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Ferencvaros vs Paks prediction & odds

Ferencvaros

17:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:00

Paks

Odds 1X2

1Ferencvaros1.57Nito’s pickXDraw4.782Paks4.70

Groupama Aréna

FerencvarosvsPaks

Nito’s pick1.57

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Ferencvaros

1.57

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: NB I
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:00 EET
Stadium: Groupama Aréna
Capacity: 23,698
City: Budapest

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Ferencvaros75%Confidence1.57Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+11 pts)
Ferencvaros won 4 of their last 5 (goals 16–4); Paks won 4 (goals 9–3)
In the table Ferencvaros are 4th with 17 pts, Paks 3rd with 17 pts
In 49 meetings Ferencvaros won 26, Paks won 10, 13 were drawn

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+11 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Ferencvaros60%1.57

Draw20%4.78

Paks20%4.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.9%

Ferencvaros1.5760%Draw4.7820%Paks4.7020%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

26Ferencvaros wins

13Draws

10Paks wins

Last matches: Ferencvaros

28.10.26Hungary CupBicskeFerencvaros14W
25.10.26NB IFerencvarosMTK Budapest50W
22.10.26Europa LeagueFerencvarosTorreense41W
18.10.26NB IKisvardaFerencvaros11D
15.10.26Europa LeagueFerencvarosPlzen21W

Last matches: Paks

28.10.26Hungary CupCigándPaks12W
25.10.26NB IVasasPaks02W
17.10.26NB IPaksGyor12L
10.10.26NB IPaksMTK Budapest30W
19.09.26NB IKisvardaPaks01W

Head-to-head matches

26.07.26NB IPaksFerencvaros42L
26.04.26NB IFerencvarosPaks20W
01.02.26NB IPaksFerencvaros01W
05.10.25NB IFerencvarosPaks22D
14.05.25CupFerencvarosPaks11D
10.05.25NB IPaksFerencvaros23W

3.37Avg goals59%Both scored67%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Ferencvaros vs Paks: head-to-head record

49 meetings since 2009: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

26Ferencvaros wins

13Draws

10Paks wins

105:60Goals (Ferencvaros : Paks)

3.37Goals per match

59%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

67%Over 2.5

51%Over 3.5

Ferencvaros at home: 13-9-354:25 goals in 25 games
Paks at home: 7-4-1335:51 goals in 24 games
Ferencvaros's biggest win: 6–1Ferencvaros 6–1 Paks, 27 Aug 2023
Paks's biggest win: 0–3Ferencvaros 0–3 Paks, 6 Feb 2022

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
26 Jul 2026	NB I	Paks	4–2	Ferencvaros
26 Apr 2026	NB I	Ferencvaros	2–0	Paks
1 Feb 2026	NB I	Paks	0–1	Ferencvaros
5 Oct 2025	NB I	Ferencvaros	2–2	Paks
14 May 2025	Cup	Ferencvaros	1–1	Paks
10 May 2025	NB I	Paks	2–3	Ferencvaros
16 Feb 2025	NB I	Ferencvaros	0–2	Paks
6 Oct 2024	NB I	Paks	3–1	Ferencvaros
15 May 2024	Cup	Paks	0–0	Ferencvaros
7 Apr 2024	NB I	Ferencvaros	1–0	Paks
10 Dec 2023	NB I	Paks	3–2	Ferencvaros
27 Aug 2023	NB I	Ferencvaros	6–1	Paks
8 Apr 2023	NB I	Paks	3–2	Ferencvaros
1 Feb 2023	NB I	Paks	1–3	Ferencvaros
9 Nov 2022	NB I	Ferencvaros	3–2	Paks
11 May 2022	Cup	Ferencvaros	3–0	Paks
29 Apr 2022	NB I	Paks	1–2	Ferencvaros
6 Feb 2022	NB I	Ferencvaros	0–3	Paks
3 Oct 2021	NB I	Paks	1–3	Ferencvaros
14 Mar 2021	NB I	Ferencvaros	5–2	Paks

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Ferencvaros4W 1D 0L · goals 16–4

W28.10Hungary CupABicske4–1
W25.10NB IHMTK Budapest5–0
W22.10Europa LeagueHTorreense4–1
D18.10NB IAKisvarda1–1
W15.10Europa LeagueHPlzen2–1

Paks4W 0D 1L · goals 9–3

W28.10Hungary CupACigánd2–1
W25.10NB IAVasas2–0
L17.10NB IHGyor1–2
W10.10NB IHMTK Budapest3–0
W19.09NB IAKisvarda1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

FerencvarosPaks

3.0Goals scored per game1.8

0.9Goals conceded per game1.2

80%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets4

0%Failed to score0%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · NB I

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Gyor	11	+7	21	WWLWW
3	Paks	11	+3	17	WLWWL
4	Ferencvaros	10	+8	17	WDDDD
5	Debrecen	11	+2	16	WWDLW

Comments

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About this match

Ferencvaros vs Paks preview

NB I fixture: Ferencvaros welcome Paks on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

FerencvarosWWWDW16 scored · 4 conceded

PaksWWLWW9 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

FerencvarosPaks

3.0Goals scored per game1.8

0.9Goals conceded per game1.2

80%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

26Ferencvaros wins

13Draws

10Paks wins

49 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 59%

What's at stake

Ferencvaros4th17 pts · 10 played

Paks3rd17 pts · 11 played

Level on points

Our pick

Ferencvaros to winFerencvaros75%Confidence1.57Price

Read the full match preview

Groupama Aréna hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Ferencvaros the favourite at 1.57 (60% implied), with the draw at 4.78 (20%).

Our strongest pick is Ferencvaros to win with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.57.

Ferencvaros come into the game with WWWDW in their last 5 (16 scored, 4 conceded), while Paks have WWLWW (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Ferencvaros's recent games and 60% of Paks's, with both teams scoring in 80% and 60%.

Per game, Ferencvaros average 3.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Paks 1.8 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 49 previous meetings: Ferencvaros 26 wins, Paks 10 wins, draws 13.

Those 49 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-26) ended Paks 4–2 Ferencvaros.

In the table, Ferencvaros are 4th (17 pts from 10 games) and Paks are 3rd (17 pts from 11).

Nito explains: Ferencvaros vs Paks

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Ferencvaros vs Paks mean?

The best prices are 1.57 for a Ferencvaros win, 4.78 for a draw and 4.70 for a Paks win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.57 returns 15.70 if Ferencvaros win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.9% removed) that is 60% Ferencvaros, 20% draw and 20% Paks.

What does Nito's pick "Ferencvaros to win" mean?

It wins only if Ferencvaros win; a draw or a Paks win loses. At 1.57, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Ferencvaros and Paks matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Ferencvaros's last 10 matches and 60% of Paks's last 10. In their 49 recorded meetings it was 59%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Ferencvaros reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Paks in 60% of their last 10. Their 49 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (67% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Ferencvaros, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (16 scored, 4 conceded). Paks, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Where do Ferencvaros and Paks stand in the table?

Ferencvaros are 4th with 17 points from 10 games. Paks are 3rd with 17 points from 11 games. They are level on points.

Ferencvaros vs Paks: questions & answers

Who will win Ferencvaros vs Paks?

Our pick is Ferencvaros to win with 75% confidence (best price 1.57). Bookmaker odds imply Ferencvaros 60%, draw 20%, Paks 20%.

Will both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Paks?

Both teams scored in 59% of their 49 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Ferencvaros's matches and 60% of Paks's.

What are the odds for Ferencvaros vs Paks?

Odds: Ferencvaros 1.57, draw 4.78, Paks 4.70. Our pick Ferencvaros to win is available at 1.57.

When is the Ferencvaros vs Paks kick-off?

Ferencvaros vs Paks kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Groupama Aréna.

What is the head-to-head record between Ferencvaros and Paks?

49 meetings: Ferencvaros 26 wins, 13 draws, Paks 10 wins. Those 49 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.

Other NB I matches on 1 Nov

All NB I fixtures

Ferencvaros vs Paks prediction & odds

Ferencvaros

Paks

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds