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Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC prediction & odds

Guayaquil City

23:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 23:00

Libertad FC

Odds 1X2

1Guayaquil City1.90XDraw3.392Libertad FC4.14

Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt

Guayaquil CityvsLibertad FC

Nito’s pick1.88

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.88

60%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga Pro
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 23:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt
Capacity: 10,152
City: Guayaquil

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.88Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.88 means bookmakers give it 53%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+7 pts)
3+ goals in 70% of Guayaquil City's last 5 and 60% of Libertad FC's
Goals per game in the last 5: Guayaquil City matches 3.6, Libertad FC matches 2.9
Their 5 meetings average 2.4 goals; both teams scored in 40%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Guayaquil City50%1.90

Draw28%3.39

Libertad FC23%4.14

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.3%

Guayaquil City1.9050%Draw3.3928%Libertad FC4.1423%

Double chance

Guayaquil City or Draw1.17Guayaquil City or Libertad FC1.20Draw or Libertad FC1.83

Total goals 2.5margin 5.5%

Over 2.51.9150%Under 2.51.8850%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 5.3%

Guayaquil City -0.51.9050%Libertad FC +0.51.9050%

1st-half resultmargin 7.4%

Guayaquil City2.4638%Draw2.2541%Libertad FC4.4821%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Guayaquil City1.9449%Libertad FC1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Guayaquil City wins

2Draws

2Libertad FC wins

Last matches: Guayaquil City

25.10.26Liga ProEmelecGuayaquil City01W
17.10.26Liga ProLibertad FCGuayaquil City40L
10.10.26Liga ProGuayaquil CityEmelec32W
19.09.26Liga ProGuayaquil CityLeones del Norte11D
12.09.26Liga ProGuayaquil CityMushuc Runa31W

Last matches: Libertad FC

25.10.26Liga ProLeones del NorteLibertad FC

Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC: head-to-head record

5 meetings since 2023: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Guayaquil City wins

2Draws

2Libertad FC wins

4:8Goals (Guayaquil City : Libertad FC)

2.40Goals per match

40%BTTS

60%Over 1.5

40%Over 2.5

40%Over 3.5

Guayaquil City at home: 0-2-03:3 goals in 2 games
Libertad FC at home: 2-0-15:1 goals in 3 games
Guayaquil City's biggest win: 0–1Libertad FC 0–1 Guayaquil City, 21 Apr 2026
Libertad FC's biggest win: 4–0Libertad FC 4–0 Guayaquil City, 17 Oct 2026

Meetings (5 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
17 Oct 2026	Liga Pro	Libertad FC	4–0	Guayaquil City
15 Aug 2026	Liga Pro	Guayaquil City

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Guayaquil City3W 1D 1L · goals 8–8

W25.10Liga ProAEmelec1–0
L17.10Liga ProALibertad FC0–4
W10.10Liga ProHEmelec3–2
D19.09Liga ProHLeones del Norte1–1
W12.09Liga ProHMushuc Runa3–1

Libertad FC3W 0D 2L · goals 12–8

L25.10Liga ProALeones del Norte1–4
W17.10Liga ProHGuayaquil City4–0
W09.10Liga ProHLeones del Norte3–0
W20.09Liga ProAEmelec

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Guayaquil CityLibertad FC

1.8Goals scored per game1.7

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score10%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Guayaquil CityLibertad FC

Primera A 2026 · 25 gamesPrimera A 2026 · 26 games

1.2Goals scored0.9

1.1Goals conceded1.2

3.4Corners3.7

9.5Shots11.3

56%Possession45%

1.7Yellow cards2.2

32%Clean sheets31%

36%Failed to score35%

7-6-2Home / away record (W-D-L)3-5-7

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga Pro: Regular season

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Barcelona SC	30	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad	30	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones del Norte	30	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	-9	39	LWDWL

About this match

Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC preview

Guayaquil City host Libertad FC in the Liga Pro on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Guayaquil CityWLWDW8 scored · 8 conceded

Libertad FCLWWWL12 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Guayaquil CityLibertad FC

1.8Goals scored per game1.7

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

1Guayaquil City wins

2Draws

2Libertad FC wins

5 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 40%

What's at stake

Guayaquil City9th39 pts · 30 played

Nito explains: Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC mean?

The best prices are 1.90 for a Guayaquil City win, 3.39 for a draw and 4.14 for a Libertad FC win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.90 returns 19.00 if Guayaquil City win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.3% removed) that is 50% Guayaquil City, 28% draw and 23% Libertad FC.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.88, the price implies a 53% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Guayaquil City and Libertad FC matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Guayaquil City's last 10 matches and 50% of Libertad FC's last 10. In their 5 recorded meetings it was 40%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Guayaquil City reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Libertad FC in 60% of their last 10. Their 5 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (40% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLWDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Guayaquil City, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 8 conceded). Libertad FC, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (12 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Guayaquil City and Libertad FC stand in the table?

Guayaquil City are 9th with 39 points from 30 games. Libertad FC are 7th with 41 points from 30 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC: questions & answers

Who will win Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC?

Bookmaker odds imply Guayaquil City 50%, draw 28%, Libertad FC 23%.

Will both teams score in Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC?

Both teams scored in 40% of their 5 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Guayaquil City's matches and 50% of Libertad FC's.

What are the odds for Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC?

Odds: Guayaquil City 1.90, draw 3.39, Libertad FC 4.14. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.88.

When is the Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC kick-off?

Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt.

What is the head-to-head record between Guayaquil City and Libertad FC?

5 meetings: Guayaquil City 1 wins, 2 draws, Libertad FC 2 wins. Those 5 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Other Liga Pro matches on 1 Nov

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Guayaquil City vs Libertad FC prediction & odds

Guayaquil City

Libertad FC

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds