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Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town prediction & odds

Radcliffe

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Merthyr Town

Odds 1X2

1Radcliffe2.35XDraw3.652Merthyr Town2.69

RadcliffevsMerthyr Town

Nito’s pick2.62

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.62

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: National League North
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.62Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.62 means bookmakers give it 38%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+22 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Radcliffe's last 5 and 40% of Merthyr Town's
Goals per game in the last 5: Radcliffe matches 3.2, Merthyr Town matches 2.0
Their 2 meetings average 4.5 goals; both teams scored in 50%

Best price 2.62 means bookmakers give it 38%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+22 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Radcliffe40%2.35

Draw26%3.65

Merthyr Town35%2.69

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 7.1%

Radcliffe2.3540%Draw3.6526%Merthyr Town2.6935%

1st-half resultmargin 9.1%

Radcliffe2.7633%Draw2.4837%Merthyr Town3.0730%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Radcliffe wins

0Draws

1Merthyr Town wins

Last matches: Radcliffe

27.10.26National League N/SRadcliffeChorley03L
24.10.26National League N/SBrackley TownRadcliffe01W
17.10.26National League N/SSouthportRadcliffe02W
10.10.26National League N/SRadcliffeScarborough41W
26.09.26National League N/SHednesfordRadcliffe41L

Last matches: Merthyr Town

27.10.26National League N/SOxford CityMerthyr Town30L
24.10.26National League N/SMerthyr TownMorecambe13L
17.10.26National League N/SMerthyr TownKing’s Lynn11D
10.10.26National League N/SDarlingtonMerthyr Town11D
26.09.26National League N/SMerthyr TownMarine12L

Head-to-head matches

07.03.26National League N/SRadcliffeMerthyr Town13L
20.09.25National League N/SMerthyr TownRadcliffe05W

4.50Avg goals50%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Radcliffe wins

0Draws

1Merthyr Town wins

6:3Goals (Radcliffe : Merthyr Town)

4.50Goals per match

50%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

100%Over 3.5

Radcliffe at home: 0-0-11:3 goals in 1 games
Merthyr Town at home: 0-0-10:5 goals in 1 games
Radcliffe's biggest win: 0–5Merthyr Town 0–5 Radcliffe, 20 Sept 2025
Merthyr Town's biggest win: 1–3Radcliffe 1–3 Merthyr Town, 7 Mar 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
7 Mar 2026	National League N/S	Radcliffe	1–3	Merthyr Town
20 Sept 2025	National League N/S	Merthyr Town	0–5	Radcliffe

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Radcliffe3W 0D 2L · goals 8–8

L27.10National League N/SHChorley0–3
W24.10National League N/SABrackley Town1–0
W17.10National League N/SASouthport2–0
W10.10National League N/SHScarborough4–1
L26.09National League N/SAHednesford1–4

Merthyr Town0W 2D 3L · goals 4–10

L27.10National League N/SAOxford City0–3
L24.10National League N/SHMorecambe1–3
D17.10National League N/SHKing’s Lynn1–1
D10.10National League N/SADarlington1–1
L26.09National League N/SHMarine1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

RadcliffeMerthyr Town

1.5Goals scored per game0.8

1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets3

40%Failed to score30%

2-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · National League N/S: North

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
19	Scarborough	13	+1	15	LWLDD
20	Merthyr Town	14	-4	15	LLDDL
21	Radcliffe	14	-8	15	LWWWL
22	Darlington	14	-8	11	LWLDD

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About this match

Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, Radcliffe take on Merthyr Town in the National League North.

Form · last 5 matches

RadcliffeLWWWL8 scored · 8 conceded

Merthyr TownLLDDL4 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

RadcliffeMerthyr Town

1.5Goals scored per game0.8

1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

1Radcliffe wins

0Draws

1Merthyr Town wins

2 meetings · 4.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Radcliffe21st15 pts · 14 played

Merthyr Town20th15 pts · 14 played

Level on points

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence2.62Price

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Radcliffe 2.35 (40%), draw 3.65 (26%), Merthyr Town 2.69 (35%).

Under 2.5 goals is our top pick for this game (60% confidence, best price 2.62).

Radcliffe come into the game with LWWWL in their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded), while Merthyr Town have LLDDL (4 scored, 10 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Radcliffe's recent games and 40% of Merthyr Town's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 60%.

Per game, Radcliffe average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Merthyr Town 0.8 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Radcliffe 1 wins, Merthyr Town 1 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-07) ended Radcliffe 1–3 Merthyr Town.

In the table, Radcliffe are 21st (15 pts from 14 games) and Merthyr Town are 20th (15 pts from 14).

Nito explains: Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town mean?

The best prices are 2.35 for a Radcliffe win, 3.65 for a draw and 2.69 for a Merthyr Town win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.35 returns 23.50 if Radcliffe win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 7.1% removed) that is 40% Radcliffe, 26% draw and 35% Merthyr Town.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.62, the price implies a 38% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Radcliffe and Merthyr Town matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Radcliffe's last 10 matches and 60% of Merthyr Town's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Radcliffe reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Merthyr Town in 40% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 4.5 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Radcliffe, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (8 scored, 8 conceded). Merthyr Town, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (4 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Radcliffe and Merthyr Town stand in the table?

Radcliffe are 21st with 15 points from 14 games. Merthyr Town are 20th with 15 points from 14 games. They are level on points.

Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town: questions & answers

Who will win Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?

Bookmaker odds imply Radcliffe 40%, draw 26%, Merthyr Town 35%.

Will both teams score in Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Radcliffe's matches and 60% of Merthyr Town's.

What are the odds for Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?

Odds: Radcliffe 2.35, draw 3.65, Merthyr Town 2.69. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.62.

When is the Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town kick-off?

Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Radcliffe and Merthyr Town?

2 meetings: Radcliffe 1 wins, 0 draws, Merthyr Town 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other National League North matches on 31 Oct

All National League North fixtures

Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town prediction & odds

Radcliffe

Merthyr Town

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds