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Union Berlin vs FC Koln prediction & odds

Union Berlin

16:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 16:30

FC Koln

Odds 1X2

1Union Berlin2.68XDraw3.722FC Koln2.60

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union BerlinvsFC Koln

Nito’s pick1.45

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or FC Koln

1.45

67%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 16:30 EET
Stadium: Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Capacity: 22,467
City: Berlin

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or FC Koln67%Confidence1.45Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.45 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 67% (-2 pts)
FC Koln won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–4); Union Berlin won 2 (goals 3–6)
In the table FC Koln are 12th with 8 pts, Union Berlin 17th with 6 pts
In 21 meetings FC Koln won 7, Union Berlin won 10, 4 were drawn

Best price 1.45 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 67% (-2 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or FC KolnHigh confidence

Confidence67%

Indicative price1.45

Double chance: Draw or FC Koln: our confidence is 67% at a best price of 1.45.

Asian handicap -0.25FC Koln +0.25

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.67

Asian handicap: FC Koln +0.25: our confidence is 62% at a best price of 1.67.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Union Berlin37%2.66

Draw26%3.72

FC Koln37%2.60

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.7%

Union Berlin2.6836%Draw3.7226%FC Koln2.6037%

Double chance

Union Berlin or Draw1.45Union Berlin or FC Koln1.26Draw or FC Koln1.45

Total goals 2.5margin 3.3%

Over 2.51.6559%Under 2.52.3441%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.3%

Union Berlin 01.9949%FC Koln 01.9251%

1st-half resultmargin 3.9%

Union Berlin3.1231%Draw2.4839%FC Koln3.1730%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Union Berlin1.9749%FC Koln1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

10Union Berlin wins

4Draws

7FC Koln wins

Last matches: Union Berlin

27.10.26DFB-PokalFC KolnUnion Berlin50L
24.10.26BundesligaAugsburgUnion Berlin11D
17.10.26BundesligaUnion BerlinDortmund00D
10.10.26BundesligaUnion BerlinElversberg10W
26.09.26Club FriendliesRijekaUnion Berlin01W

Last matches: FC Koln

27.10.26DFB-PokalFC KolnUnion Berlin50W
24.10.26BundesligaFC KolnSchalke00D
16.10.26BundesligaEintracht FrankfurtFC Koln10L
11.10.26BundesligaFC KolnB. Monchengladbach21W
19.09.26BundesligaHamburger SVFC Koln21L

Head-to-head matches

27.10.26DFB-PokalFC KolnUnion Berlin50L
02.05.26BundesligaUnion BerlinFC Koln22D
20.12.25BundesligaFC KolnUnion Berlin01W
11.05.24BundesligaFC KolnUnion Berlin32L
20.12.23BundesligaUnion BerlinFC Koln20W
04.03.23BundesligaUnion BerlinFC Koln00D

2.86Avg goals43%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Union Berlin vs FC Koln: head-to-head record

21 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

10Union Berlin wins

4Draws

7FC Koln wins

25:35Goals (Union Berlin : FC Koln)

2.86Goals per match

43%BTTS

81%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

Union Berlin at home: 6-2-214:9 goals in 10 games
FC Koln at home: 5-2-426:11 goals in 11 games
Union Berlin's biggest win: 2–0Union Berlin 2–0 FC Koln, 20 Dec 2023
FC Koln's biggest win: 7–0FC Koln 7–0 Union Berlin, 6 Oct 2002

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
27 Oct 2026	DFB-Pokal	FC Koln	5–0	Union Berlin
2 May 2026	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	2–2	FC Koln
20 Dec 2025	Bundesliga	FC Koln	0–1	Union Berlin
11 May 2024	Bundesliga	FC Koln	3–2	Union Berlin
20 Dec 2023	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	2–0	FC Koln
4 Mar 2023	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	0–0	FC Koln
11 Sept 2022	Bundesliga	FC Koln	0–1	Union Berlin
1 Apr 2022	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	1–0	FC Koln
7 Nov 2021	Bundesliga	FC Koln	2–2	Union Berlin
13 Mar 2021	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	2–1	FC Koln
22 Nov 2020	Bundesliga	FC Koln	1–2	Union Berlin
13 Jun 2020	Bundesliga	FC Koln	1–2	Union Berlin
8 Dec 2019	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	2–0	FC Koln
31 Jan 2019	Bundesliga 2	Union Berlin	2–0	FC Koln
13 Aug 2018	Bundesliga 2	FC Koln	1–1	Union Berlin
11 Apr 2014	Bundesliga 2	Union Berlin	1–2	FC Koln
4 Nov 2013	Bundesliga 2	FC Koln	4–0	Union Berlin
23 Feb 2013	Bundesliga 2	FC Koln	2–0	Union Berlin
21 Sept 2012	Bundesliga 2	Union Berlin	2–1	FC Koln
15 Mar 2003	Bundesliga 2	Union Berlin	0–3	FC Koln

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Union Berlin2W 2D 1L · goals 3–6

L27.10DFB-PokalAFC Koln0–5
D24.10BundesligaAAugsburg1–1
D17.10BundesligaHDortmund0–0
W10.10BundesligaHElversberg1–0
W26.09Club FriendliesARijeka1–0

FC Koln2W 1D 2L · goals 8–4

W27.10DFB-PokalHUnion Berlin5–0
D24.10BundesligaHSchalke0–0
L16.10BundesligaAEintracht Frankfurt0–1
W11.10BundesligaHB. Monchengladbach2–1
L19.09BundesligaAHamburger SV1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Union BerlinFC Koln

1.1Goals scored per game1.7

2.5Goals conceded per game1.3

40%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets2

40%Failed to score20%

1-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Hamburger SV	7	-10	9	LWWWL
12	FC Koln	7	-3	8	DLWLD
13	Paderborn	7	-3	8	WDLWL
16	Schalke	7	-3	6	DLLDW
17	Union Berlin	7	-12	6	DDWLL
18	B. Monchengladbach	7	-11	3	WLLLL

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About this match

Union Berlin vs FC Koln preview

Bundesliga fixture: Union Berlin welcome FC Koln on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (16:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Union BerlinLDDWW3 scored · 6 conceded

FC KolnWDLWL8 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Union BerlinFC Koln

1.1Goals scored per game1.7

2.5Goals conceded per game1.3

40%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

10Union Berlin wins

4Draws

7FC Koln wins

21 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 43%

What's at stake

Union Berlin17th6 pts · 7 played

FC Koln12th8 pts · 7 played

FC Koln lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or FC Koln67%Confidence1.45Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.

The market sees little between the sides: Union Berlin 2.66 (37%), draw 3.72 (26%), FC Koln 2.60 (37%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or FC Koln: 67% confidence, priced at 1.45.

We also have Asian handicap: FC Koln +0.25 (62%, 1.67).

Recent form over the last 5: Union Berlin LDDWW (goals 3–6), FC Koln WDLWL (goals 8–4).

Both teams scored in 40% of Union Berlin's recent games and 70% of FC Koln's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 70% respectively.

Per game, Union Berlin average 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded (clean sheets: 3), FC Koln 1.7 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 21 head-to-head games the record reads 10–4–7 (wins–draws–losses) from Union Berlin's side.

Those 21 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-27) ended FC Koln 5–0 Union Berlin.

Union Berlin sit 17th on 6 pts after 7 games, FC Koln 12th on 8 pts.

Nito explains: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Union Berlin vs FC Koln mean?

The best prices are 2.66 for a Union Berlin win, 3.72 for a draw and 2.60 for a FC Koln win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.66 returns 26.60 if Union Berlin win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.9% removed) that is 37% Union Berlin, 26% draw and 37% FC Koln.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or FC Koln" mean?

It wins if FC Koln win or draw; it loses only if Union Berlin win. At 1.45, the price implies a 69% chance; Nito's data rates it at 67%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Union Berlin and FC Koln matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Union Berlin's last 10 matches and 70% of FC Koln's last 10. In their 21 recorded meetings it was 43%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Union Berlin reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, FC Koln in 70% of their last 10. Their 21 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Union Berlin, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (3 scored, 6 conceded). FC Koln, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Union Berlin and FC Koln stand in the table?

Union Berlin are 17th with 6 points from 7 games. FC Koln are 12th with 8 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Union Berlin vs FC Koln: questions & answers

Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Koln?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or FC Koln with 67% confidence (best price 1.45). Bookmaker odds imply Union Berlin 37%, draw 26%, FC Koln 37%.

Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs FC Koln?

Both teams scored in 43% of their 21 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Union Berlin's matches and 70% of FC Koln's.

What are the odds for Union Berlin vs FC Koln?

Odds: Union Berlin 2.66, draw 3.72, FC Koln 2.60. Our pick Double chance: Draw or FC Koln is available at 1.45.

When is the Union Berlin vs FC Koln kick-off?

Union Berlin vs FC Koln kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 16:30 (GMT+2) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.

What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and FC Koln?

21 meetings: Union Berlin 10 wins, 4 draws, FC Koln 7 wins. Those 21 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Other Bundesliga matches on 1 Nov

18:30Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV

All Bundesliga fixtures

Union Berlin vs FC Koln prediction & odds

Union Berlin

FC Koln

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds