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Roda vs Jong AZ live score & odds

Roda

2–0
LIVE 66'

Jong AZ

  • M. Paulissen 35′
  • A. van den Hurk 61′
    30/10/2026 21:00

    Key events

    Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

    Key events

    1st half1 - 0
    28′M. Menu
    J. Sleegers30′
    1-0M. Paulissen35′
    2nd half1 - 0
    46′S. Simons
    J. Deom55′
    57′B. Budko
    2-0A. van den Hurk61′
    64′J. Sijbrands

    Nito’s pick

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

    Match result (1X2)Roda
    1.74

    Do you agree with Nito's pick?

     

    Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

    Why Nito chose it →

    Match information

    Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

    Match information

    Competition
    Eerste Divisie
    Kick-off

    Our pick: why Nito chose it

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

    Match result (1X2)Roda60%Confidence1.74Price

    Why
    ?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

    • Best price 1.74 means bookmakers give it 57%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+3 pts)
    • Roda won 3 of their last 5 (goals 7–6); Jong AZ won 2 (goals 14–11)
    • In the table Roda are 5th with 22 pts, Jong AZ 8th with 17 pts
    • In 16 meetings Roda won 6, Jong AZ won 6, 4 were drawn

    Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

    Win probability

    ?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

    Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

    Roda54%1.79
    Draw23%4.20
    Jong AZ23%4.19

    Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

    Odds comparison

    ?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

    Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

    Odds

    No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

    Value bets · Dropping odds

    Comments

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    About this match

    Roda vs Jong AZ preview

    Roda and Jong AZ are playing right now in the Eerste Divisie: 2–0 (LIVE 66').