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Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund prediction & odds

Sarpsborg 08

18:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 18:00

Kristiansund

Odds 1X2

1Sarpsborg 081.52Nito’s pickXDraw4.702Kristiansund6.29

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08vsKristiansund

Nito’s pick1.52

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Sarpsborg 08

1.52

70%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eliteserien
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 18:00 EET
Stadium: Sarpsborg Stadion
Capacity: 8,022

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Sarpsborg 0870%Confidence1.52Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.52 means bookmakers give it 66%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+4 pts)
Sarpsborg 08 won 4 of their last 5 (goals 11–8); Kristiansund won 0 (goals 5–14)
In the table Sarpsborg 08 are 7th with 31 pts, Kristiansund 15th with 20 pts
In 18 meetings Sarpsborg 08 won 4, Kristiansund won 8, 6 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Sarpsborg 08High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.52

We rate Sarpsborg 08 to win at 70% — the price of 1.52 implies only 66%.

Asian handicap -1.5Sarpsborg 08 -1.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.25

Asian handicap: Sarpsborg 08 -1.5: our confidence is 60%, 16 points above the 44% the best price of 2.25 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Sarpsborg 0864%1.52

Draw21%4.70

Kristiansund15%6.29

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.0%

Sarpsborg 081.5264%Draw4.7021%Kristiansund6.2915%

Double chance

Sarpsborg 08 or Draw1.10Sarpsborg 08 or Kristiansund1.15Draw or Kristiansund2.42

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.51.4367%Under 2.52.8533%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.8%

Sarpsborg 08 -1.252.0148%Kristiansund +1.251.8552%

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

Sarpsborg 081.8950%Draw2.8334%Kristiansund5.8116%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Sarpsborg 081.9350%Kristiansund1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4Sarpsborg 08 wins

6Draws

8Kristiansund wins

Last matches: Sarpsborg 08

28.10.26NM CupenSarpsborg 08Valerenga32W
25.10.26EliteserienSarpsborg 08Aalesund21W
18.10.26EliteserienSarpsborg 08Rosenborg03L
11.10.26EliteserienAalesundSarpsborg 0824W
30.09.26NM CupenFolloSarpsborg 0802W

Last matches: Kristiansund

28.10.26NM CupenKristiansundAalesund02L
25.10.26EliteserienKristiansundKFUM Oslo22D
17.10.26EliteserienKristiansundAalesund14L
10.10.26EliteserienBodo/GlimtKristiansund31L
19.09.26EliteserienKristiansundRosenborg13L

Head-to-head matches

18.07.26EliteserienKristiansundSarpsborg 0800D
25.02.26Club FriendliesKristiansundSarpsborg 0801W
25.08.25EliteserienSarpsborg 08Kristiansund01L
13.07.25EliteserienKristiansundSarpsborg 0800D
15.09.24EliteserienSarpsborg 08Kristiansund02L
02.06.24EliteserienKristiansundSarpsborg 0831L

2.72Avg goals56%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund: head-to-head record

18 meetings since 2017: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4Sarpsborg 08 wins

6Draws

8Kristiansund wins

21:28Goals (Sarpsborg 08 : Kristiansund)

2.72Goals per match

56%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

44%Over 3.5

Sarpsborg 08 at home: 1-2-59:11 goals in 8 games
Kristiansund at home: 3-4-317:12 goals in 10 games
Sarpsborg 08's biggest win: 5–1Sarpsborg 08 5–1 Kristiansund, 23 Apr 2017
Kristiansund's biggest win: 4–0Kristiansund 4–0 Sarpsborg 08, 10 Nov 2019

Meetings (18 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	0–0	Sarpsborg 08
25 Feb 2026	Club Friendlies	Kristiansund	0–1	Sarpsborg 08
25 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	0–1	Kristiansund
13 Jul 2025	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	0–0	Sarpsborg 08
15 Sept 2024	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	0–2	Kristiansund
2 Jun 2024	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	3–1	Sarpsborg 08
6 Nov 2022	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	2–2	Kristiansund
10 Apr 2022	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	2–3	Sarpsborg 08
24 Oct 2021	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	1–3	Sarpsborg 08
27 May 2021	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	0–1	Kristiansund
2 Dec 2020	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	1–1	Kristiansund
22 Aug 2020	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	4–1	Sarpsborg 08
10 Nov 2019	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	4–0	Sarpsborg 08
12 May 2019	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	0–1	Kristiansund
26 Aug 2018	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	1–2	Kristiansund
1 Jul 2018	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	1–1	Sarpsborg 08
13 Aug 2017	Eliteserien	Kristiansund	2–2	Sarpsborg 08
23 Apr 2017	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	5–1	Kristiansund

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Sarpsborg 084W 0D 1L · goals 11–8

W28.10NM CupenHValerenga3–2
W25.10EliteserienHAalesund2–1
L18.10EliteserienHRosenborg0–3
W11.10EliteserienAAalesund4–2
W30.09NM CupenAFollo2–0

Kristiansund0W 1D 4L · goals 5–14

L28.10NM CupenHAalesund0–2
D25.10EliteserienHKFUM Oslo2–2
L17.10EliteserienHAalesund1–4
L10.10EliteserienABodo/Glimt1–3
L19.09EliteserienHRosenborg1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund

1.5Goals scored per game1.7

1.6Goals conceded per game2.5

60%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

2Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score10%

2-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund

Eliteserien 2025 · 30 gamesEliteserien 2026 · 17 games

1.6Goals scored0.9

1.7Goals conceded1.9

5.7Corners4.5

14.1Shots12.9

47%Possession42%

1.4Yellow cards2.2

20%Clean sheets18%

23%Failed to score41%

5-4-6Home / away record (W-D-L)1-2-6

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eliteserien

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Lillestrom	24	+2	39	WWDLW
7	Sarpsborg 08	24	-5	31	WLWLD
8	KFUM Oslo	24	-9	30	DDWWW
14	Aalesund	24	-13	24	LWLWL
15	Kristiansund	24	-24	20	DLLLL
16	Start	24	-28	19	WLLLW

About this match

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:00, Sarpsborg 08 take on Kristiansund in the Eliteserien.

Form · last 5 matches

Sarpsborg 08WWLWW11 scored · 8 conceded

KristiansundLDLLL5 scored · 14 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund

1.5Goals scored per game1.7

1.6Goals conceded per game2.5

60%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

4Sarpsborg 08 wins

6Draws

8Kristiansund wins

18 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

What's at stake

Sarpsborg 087th31 pts · 24 played

Kristiansund15th20 pts · 24 played

Sarpsborg 08 lead by 11 pts

Our pick

Sarpsborg 08 to winSarpsborg 0870%Confidence1.52Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Sarpsborg Stadion.

The best available prices are 1.52 on Sarpsborg 08, 4.70 on the draw and 6.29 on Kristiansund, which is roughly 64%, 21% and 15% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Sarpsborg 08 to win: 70% confidence, priced at 1.52.

We also have Asian handicap: Sarpsborg 08 -1.5 (60%, 2.25).

Recent form over the last 5: Sarpsborg 08 WWLWW (goals 11–8), Kristiansund LDLLL (goals 5–14).

Both teams scored in 60% of Sarpsborg 08's recent games and 70% of Kristiansund's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 80% respectively.

Per game, Sarpsborg 08 average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Kristiansund 1.7 and 2.5 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 18 head-to-head games the record reads 4–6–8 (wins–draws–losses) from Sarpsborg 08's side.

Those 18 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-18) ended Kristiansund 0–0 Sarpsborg 08.

Sarpsborg 08 sit 7th on 31 pts after 24 games, Kristiansund 15th on 20 pts.

Nito explains: Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund mean?

The best prices are 1.52 for a Sarpsborg 08 win, 4.70 for a draw and 6.29 for a Kristiansund win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.52 returns 15.20 if Sarpsborg 08 win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.0% removed) that is 64% Sarpsborg 08, 21% draw and 15% Kristiansund.

What does Nito's pick "Sarpsborg 08 to win" mean?

It wins only if Sarpsborg 08 win; a draw or a Kristiansund win loses. At 1.52, the price implies a 66% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Sarpsborg 08 and Kristiansund matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Sarpsborg 08's last 10 matches and 70% of Kristiansund's last 10. In their 18 recorded meetings it was 56%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Sarpsborg 08 reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Kristiansund in 80% of their last 10. Their 18 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Sarpsborg 08, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (11 scored, 8 conceded). Kristiansund, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (5 scored, 14 conceded).

Where do Sarpsborg 08 and Kristiansund stand in the table?

Sarpsborg 08 are 7th with 31 points from 24 games. Kristiansund are 15th with 20 points from 24 games. The gap between them is 11 points.

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund: questions & answers

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?

Our pick is Sarpsborg 08 to win with 70% confidence (best price 1.52). Bookmaker odds imply Sarpsborg 08 64%, draw 21%, Kristiansund 15%.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?

Both teams scored in 56% of their 18 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 70% of Kristiansund's.

What are the odds for Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund?

Odds: Sarpsborg 08 1.52, draw 4.70, Kristiansund 6.29. Our pick Sarpsborg 08 to win is available at 1.52.

When is the Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund kick-off?

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (GMT+2) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Kristiansund?

18 meetings: Sarpsborg 08 4 wins, 6 draws, Kristiansund 8 wins. Those 18 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

Other Eliteserien matches on 1 Nov

All Eliteserien fixtures

Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund prediction & odds

Sarpsborg 08

Kristiansund

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds