9 pts

Our pick

Twente to winTwente68%Confidence1.61Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Stadion Woudestein.

The best available prices are 5.18 on Excelsior, 4.53 on the draw and 1.61 on Twente, which is roughly 19%, 21% and 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Twente to win with 68% confidence at a best price of 1.61.

Recent form over the last 5: Excelsior WLLLD (goals 6–12), Twente WWLWD (goals 9–4).

Both teams scored in 60% of Excelsior's recent games and 60% of Twente's; over 2.5 goals landed in 90% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Excelsior average 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Twente 2.1 and 0.9 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 24 head-to-head games the record reads 5–7–12 (wins–draws–losses) from Excelsior's side.

Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-24) ended Twente 0–0 Excelsior.

Excelsior sit 13th on 11 pts after 10 games, Twente 4th on 20 pts.

Nito explains: Excelsior vs Twente

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Excelsior vs Twente mean?

The best prices are 5.18 for a Excelsior win, 4.53 for a draw and 1.61 for a Twente win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 5.18 returns 51.80 if Excelsior win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 19% Excelsior, 21% draw and 60% Twente.

What does Nito's pick "Twente to win" mean?

It wins only if Twente win; a draw or a Excelsior win loses. At 1.61, the price implies a 62% chance; Nito's data rates it at 68%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Excelsior and Twente matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Excelsior's last 10 matches and 60% of Twente's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Excelsior reached that in 90% of their last 10 matches, Twente in 50% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLLLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Excelsior, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 12 conceded). Twente, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (9 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Excelsior and Twente stand in the table?

Excelsior are 13th with 11 points from 10 games. Twente are 4th with 20 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Excelsior vs Twente: questions & answers

Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?

Our pick is Twente to win with 68% confidence (best price 1.61). Bookmaker odds imply Excelsior 19%, draw 21%, Twente 60%.

Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Twente?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 24 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Excelsior's matches and 60% of Twente's.

What are the odds for Excelsior vs Twente?

Odds: Excelsior 5.18, draw 4.53, Twente 1.61. Our pick Twente to win is available at 1.61.

When is the Excelsior vs Twente kick-off?

Excelsior vs Twente kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:30 (GMT+2) at Stadion Woudestein.

What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Twente?

24 meetings: Excelsior 5 wins, 7 draws, Twente 12 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other Eredivisie matches on 1 Nov

All Eredivisie fixtures

Excelsior vs Twente prediction & odds

Excelsior

Twente

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds