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Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & odds

Groningen

17:45

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:45

Sparta Rotterdam

Odds 1X2

1Groningen1.80Nito’s pickXDraw4.232Sparta Rotterdam4.12

Euroborg

GroningenvsSparta Rotterdam

Nito’s pick1.80

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Groningen

1.80

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eredivisie
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:45 EET
Stadium: Euroborg
Capacity: 22,579
City: Groningen

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Groningen65%Confidence1.80Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.80 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+9 pts)
Groningen won 2 of their last 5 (goals 12–10); Sparta Rotterdam won 1 (goals 9–13)
In the table Groningen are 8th with 15 pts, Sparta Rotterdam 14th with 9 pts
In 42 meetings Groningen won 15, Sparta Rotterdam won 17, 10 were drawn

Best price 1.80 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+9 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Groningen54%1.80

Draw23%4.23

Sparta Rotterdam23%4.12

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Groningen1.8054%Draw4.2323%Sparta Rotterdam4.1223%

Double chance

Groningen or Draw1.17Groningen or Sparta Rotterdam1.15Draw or Sparta Rotterdam2.06

Total goals 2.5margin 5.6%

Over 2.51.4366%Under 2.52.8034%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.9%

Groningen -0.751.9450%Sparta Rotterdam +0.751.9150%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Groningen2.1943%Draw2.6835%Sparta Rotterdam4.4022%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Groningen1.9350%Sparta Rotterdam1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

15Groningen wins

10Draws

17Sparta Rotterdam wins

Last matches: Groningen

29.10.26KNVB CupGroningenFC Emmen02L
25.10.26EredivisieNijmegenGroningen22D
18.10.26EredivisieGroningenAjax25L
11.10.26EredivisieExcelsiorGroningen15W
18.09.26EredivisieGroningenZwolle30W

Last matches: Sparta Rotterdam

28.10.26KNVB CupSparta RotterdamSittard22D
25.10.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamAjax12L
17.10.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamWillem II32W
10.10.26EredivisieG.A. EaglesSparta Rotterdam33D
19.09.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamHeerenveen04L

Head-to-head matches

31.01.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamGroningen20L
30.10.25KNVB CupSparta RotterdamGroningen52L
19.10.25EredivisieGroningenSparta Rotterdam02L
02.02.25EredivisieSparta RotterdamGroningen10L
09.11.24EredivisieGroningenSparta Rotterdam10W
28.05.23EredivisieGroningenSparta Rotterdam05L

2.76Avg goals55%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: head-to-head record

42 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

15Groningen wins

10Draws

17Sparta Rotterdam wins

58:58Goals (Groningen : Sparta Rotterdam)

2.76Goals per match

55%BTTS

79%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

Groningen at home: 9-4-832:25 goals in 21 games
Sparta Rotterdam at home: 9-6-633:26 goals in 21 games
Groningen's biggest win: 4–0Groningen 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam, 24 Dec 2017
Sparta Rotterdam's biggest win: 0–5Groningen 0–5 Sparta Rotterdam, 28 May 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–0	Groningen
30 Oct 2025	KNVB Cup	Sparta Rotterdam	5–2	Groningen
19 Oct 2025	Eredivisie	Groningen	0–2	Sparta Rotterdam
2 Feb 2025	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	1–0	Groningen
9 Nov 2024	Eredivisie	Groningen	1–0	Sparta Rotterdam
28 May 2023	Eredivisie	Groningen	0–5	Sparta Rotterdam
17 Sept 2022	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–1	Groningen
7 May 2022	Eredivisie	Groningen	1–2	Sparta Rotterdam
17 Oct 2021	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	1–1	Groningen
2 May 2021	Eredivisie	Groningen	1–2	Sparta Rotterdam
19 Dec 2020	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–3	Groningen
16 Feb 2020	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	1–2	Groningen
20 Oct 2019	Eredivisie	Groningen	2–0	Sparta Rotterdam
24 Dec 2017	Eredivisie	Groningen	4–0	Sparta Rotterdam
29 Oct 2017	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–1	Groningen
19 Feb 2017	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–2	Groningen
11 Sept 2016	Eredivisie	Groningen	1–1	Sparta Rotterdam
2 May 2010	Eredivisie	Groningen	3–1	Sparta Rotterdam
13 Dec 2009	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	2–4	Groningen
18 Jan 2009	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	1–1	Groningen

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Groningen2W 1D 2L · goals 12–10

L29.10KNVB CupHFC Emmen0–2
D25.10EredivisieANijmegen2–2
L18.10EredivisieHAjax2–5
W11.10EredivisieAExcelsior5–1
W18.09EredivisieHZwolle3–0

Sparta Rotterdam1W 2D 2L · goals 9–13

D28.10KNVB CupHSittard2–2
L25.10EredivisieHAjax1–2
W17.10EredivisieHWillem II3–2
D10.10EredivisieAG.A. Eagles3–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GroningenSparta Rotterdam

2.2Goals scored per game1.9

2.2Goals conceded per game2.5

80%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals100%

1Clean sheets0

10%Failed to score10%

1-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

GroningenSparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie 2025/2026 · 35 gamesEredivisie 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.4Goals scored1.4

1.3Goals conceded2.4

6.1Corners6.0

15.6Shots13.1

50%Possession45%

1.7Yellow cards1.1

29%Clean sheets0%

23%Failed to score29%

7-4-6Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eredivisie

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Heerenveen	10	+5	15	WWLWD
8	Groningen	10	+3	15	DLWWD
9	G.A. Eagles	10	0	14	WLDDD
13	Excelsior	10	-3	11	LLLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	-7	9	LWDLL
15	Zwolle	10	-12

Comments

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About this match

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:45.

Form · last 5 matches

GroningenLDLWW12 scored · 10 conceded

Sparta RotterdamDLWDL9 scored · 13 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GroningenSparta Rotterdam

2.2Goals scored per game1.9

2.2Goals conceded per game2.5

80%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals100%

1Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

15Groningen wins

10Draws

17Sparta Rotterdam wins

42 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 55%

What's at stake

Groningen8th15 pts · 10 played

Sparta Rotterdam14th9 pts · 10 played

Groningen lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Groningen to winGroningen65%Confidence1.80Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Euroborg.

The best available prices are 1.80 on Groningen, 4.23 on the draw and 4.12 on Sparta Rotterdam, which is roughly 54%, 23% and 23% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Groningen to win with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.80.

Recent form over the last 5: Groningen LDLWW (goals 12–10), Sparta Rotterdam DLWDL (goals 9–13).

Both teams scored in 80% of Groningen's recent games and 90% of Sparta Rotterdam's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 100% respectively.

Per game, Groningen average 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Sparta Rotterdam 1.9 and 2.5 (clean sheets: 0).

Across 42 head-to-head games the record reads 15–10–17 (wins–draws–losses) from Groningen's side.

Those 42 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-31) ended Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen.

Groningen sit 8th on 15 pts after 10 games, Sparta Rotterdam 14th on 9 pts.

Nito explains: Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam mean?

The best prices are 1.80 for a Groningen win, 4.23 for a draw and 4.12 for a Sparta Rotterdam win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.80 returns 18.00 if Groningen win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 54% Groningen, 23% draw and 23% Sparta Rotterdam.

What does Nito's pick "Groningen to win" mean?

It wins only if Groningen win; a draw or a Sparta Rotterdam win loses. At 1.80, the price implies a 56% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Groningen's last 10 matches and 90% of Sparta Rotterdam's last 10. In their 42 recorded meetings it was 55%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Groningen reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Sparta Rotterdam in 100% of their last 10. Their 42 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Groningen, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (12 scored, 10 conceded). Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (9 scored, 13 conceded).

Where do Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam stand in the table?

Groningen are 8th with 15 points from 10 games. Sparta Rotterdam are 14th with 9 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: questions & answers

Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our pick is Groningen to win with 65% confidence (best price 1.80). Bookmaker odds imply Groningen 54%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 23%.

Will both teams score in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Both teams scored in 55% of their 42 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Groningen's matches and 90% of Sparta Rotterdam's.

What are the odds for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Odds: Groningen 1.80, draw 4.23, Sparta Rotterdam 4.12. Our pick Groningen to win is available at 1.80.

When is the Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam kick-off?

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:45 (GMT+2) at Euroborg.

What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam?

42 meetings: Groningen 15 wins, 10 draws, Sparta Rotterdam 17 wins. Those 42 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.

Other Eredivisie matches on 1 Nov

All Eredivisie fixtures

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & odds

Groningen

Sparta Rotterdam

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds