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Maastricht vs Venlo prediction & odds

Maastricht

17:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

Venlo

Odds 1X2

1Maastricht3.34XDraw3.972Venlo2.03Nito’s pick

De Geusselt

MaastrichtvsVenlo

Nito’s pick2.03

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Venlo

2.03

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eerste Divisie
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:30 EET
Stadium: De Geusselt
Capacity: 10,000
City: Maastricht

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Venlo60%Confidence2.03Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.03 means bookmakers give it 49%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+11 pts)
Venlo won 3 of their last 5 (goals 13–8); Maastricht won 0 (goals 4–15)
In the table Venlo are 2nd with 25 pts, Maastricht 10th with 17 pts
In 39 meetings Venlo won 20, Maastricht won 12, 7 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Maastricht29%3.34

Draw24%3.97

Venlo47%2.03

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%

Maastricht3.3429%Draw3.9724%Venlo2.0347%

Total goals 2.5margin 5.7%

Over 2.51.4665%Under 2.52.6935%

Asian handicapmargin 4.3%

Maastricht +0.51.8452%Venlo -0.52.0048%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 6.0%

Maastricht3.6726%Draw2.6036%Venlo2.4838%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

12Maastricht wins

7Draws

20Venlo wins

Last matches: Maastricht

28.10.26KNVB CupMaastrichtExcelsior03L
23.10.26Eerste DivisieDen BoschMaastricht22D
18.10.26Eerste DivisieMaastrichtHeracles15L
09.10.26Eerste DivisieNAC BredaMaastricht10L
03.10.26Eerste DivisieOssMaastricht41L

Last matches: Venlo

28.10.26KNVB CupVenloVitesse02L

Maastricht vs Venlo: head-to-head record

39 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

12Maastricht wins

7Draws

20Venlo wins

41:49Goals (Maastricht : Venlo)

2.31Goals per match

33%BTTS

69%Over 1.5

44%Over 2.5

21%Over 3.5

Maastricht at home: 8-4-722:19 goals in 19 games
Venlo at home: 13-3-430:19 goals in 20 games
Maastricht's biggest win: 1–7Venlo 1–7 Maastricht, 15 Oct 1993
Venlo's biggest win: 0–5Maastricht 0–5 Venlo, 4 Feb 2022

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 Mar 2026	Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	2–1	Venlo
21 Sept 2025	Eerste Divisie	Venlo	1–0

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Maastricht0W 1D 4L · goals 4–15

L28.10KNVB CupHExcelsior0–3
D23.10Eerste DivisieADen Bosch2–2
L18.10Eerste DivisieHHeracles1–5
L09.10Eerste DivisieANAC Breda0–1
L03.10Eerste DivisieAOss1–4

Venlo3W 1D 1L · goals 13–8

L28.10KNVB CupHVitesse0–2
W24.10Eerste DivisieADordrecht4–2
D16.10Eerste DivisieHJong AZ4–4
W09.10Eerste DivisieAJong Ajax3–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MaastrichtVenlo

1.0Goals scored per game2.7

2.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score10%

1-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

MaastrichtVenlo

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 · 31 gamesEerste Divisie 2026/2027 · 6 games

1.0Goals scored2.7

1.9Goals conceded1.2

3.6Corners5.3

10.9Shots14.3

43%Possession48%

1.6Yellow cards1.5

16%Clean sheets33%

45%Failed to score0%

5-5-4Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Heracles	12	+23	29	DWWDW
2	Venlo	12	+14	25	WDWWL
3	FC Emmen	12	+7	25	WWWDW
9	Vitesse	12	-1	17	LWLDL
10	Maastricht	12	-11	17	DLLLW
11	Waalwijk	12	+4

Comments

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About this match

Maastricht vs Venlo preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:30, Maastricht take on Venlo in the Eerste Divisie.

Form · last 5 matches

MaastrichtLDLLL4 scored · 15 conceded

VenloLWDWW13 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MaastrichtVenlo

1.0Goals scored per game2.7

2.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

12Maastricht wins

7Draws

20Venlo wins

39 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 33%

What's at stake

Maastricht10th17 pts · 12 played

Nito explains: Maastricht vs Venlo

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Maastricht vs Venlo mean?

The best prices are 3.34 for a Maastricht win, 3.97 for a draw and 2.03 for a Venlo win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.34 returns 33.40 if Maastricht win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.4% removed) that is 29% Maastricht, 24% draw and 47% Venlo.

What does Nito's pick "Venlo to win" mean?

It wins only if Venlo win; a draw or a Maastricht win loses. At 2.03, the price implies a 49% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Maastricht and Venlo matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Maastricht's last 10 matches and 60% of Venlo's last 10. In their 39 recorded meetings it was 33%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Maastricht reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Venlo in 80% of their last 10. Their 39 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (44% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Maastricht, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (4 scored, 15 conceded). Venlo, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (13 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Maastricht and Venlo stand in the table?

Maastricht are 10th with 17 points from 12 games. Venlo are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 8 points.

Maastricht vs Venlo: questions & answers

Who will win Maastricht vs Venlo?

Our pick is Venlo to win with 60% confidence (best price 2.03). Bookmaker odds imply Maastricht 29%, draw 24%, Venlo 47%.

Will both teams score in Maastricht vs Venlo?

Both teams scored in 33% of their 39 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Maastricht's matches and 60% of Venlo's.

What are the odds for Maastricht vs Venlo?

Odds: Maastricht 3.34, draw 3.97, Venlo 2.03. Our pick Venlo to win is available at 2.03.

When is the Maastricht vs Venlo kick-off?

Maastricht vs Venlo kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (GMT+2) at De Geusselt.

What is the head-to-head record between Maastricht and Venlo?

39 meetings: Maastricht 12 wins, 7 draws, Venlo 20 wins. Those 39 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Maastricht vs Venlo prediction & odds

Maastricht

Venlo

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds