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Troyes vs Le Mans prediction & odds

Troyes

21:45

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 21:45

Le Mans

Odds 1X2

1Troyes2.30XDraw3.082Le Mans2.70

TroyesvsLe Mans

Nito’s pick1.70

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes

1.70

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Ligue 1
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 21:45 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes65%Confidence1.70Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.70 means bookmakers give it 59%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+6 pts)
Both teams scored in 50% of Troyes's last 5 and 70% of Le Mans's
Goals per game in the last 5: Troyes matches 2.5, Le Mans matches 2.8
Their 20 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 60%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Le Mans

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.59

Double chance: Draw or Le Mans: our confidence is 62% at a best price of 1.59.

Both teams to scoreYesHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.70

Both teams to score: Yes: our confidence is 65%, 6 points above the 59% the best price of 1.70 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Troyes38%2.30

Draw29%3.08

Le Mans33%2.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 13.0%

Troyes2.3038%Draw3.0829%Le Mans2.7033%

Double chance

Troyes or Draw1.33Troyes or Le Mans1.25Draw or Le Mans1.59

1st-half resultmargin 15.2%

Troyes2.6733%Draw2.1341%Le Mans3.2527%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Troyes1.9549%Le Mans1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Troyes wins

7Draws

8Le Mans wins

Last matches: Troyes

25.10.26Ligue 1ToulouseTroyes00D
17.10.26Ligue 1TroyesLens13L
11.10.26Ligue 1TroyesMarseille02L
19.09.26Ligue 1AngersTroyes20L
13.09.26Ligue 1LilleTroyes20L

Last matches: Le Mans

25.10.26Ligue 1AuxerreLe Mans11D
16.10.26Ligue 1Le MansToulouse03L
10.10.26Ligue 1PSGLe Mans31L
19.09.26Ligue 1Le MansLorient21W
13.09.26Ligue 1Le MansLens22D

Head-to-head matches

31.01.26Ligue 2TroyesLe Mans02L
03.10.25Ligue 2Le MansTroyes22D
18.10.19Ligue 2TroyesLe Mans21W
24.02.12Ligue 2TroyesLe Mans21W
26.09.11Ligue 2Le MansTroyes11D
10.05.11Ligue 2TroyesLe Mans01L

2.55Avg goals60%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Troyes vs Le Mans: head-to-head record

20 meetings since 1996: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Troyes wins

7Draws

8Le Mans wins

22:29Goals (Troyes : Le Mans)

2.55Goals per match

60%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

Troyes at home: 4-3-413:14 goals in 11 games
Le Mans at home: 4-4-115:9 goals in 9 games
Troyes's biggest win: 2–0Troyes 2–0 Le Mans, 21 Oct 2004
Le Mans's biggest win: 3–0Le Mans 3–0 Troyes, 20 Feb 1997

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Ligue 2	Troyes	0–2	Le Mans
3 Oct 2025	Ligue 2	Le Mans	2–2	Troyes
18 Oct 2019	Ligue 2	Troyes	2–1	Le Mans
24 Feb 2012	Ligue 2	Troyes	2–1	Le Mans
26 Sept 2011	Ligue 2	Le Mans	1–1	Troyes
10 May 2011	Ligue 2	Troyes	0–1	Le Mans
6 Dec 2010	Ligue 2	Le Mans	1–0	Troyes
13 Jan 2007	Ligue 1	Le Mans	2–0	Troyes
19 Sept 2006	League Cup	Troyes	1–2	Le Mans
11 Aug 2006	Ligue 1	Troyes	2–2	Le Mans
20 Jan 2006	Ligue 1	Troyes	1–3	Le Mans
26 Aug 2005	Ligue 1	Le Mans	1–0	Troyes
3 Apr 2005	Ligue 2	Le Mans	2–3	Troyes
21 Oct 2004	Ligue 2	Troyes	2–0	Le Mans
4 Dec 1998	Ligue 2	Le Mans	2–2	Troyes
21 Aug 1998	Ligue 2	Troyes	2–1	Le Mans
13 Mar 1998	Ligue 2	Le Mans	1–1	Troyes
7 Oct 1997	Ligue 2	Troyes	0–0	Le Mans
20 Feb 1997	Ligue 2	Le Mans	3–0	Troyes
6 Sept 1996	Ligue 2	Troyes	1–1	Le Mans

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Troyes0W 1D 4L · goals 1–9

D25.10Ligue 1AToulouse0–0
L17.10Ligue 1HLens1–3
L11.10Ligue 1HMarseille0–2
L19.09Ligue 1AAngers0–2
L13.09Ligue 1ALille0–2

Le Mans1W 2D 2L · goals 6–10

D25.10Ligue 1AAuxerre1–1
L16.10Ligue 1HToulouse0–3
L10.10Ligue 1APSG1–3
W19.09Ligue 1HLorient2–1
D13.09Ligue 1HLens2–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

TroyesLe Mans

0.7Goals scored per game1.1

1.8Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets1

50%Failed to score30%

0-2-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Ligue 1

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
14	Angers	8	-6	8	DLLWD
15	Le Mans	8	-5	7	DLLWD
16	Strasbourg	8	-6	7	LLLLD
17	Troyes	8	-11	5	DLLLL
18	Le Havre	8	-7	2	LLLLD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Troyes

✕Y. KoneKnee Injury
✕A. OuzenadjiKnee Injury

Le Mans

✕A. BourabaaAnkle Injury
✕D. SidibeFoot Injury
?E. ColasInjury
?Y. LarouciGroin Injury
?H. VoyerThigh Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Troyes vs Le Mans preview

Ligue 1 fixture: Troyes welcome Le Mans on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (21:45 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

TroyesDLLLL1 scored · 9 conceded

Le MansDLLWD6 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

TroyesLe Mans

0.7Goals scored per game1.1

1.8Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

5Troyes wins

7Draws

8Le Mans wins

20 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 60%

What's at stake

Troyes17th5 pts · 8 played

Le Mans15th7 pts · 8 played

Le Mans lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Both teams to scoreYes65%Confidence1.70Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Troyes 2.30 (38%), draw 3.08 (29%), Le Mans 2.70 (33%).

Both teams to score: Yes is our top pick for this game (65% confidence, best price 1.70).

We also have Double chance: Draw or Le Mans (62%, 1.59).

Troyes come into the game with DLLLL in their last 5 (1 scored, 9 conceded), while Le Mans have DLLWD (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of Troyes's recent games and 60% of Le Mans's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 70%.

Per game, Troyes average 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Le Mans 1.1 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 1).

Head-to-head over 20 previous meetings: Troyes 5 wins, Le Mans 8 wins, draws 7.

Those 20 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-31) ended Troyes 0–2 Le Mans.

In the table, Troyes are 17th (5 pts from 8 games) and Le Mans are 15th (7 pts from 8).

Nito explains: Troyes vs Le Mans

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Troyes vs Le Mans mean?

The best prices are 2.30 for a Troyes win, 3.08 for a draw and 2.70 for a Le Mans win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.30 returns 23.00 if Troyes win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 13.0% removed) that is 38% Troyes, 29% draw and 33% Le Mans.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: Yes" mean?

It wins if both teams score at least once, whatever the result. At 1.70, the price implies a 59% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Troyes and Le Mans matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Troyes's last 10 matches and 70% of Le Mans's last 10. In their 20 recorded meetings it was 60%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Troyes reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Le Mans in 60% of their last 10. Their 20 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Troyes, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (1 scored, 9 conceded). Le Mans, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Troyes and Le Mans stand in the table?

Troyes are 17th with 5 points from 8 games. Le Mans are 15th with 7 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Troyes vs Le Mans: questions & answers

Who will win Troyes vs Le Mans?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Le Mans with 62% confidence (best price 1.59). Bookmaker odds imply Troyes 38%, draw 29%, Le Mans 33%.

Will both teams score in Troyes vs Le Mans?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (65% confidence, 1.70). Both teams scored in 60% of their 20 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Troyes's matches and 70% of Le Mans's.

What are the odds for Troyes vs Le Mans?

Odds: Troyes 2.30, draw 3.08, Le Mans 2.70. Our pick Both teams to score: Yes is available at 1.70.

When is the Troyes vs Le Mans kick-off?

Troyes vs Le Mans kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Troyes and Le Mans?

20 meetings: Troyes 5 wins, 7 draws, Le Mans 8 wins. Those 20 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Troyes vs Le Mans prediction & odds

Troyes

Le Mans

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds