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Modena vs Mantova prediction & odds

Modena

16:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 16:00

Mantova

Odds 1X2

1Modena1.83Nito’s pickXDraw3.702Mantova4.74

ModenavsMantova

Nito’s pick1.83

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Modena

1.83

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie B
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 16:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Modena62%Confidence1.83Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.83 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+7 pts)
Modena won 4 of their last 5 (goals 11–6); Mantova won 2 (goals 6–7)
In the table Modena are 2nd with 19 pts, Mantova 4th with 17 pts
In 19 meetings Modena won 5, Mantova won 4, 10 were drawn

Best price 1.83 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Modena53%1.83

Draw26%3.70

Mantova21%4.74

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.8%

Modena1.8353%Draw3.7026%Mantova4.7421%

Double chance

Modena or Draw1.15Modena or Mantova1.18Draw or Mantova2.06

Total goals 2.5margin 3.9%

Over 2.51.7156%Under 2.52.2044%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 4.5%

Modena2.3042%Draw2.4639%Mantova4.9020%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Modena1.9450%Mantova1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Modena wins

10Draws

4Mantova wins

Last matches: Modena

27.10.26Serie BL.R. VicenzaModena12W
24.10.26Serie BModenaCesena30W
17.10.26Serie BCarrareseModena21L
11.10.26Serie BModenaVerona32W
20.09.26Serie BModenaEmpoli21W

Last matches: Mantova

27.10.26Serie BMantovaCremonese02L
24.10.26Serie BEntellaMantova01W
17.10.26Serie BMantovaPalermo02L
11.10.26Serie BCatanzaroMantova13W
20.09.26Serie BMantovaPisa22D

Head-to-head matches

21.03.26Serie BModenaMantova21W
20.09.25Serie BMantovaModena13W
01.02.25Serie BModenaMantova31W
30.11.24Serie BMantovaModena00D
14.03.21Serie C1 - AModenaMantova11D
16.11.20Serie C1 - AMantovaModena00D

2.26Avg goals58%Both scored37%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Modena vs Mantova: head-to-head record

19 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Modena wins

10Draws

4Mantova wins

23:20Goals (Modena : Mantova)

2.26Goals per match

58%BTTS

68%Over 1.5

37%Over 2.5

32%Over 3.5

Modena at home: 4-6-015:9 goals in 10 games
Mantova at home: 4-4-111:8 goals in 9 games
Modena's biggest win: 1–3Mantova 1–3 Modena, 20 Sept 2025
Mantova's biggest win: 2–0Mantova 2–0 Modena, 8 Jan 2006

Meetings (19 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Serie B	Modena	2–1	Mantova
20 Sept 2025	Serie B	Mantova	1–3	Modena
1 Feb 2025	Serie B	Modena	3–1	Mantova
30 Nov 2024	Serie B	Mantova	0–0	Modena
14 Mar 2021	Serie C1 - A	Modena	1–1	Mantova
16 Nov 2020	Serie C1 - A	Mantova	0–0	Modena
30 Apr 2017	Serie C1 - A	Modena	2–0	Mantova
11 Dec 2016	Serie C1 - A	Mantova	1–0	Modena
8 May 2010	Serie B	Mantova	1–1	Modena
12 Dec 2009	Serie B	Modena	1–1	Mantova
9 May 2009	Serie B	Modena	1–0	Mantova
13 Dec 2008	Serie B	Mantova	2–2	Modena
8 Mar 2008	Serie B	Modena	2–2	Mantova
6 Oct 2007	Serie B	Mantova	3–2	Modena
12 May 2007	Serie B	Modena	2–2	Mantova
18 Dec 2006	Serie B	Mantova	1–0	Modena
22 Aug 2006	Cup	Modena	1–1	Mantova
8 Jan 2006	Serie B	Mantova	2–0	Modena
13 Sept 2005	Serie B	Modena	0–0	Mantova

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Modena4W 0D 1L · goals 11–6

W27.10Serie BAL.R. Vicenza2–1
W24.10Serie BHCesena3–0
L17.10Serie BACarrarese1–2
W11.10Serie BHVerona3–2
W20.09Serie BHEmpoli2–1

Mantova2W 1D 2L · goals 6–7

L27.10Serie BHCremonese0–2
W24.10Serie BAEntella1–0
L17.10Serie BHPalermo0–2
W11.10Serie BACatanzaro3–1
D

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ModenaMantova

1.9Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score20%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ModenaMantova

Serie B 2026/2027 · 3 gamesSerie B 2025/2026 · 31 games

1.7Goals scored1.3

0.7Goals conceded1.4

6.0Corners4.8

22.0Shots14.0

53%Possession56%

2.0Yellow cards2.4

33%Clean sheets26%

33%Failed to score32%

0-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)3-4-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palermo	9	+10	23	DWWWW
2	Modena	9	+8	19	WWLWW
3	Ascoli	9	+10	18	WWDDW
4	Mantova	9	+4	17	LWLWD
5	Benevento	9	+6	15	DWDWW

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About this match

Modena vs Mantova preview

Modena host Mantova in the Serie B on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 16:00.

Form · last 5 matches

ModenaWWLWW11 scored · 6 conceded

MantovaLWLWD6 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ModenaMantova

1.9Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

5Modena wins

10Draws

4Mantova wins

19 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Modena2nd19 pts · 9 played

Mantova4th17 pts · 9 played

Modena lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Modena to winModena62%Confidence1.83Price

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.83 on Modena, 3.70 on the draw and 4.74 on Mantova, which is roughly 53%, 26% and 21% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Modena to win: 62% confidence, priced at 1.83.

Recent form over the last 5: Modena WWLWW (goals 11–6), Mantova LWLWD (goals 6–7).

Both teams scored in 70% of Modena's recent games and 60% of Mantova's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Modena average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Mantova 1.6 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 19 head-to-head games the record reads 5–10–4 (wins–draws–losses) from Modena's side.

Those 19 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-21) ended Modena 2–1 Mantova.

Modena sit 2nd on 19 pts after 9 games, Mantova 4th on 17 pts.

Nito explains: Modena vs Mantova

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Modena vs Mantova mean?

The best prices are 1.83 for a Modena win, 3.70 for a draw and 4.74 for a Mantova win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.83 returns 18.30 if Modena win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.8% removed) that is 53% Modena, 26% draw and 21% Mantova.

What does Nito's pick "Modena to win" mean?

It wins only if Modena win; a draw or a Mantova win loses. At 1.83, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Modena and Mantova matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Modena's last 10 matches and 60% of Mantova's last 10. In their 19 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Modena reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Mantova in 50% of their last 10. Their 19 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (37% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Modena, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (11 scored, 6 conceded). Mantova, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Modena and Mantova stand in the table?

Modena are 2nd with 19 points from 9 games. Mantova are 4th with 17 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Modena vs Mantova: questions & answers

Who will win Modena vs Mantova?

Our pick is Modena to win with 62% confidence (best price 1.83). Bookmaker odds imply Modena 53%, draw 26%, Mantova 21%.

Will both teams score in Modena vs Mantova?

Both teams scored in 58% of their 19 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Modena's matches and 60% of Mantova's.

What are the odds for Modena vs Mantova?

Odds: Modena 1.83, draw 3.70, Mantova 4.74. Our pick Modena to win is available at 1.83.

When is the Modena vs Mantova kick-off?

Modena vs Mantova kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Mantova?

19 meetings: Modena 5 wins, 10 draws, Mantova 4 wins. Those 19 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Other Serie B matches on 31 Oct

All Serie B fixtures

Modena vs Mantova prediction & odds

Modena

Mantova

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds