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Hajduk Split vs Gorica prediction & odds

Hajduk Split

16:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 16:00

Gorica

Odds 1X2

1Hajduk Split1.35Nito’s pickXDraw5.402Gorica8.54

Hajduk SplitvsGorica

Nito’s pick1.35

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Hajduk Split

1.35

82%Confidence

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Hnl
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 16:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Hajduk Split82%Confidence1.35Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.35 means bookmakers give it 74%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+8 pts)
Hajduk Split won 4 of their last 5 (goals 8–4); Gorica won 1 (goals 4–4)
In the table Hajduk Split are 1st with 23 pts, Gorica 10th with 7 pts
In 35 meetings Hajduk Split won 18, Gorica won 11, 6 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Hajduk SplitHigh confidence

Confidence82%

Indicative price1.35

Hajduk Split to win: our confidence is 82%, 8 points above the 74% the best price of 1.35 implies.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.76

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 70%, 13 points above the 57% the best price of 1.76 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.15

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 13 points above the 47% the best price of 2.15 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Hajduk Split71%1.35

Draw18%5.40

Gorica11%8.54

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.3%

Hajduk Split1.3571%Draw5.4018%Gorica8.5411%

Double chance

Hajduk Split or Draw1.02Hajduk Split or Gorica1.10Draw or Gorica2.87

Total goals 2.5margin 5.7%

Over 2.51.6956%Under 2.52.1544%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 5.0%

Hajduk Split -1.52.0147%Gorica +1.51.8153%

1st-half resultmargin 7.9%

Hajduk Split1.7553%Draw2.6136%Gorica8.0512%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Hajduk Split1.9350%Gorica1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Hajduk Split wins

6Draws

11Gorica wins

Last matches: Hajduk Split

26.10.261. HNLIstra 1961Hajduk Split22D
22.10.26Conference LeagueThunHajduk Split01W
18.10.261. HNLHajduk SplitVarazdin10W
15.10.26Conference LeagueHajduk SplitAjax21W
10.10.261. HNLHajduk SplitDin. Zagreb21W

Last matches: Gorica

24.10.261. HNLGoricaLok. Zagreb00D
17.10.261. HNLOsijekGorica11D
09.10.261. HNLGoricaRudes12L
28.09.26Club FriendliesMariborGorica11D
19.09.261. HNLIstra 1961Gorica01W

Head-to-head matches

16.08.261. HNLGoricaHajduk Split12W
12.04.261. HNLHajduk SplitGorica10W
31.01.261. HNLGoricaHajduk Split10L
24.10.251. HNLGoricaHajduk Split13W
10.08.251. HNLHajduk SplitGorica20W
11.05.25HNLGoricaHajduk Split11D

2.77Avg goals51%Both scored66%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Hajduk Split vs Gorica: head-to-head record

35 meetings since 2018: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Hajduk Split wins

6Draws

11Gorica wins

60:37Goals (Hajduk Split : Gorica)

2.77Goals per match

51%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

66%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Hajduk Split at home: 12-2-236:12 goals in 16 games
Gorica at home: 9-4-625:24 goals in 19 games
Hajduk Split's biggest win: 6–0Hajduk Split 6–0 Gorica, 22 Feb 2020
Gorica's biggest win: 3–0Gorica 3–0 Hajduk Split, 16 Mar 2021

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	1. HNL	Gorica	1–2	Hajduk Split
12 Apr 2026	1. HNL	Hajduk Split	1–0	Gorica
31 Jan 2026	1. HNL	Gorica	1–0	Hajduk Split
24 Oct 2025	1. HNL	Gorica	1–3	Hajduk Split
10 Aug 2025	1. HNL	Hajduk Split	2–0	Gorica
11 May 2025	HNL	Gorica	1–1	Hajduk Split
9 Mar 2025	HNL	Hajduk Split	2–1	Gorica
7 Dec 2024	HNL	Gorica	1–0	Hajduk Split
21 Sept 2024	HNL	Hajduk Split	4–1	Gorica
19 May 2024	HNL	Hajduk Split	2–1	Gorica
9 Mar 2024	HNL	Gorica	0–3	Hajduk Split
2 Dec 2023	HNL	Hajduk Split	3–0	Gorica
17 Sept 2023	HNL	Gorica	2–1	Hajduk Split
26 Apr 2023	HNL	Gorica	0–0	Hajduk Split
19 Feb 2023	HNL	Hajduk Split	2–1	Gorica
26 Oct 2022	HNL	Hajduk Split	3–1	Gorica
15 Oct 2022	HNL	Gorica	0–1	Hajduk Split
2 Mar 2022	Cup	Hajduk Split	2–1	Gorica
5 Feb 2022	HNL	Gorica	0–4	Hajduk Split
23 Oct 2021	HNL	Hajduk Split	0–0	Gorica

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Hajduk Split4W 1D 0L · goals 8–4

D26.101. HNLAIstra 19612–2
W22.10Conference LeagueAThun1–0
W18.101. HNLHVarazdin1–0
W15.10Conference LeagueHAjax2–1
W10.101. HNLHDin. Zagreb2–1

Gorica1W 3D 1L · goals 4–4

D24.101. HNLHLok. Zagreb0–0
D17.101. HNLAOsijek1–1
L09.101. HNLHRudes1–2
D28.09Club FriendliesAMaribor1–1
W19.091. HNLAIstra 19611–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Hajduk SplitGorica

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.0

30%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

6Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score40%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Hajduk SplitGorica

1. HNL 2025/2026 · 23 games1. HNL 2026/2027 · 3 games

1.6Goals scored0.3

1.0Goals conceded2.0

5.6Corners3.3

15.0Shots10.0

59%Possession47%

2.0Yellow cards1.0

39%Clean sheets0%

17%Failed to score67%

8-1-3Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · HNL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Hajduk Split	11	+10	23	DWWLW
2	Din. Zagreb	10	+12	22	WWLWL
9	Rudes	11	-13	10	WLWDL
10	Gorica	11	-8	7	DDLWD

About this match

Hajduk Split vs Gorica preview

Hnl fixture: Hajduk Split welcome Gorica on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (16:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Hajduk SplitDWWWW8 scored · 4 conceded

GoricaDDLDW4 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Hajduk SplitGorica

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.0

30%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

6Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

18Hajduk Split wins

6Draws

11Gorica wins

35 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 51%

What's at stake

Hajduk Split1st23 pts · 11 played

Gorica10th7 pts · 11 played

Hajduk Split lead by 16 pts

Our pick

Hajduk Split to winHajduk Split82%Confidence1.35Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Hajduk Split the favourite at 1.35 (71% implied), with the draw at 5.40 (18%).

The selection we rate highest is Hajduk Split to win: 82% confidence, priced at 1.35.

We also have Both teams to score: No (70%, 1.76) and Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.15).

Hajduk Split come into the game with DWWWW in their last 5 (8 scored, 4 conceded), while Gorica have DDLDW (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Hajduk Split's recent games and 30% of Gorica's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 50%.

Per game, Hajduk Split average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Gorica 0.9 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 35 previous meetings: Hajduk Split 18 wins, Gorica 11 wins, draws 6.

Those 35 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-16) ended Gorica 1–2 Hajduk Split.

In the table, Hajduk Split are 1st (23 pts from 11 games) and Gorica are 10th (7 pts from 11).

Nito explains: Hajduk Split vs Gorica

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Hajduk Split vs Gorica mean?

The best prices are 1.35 for a Hajduk Split win, 5.40 for a draw and 8.54 for a Gorica win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.35 returns 13.50 if Hajduk Split win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.3% removed) that is 71% Hajduk Split, 18% draw and 11% Gorica.

What does Nito's pick "Hajduk Split to win" mean?

It wins only if Hajduk Split win; a draw or a Gorica win loses. At 1.35, the price implies a 74% chance; Nito's data rates it at 82%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Hajduk Split and Gorica matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Hajduk Split's last 10 matches and 50% of Gorica's last 10. In their 35 recorded meetings it was 51%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Hajduk Split reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Gorica in 30% of their last 10. Their 35 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (66% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Hajduk Split, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (8 scored, 4 conceded). Gorica, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Hajduk Split and Gorica stand in the table?

Hajduk Split are 1st with 23 points from 11 games. Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 11 games. The gap between them is 16 points.

Hajduk Split vs Gorica: questions & answers

Who will win Hajduk Split vs Gorica?

Our pick is Hajduk Split to win with 82% confidence (best price 1.35). Bookmaker odds imply Hajduk Split 71%, draw 18%, Gorica 11%.

Will both teams score in Hajduk Split vs Gorica?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (70% confidence, 1.76). Both teams scored in 51% of their 35 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Hajduk Split's matches and 50% of Gorica's.

What are the odds for Hajduk Split vs Gorica?

Odds: Hajduk Split 1.35, draw 5.40, Gorica 8.54. Our pick Hajduk Split to win is available at 1.35.

When is the Hajduk Split vs Gorica kick-off?

Hajduk Split vs Gorica kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Gorica?

35 meetings: Hajduk Split 18 wins, 6 draws, Gorica 11 wins. Those 35 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

Other Hnl matches on 31 Oct

19:00RudesDin. Zagreb

All Hnl fixtures

Hajduk Split vs Gorica prediction & odds

Hajduk Split

Gorica

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds