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Lille vs Lens prediction & odds

Lille

22:05

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 22:05

Lens

Odds 1X2

1Lille2.70XDraw3.352Lens2.83

LillevsLens

Nito’s pick2.35

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo

2.35

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Ligue 1
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 22:05 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo62%Confidence2.35Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.35 means bookmakers give it 43%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+19 pts)
Both teams scored in 60% of Lille's last 5 and 70% of Lens's
Goals per game in the last 5: Lille matches 2.9, Lens matches 3.1
Their 43 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 58%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.35

We rate Both teams to score: No at 62% — the price of 2.35 implies only 43%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.25

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.25 implies only 44%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lille37%2.38

Draw28%3.14

Lens35%2.56

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.2%

Lille2.7036%Draw3.3529%Lens2.8335%

Double chance

Lille or Draw1.40Lille or Lens1.27Draw or Lens1.46

Total goals 2.5margin 2.4%

Over 2.52.0747%Under 2.51.8553%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 1.8%

Lille 01.9251%Lens 02.0149%

1st-half resultmargin 3.4%

Lille3.3829%Draw2.2144%Lens3.5028%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Lille1.9649%Lens1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

20Lille wins

13Draws

10Lens wins

Last matches: Lille

25.10.26Ligue 1MonacoLille11D
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueLilleGalatasaray24L
17.10.26Ligue 1LilleBrest11D
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueArsenalLille30L
10.10.26Ligue 1LilleLe Havre10W

Last matches: Lens

24.10.26Ligue 1LensParis FC21W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueClub Brugge KVLens30L
17.10.26Ligue 1TroyesLens13W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueLensSporting CP02L
09.10.26Ligue 1LensLyon21W

Head-to-head matches

04.04.26Ligue 1LilleLens30W
20.09.25Ligue 1LensLille30L
30.03.25Ligue 1LilleLens10W
26.10.24Ligue 1LensLille02W
29.03.24Ligue 1LilleLens21W
08.10.23Ligue 1LensLille11D

2.47Avg goals58%Both scored47%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Lille vs Lens: head-to-head record

43 meetings since 1994: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

20Lille wins

13Draws

10Lens wins

63:43Goals (Lille : Lens)

2.47Goals per match

58%BTTS

74%Over 1.5

47%Over 2.5

21%Over 3.5

Lille at home: 15-2-437:18 goals in 21 games
Lens at home: 6-11-525:26 goals in 22 games
Lille's biggest win: 4–0Lille 4–0 Lens, 18 Oct 2020
Lens's biggest win: 3–0Lens 3–0 Lille, 20 Sept 2025

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
4 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	Lille	3–0	Lens
20 Sept 2025	Ligue 1	Lens	3–0	Lille
30 Mar 2025	Ligue 1	Lille	1–0	Lens
26 Oct 2024	Ligue 1	Lens	0–2	Lille
29 Mar 2024	Ligue 1	Lille	2–1	Lens
8 Oct 2023	Ligue 1	Lens	1–1	Lille
4 Mar 2023	Ligue 1	Lens	1–1	Lille
9 Oct 2022	Ligue 1	Lille	1–0	Lens
16 Apr 2022	Ligue 1	Lille	1–2	Lens
4 Jan 2022	Cup	Lens	2–2	Lille
18 Sept 2021	Ligue 1	Lens	1–0	Lille
7 May 2021	Ligue 1	Lens	0–3	Lille
18 Oct 2020	Ligue 1	Lille	4–0	Lens
3 May 2015	Ligue 1	Lille	3–1	Lens
7 Dec 2014	Ligue 1	Lens	1–1	Lille
29 Jan 2011	Ligue 1	Lille	1–0	Lens
11 Sept 2010	Ligue 1	Lens	1–4	Lille
30 Jan 2010	Ligue 1	Lille	1–0	Lens
20 Sept 2009	Ligue 1	Lens	1–1	Lille
10 May 2008	Ligue 1	Lille	2–1	Lens

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lille1W 2D 2L · goals 5–9

D25.10Ligue 1AMonaco1–1
L21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHGalatasaray2–4
D17.10Ligue 1HBrest1–1
L13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAArsenal0–3
W10.10Ligue 1HLe Havre1–0

Lens3W 0D 2L · goals 7–8

W24.10Ligue 1HParis FC2–1
L21.10UEFA Champions LeagueAClub Brugge KV0–3
W17.10Ligue 1ATroyes3–1
L13.10UEFA Champions LeagueHSporting CP0–2
W09.10Ligue 1HLyon2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LilleLens

1.3Goals scored per game1.4

1.6Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

3Clean sheets0

10%Failed to score30%

2-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LilleLens

Ligue 1 2026/2027 · 5 gamesLigue 1 2025/2026 · 34 games

1.6Goals scored1.9

0.8Goals conceded1.0

2.8Corners6.2

12.8Shots16.4

47%Possession51%

1.2Yellow cards1.9

60%Clean sheets35%

0%Failed to score18%

1-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)8-4-5

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Ligue 1

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Rennes	8	+4	16	WLWLW
3	Lille	8	+5	15	DDWLW
4	Monaco	8	+4	15	DLDWD
6	Paris FC	8	+4	14	LWLWD
7	Lens	8	+4	13	WWWLD
8	Marseille	8	+5	12	WWWLL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Lille

✕H. IgamaneKnee Injury
✕T. NianzouRed Card
✕T. SantosKnee Injury
✕A. UedaFoot Injury

Lens

✕N. CelikInactive
✕J. ChavezCoach's decision
✕O. EdouardGroin Injury
✕I. GaniouKnee Injury
✕M. NawrockiKnee Injury
✕A. SimaMuscle Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Lille vs Lens preview

Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 on Fri, 30 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 22:05.

Form · last 5 matches

LilleDLDLW5 scored · 9 conceded

LensWLWLW7 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LilleLens

1.3Goals scored per game1.4

1.6Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

3Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

20Lille wins

13Draws

10Lens wins

43 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Lille3rd15 pts · 8 played

Lens7th13 pts · 8 played

Lille lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Both teams to scoreNo62%Confidence2.35Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Lille 2.38 (37%), draw 3.14 (28%), Lens 2.56 (35%).

The selection we rate highest is Both teams to score: No: 62% confidence, priced at 2.35.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.25).

Recent form over the last 5: Lille DLDLW (goals 5–9), Lens WLWLW (goals 7–8).

Both teams scored in 60% of Lille's recent games and 70% of Lens's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 80% respectively.

Per game, Lille average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Lens 1.4 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 0).

Across 43 head-to-head games the record reads 20–13–10 (wins–draws–losses) from Lille's side.

Those 43 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-04) ended Lille 3–0 Lens.

Lille sit 3rd on 15 pts after 8 games, Lens 7th on 13 pts.

Nito explains: Lille vs Lens

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lille vs Lens mean?

The best prices are 2.38 for a Lille win, 3.14 for a draw and 2.56 for a Lens win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.38 returns 23.80 if Lille win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 12.9% removed) that is 37% Lille, 28% draw and 35% Lens.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: No" mean?

It wins if at least one team fails to score. At 2.35, the price implies a 43% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lille and Lens matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Lille's last 10 matches and 70% of Lens's last 10. In their 43 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lille reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Lens in 80% of their last 10. Their 43 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (47% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLDLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lille, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (5 scored, 9 conceded). Lens, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Lille and Lens stand in the table?

Lille are 3rd with 15 points from 8 games. Lens are 7th with 13 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Lille vs Lens: questions & answers

Who will win Lille vs Lens?

Bookmaker odds imply Lille 37%, draw 28%, Lens 35%.

Will both teams score in Lille vs Lens?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (62% confidence, 2.35). Both teams scored in 58% of their 43 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Lille's matches and 70% of Lens's.

What are the odds for Lille vs Lens?

Odds: Lille 2.38, draw 3.14, Lens 2.56. Our pick Both teams to score: No is available at 2.35.

When is the Lille vs Lens kick-off?

Lille vs Lens kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 22:05 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lens?

43 meetings: Lille 20 wins, 13 draws, Lens 10 wins. Those 43 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

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Lille vs Lens preview: Ligue 1, Friday 30 October 202629 Oct 2026

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Lille vs Lens prediction & odds

Lille

Lens

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds