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San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & odds

San Lorenzo

00:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 00:30

Libertad Asuncion

Odds 1X2

1San Lorenzo6.67XDraw4.452Libertad Asuncion1.47Nito’s pick

San LorenzovsLibertad Asuncion

Nito’s pick1.47

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Libertad

1.47

80%Confidence

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Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Copa De Primera - Clausura
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 00:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Libertad80%Confidence1.47Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.47 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 80% (+12 pts)
Libertad Asuncion won 3 of their last 5 (goals 8–5); San Lorenzo won 0 (goals 7–10)
In the table Libertad Asuncion are 5th with 61 pts, San Lorenzo 12th with 19 pts
In 14 meetings Libertad Asuncion won 12, San Lorenzo won 0, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)LibertadHigh confidence

Confidence80%

Indicative price1.47

Libertad to win: our confidence is 80%, 12 points above the 68% the best price of 1.47 implies.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.87

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 65%, 12 points above the 53% the best price of 1.87 implies.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.72

Over 2.5 goals: our confidence is 68%, 10 points above the 58% the best price of 1.72 implies.

Asian handicap +1Libertad -1

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.78

We rate Asian handicap: Libertad -1 at 62% — the price of 1.78 implies only 56%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

San Lorenzo14%6.67

Draw21%4.45

Libertad Asuncion64%1.47

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.5%

San Lorenzo6.6714%Draw4.4521%Libertad Asuncion1.4764%

Double chance

San Lorenzo or Draw2.43San Lorenzo or Libertad Asuncion1.14Draw or Libertad Asuncion1.05

Total goals 2.5margin 5.1%

Over 2.51.7255%Under 2.52.1345%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.5%

San Lorenzo +12.0746%Libertad Asuncion -11.7854%

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

San Lorenzo6.5115%Draw2.5138%Libertad Asuncion1.9948%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

San Lorenzo1.9350%Libertad Asuncion1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0San Lorenzo wins

2Draws

12Libertad Asuncion wins

Last matches: San Lorenzo

25.10.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoCerro Porteno13L
18.10.26Primera DivisionSp. LuquenoSan Lorenzo32L
14.10.26Copa ParaguayCerro PortenoSan Lorenzo22D
10.10.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoSportivo Trinidense11D
03.10.26Primera DivisionGuaraniSan Lorenzo11D

Last matches: Libertad Asuncion

27.10.26Copa ParaguayLibertad AsuncionIndependiente FBC31W
23.10.26Primera DivisionLibertad AsuncionSp. Luqueno10W
18.10.26Primera DivisionSportivo TrinidenseLibertad Asuncion10L
11.10.26Primera DivisionLibertad AsuncionGuarani22D
05.10.26Primera DivisionRecoletaLibertad Asuncion12W

Head-to-head matches

24.08.26Primera DivisionLibertad AsuncionSan Lorenzo10L
01.05.26Primera DivisionLibertad AsuncionSan Lorenzo50L
02.03.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoLibertad Asuncion07L
20.11.20AperturaSan LorenzoLibertad Asuncion22D
26.09.20AperturaLibertad AsuncionSan Lorenzo30L
25.07.20AperturaSan LorenzoLibertad Asuncion12L

3.36Avg goals43%Both scored71%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion: head-to-head record

14 meetings since 2015: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0San Lorenzo wins

2Draws

12Libertad Asuncion wins

9:38Goals (San Lorenzo : Libertad Asuncion)

3.36Goals per match

43%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

71%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

San Lorenzo at home: 0-1-67:20 goals in 7 games
Libertad Asuncion at home: 6-1-018:2 goals in 7 games
Libertad Asuncion's biggest win: 0–7San Lorenzo 0–7 Libertad Asuncion, 2 Mar 2026

Meetings (14 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Aug 2026	Primera Division	Libertad Asuncion	1–0	San Lorenzo
1 May 2026	Primera Division	Libertad Asuncion	5–0	San Lorenzo
2 Mar 2026	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	0–7	Libertad Asuncion
20 Nov 2020	Apertura	San Lorenzo	2–2	Libertad Asuncion
26 Sept 2020	Apertura	Libertad Asuncion	3–0	San Lorenzo
25 Jul 2020	Apertura	San Lorenzo	1–2	Libertad Asuncion
29 Sept 2019	Apertura	Libertad Asuncion	3–0	San Lorenzo
14 Jul 2019	Apertura	San Lorenzo	0–1	Libertad Asuncion
5 May 2019	Apertura	San Lorenzo	3–4	Libertad Asuncion
3 Mar 2019	Apertura	Libertad Asuncion	2–1	San Lorenzo
5 Dec 2015	Apertura	Libertad Asuncion	1–1	San Lorenzo
13 Sept 2015	Apertura	San Lorenzo	0–2	Libertad Asuncion
28 May 2015	Apertura	Libertad Asuncion	3–0	San Lorenzo
28 Mar 2015	Apertura	San Lorenzo	1–2	Libertad Asuncion

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

San Lorenzo0W 3D 2L · goals 7–10

L25.10Primera DivisionHCerro Porteno1–3
L18.10Primera DivisionASp. Luqueno2–3
D14.10Copa ParaguayACerro Porteno2–2
D10.10Primera DivisionHSportivo Trinidense1–1
D03.10Primera DivisionAGuarani1–1

Libertad Asuncion3W 1D 1L · goals 8–5

W27.10Copa ParaguayHIndependiente FBC3–1
W23.10Primera DivisionHSp. Luqueno1–0
L18.10Primera DivisionASportivo Trinidense0–1
D11.10Primera DivisionHGuarani2–2
W05.10Primera DivisionARecoleta2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

San LorenzoLibertad Asuncion

1.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score20%

1-2-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Cerro Porteno	38	+14	62	WDWLL
5	Libertad Asuncion	38	+15	61	WLDWL
6	Guarani	38	+8	54	WLDDW
11	Rubio Nu	38	-23	36	LLDWD
12	San Lorenzo	38	-48	19	LLDDD

Comments

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About this match

San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion preview

San Lorenzo host Libertad Asuncion in the Copa De Primera - Clausura on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 00:30.

Form · last 5 matches

San LorenzoLLDDD7 scored · 10 conceded

Libertad AsuncionWWLDW8 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

San LorenzoLibertad Asuncion

1.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

0San Lorenzo wins

2Draws

12Libertad Asuncion wins

14 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 43%

What's at stake

San Lorenzo12th19 pts · 38 played

Libertad Asuncion5th61 pts · 38 played

Libertad Asuncion lead by 42 pts

Our pick

Libertad to winLibertad80%Confidence1.47Price

+3 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Libertad Asuncion the favourite at 1.47 (64% implied), with the draw at 4.45 (21%).

The selection we rate highest is Libertad to win: 80% confidence, priced at 1.47.

We also have Over 2.5 goals (68%, 1.72), Both teams to score: No (65%, 1.87) and Asian handicap: Libertad -1 (62%, 1.78).

San Lorenzo come into the game with LLDDD in their last 5 (7 scored, 10 conceded), while Libertad Asuncion have WWLDW (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of San Lorenzo's recent games and 40% of Libertad Asuncion's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 60%.

Per game, San Lorenzo average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Libertad Asuncion 1.6 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 14 previous meetings: San Lorenzo 0 wins, Libertad Asuncion 12 wins, draws 2.

Those 14 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-24) ended Libertad Asuncion 1–0 San Lorenzo.

In the table, San Lorenzo are 12th (19 pts from 38 games) and Libertad Asuncion are 5th (61 pts from 38).

Nito explains: San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion mean?

The best prices are 6.67 for a San Lorenzo win, 4.45 for a draw and 1.47 for a Libertad Asuncion win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 6.67 returns 66.70 if San Lorenzo win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.5% removed) that is 14% San Lorenzo, 21% draw and 64% Libertad Asuncion.

What does Nito's pick "Libertad to win" mean?

It wins only if Libertad Asuncion win; a draw or a San Lorenzo win loses. At 1.47, the price implies a 68% chance; Nito's data rates it at 80%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do San Lorenzo and Libertad Asuncion matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of San Lorenzo's last 10 matches and 60% of Libertad Asuncion's last 10. In their 14 recorded meetings it was 43%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. San Lorenzo reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Libertad Asuncion in 40% of their last 10. Their 14 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (71% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLDDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. San Lorenzo, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (7 scored, 10 conceded). Libertad Asuncion, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do San Lorenzo and Libertad Asuncion stand in the table?

San Lorenzo are 12th with 19 points from 38 games. Libertad Asuncion are 5th with 61 points from 38 games. The gap between them is 42 points.

San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion: questions & answers

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Libertad to win with 80% confidence (best price 1.47). Bookmaker odds imply San Lorenzo 14%, draw 21%, Libertad Asuncion 64%.

Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (65% confidence, 1.87). Both teams scored in 43% of their 14 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of San Lorenzo's matches and 60% of Libertad Asuncion's.

What are the odds for San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?

Odds: San Lorenzo 6.67, draw 4.45, Libertad Asuncion 1.47. Our pick Libertad to win is available at 1.47.

When is the San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion kick-off?

San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and Libertad Asuncion?

14 meetings: San Lorenzo 0 wins, 2 draws, Libertad Asuncion 12 wins. Those 14 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Other Copa De Primera - Clausura matches on 1 Nov

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San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & odds

San Lorenzo

Libertad Asuncion

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds