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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon prediction & odds

Shakhtar Donetsk

18:00

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

Obolon

Odds 1X2

1Shakhtar Donetsk1.13XDraw8.932Obolon22.71

Shakhtar DonetskvsObolon

Nito’s pick3.34

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -1.25Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25

3.34

62%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 18:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -1.25Shakhtar Donetsk +1.2562%Confidence3.34Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 3.34 means bookmakers give it 30%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+32 pts)
Obolon won 1 of their last 5 (goals 4–12); Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 (goals 8–3)
In the table Obolon are 13th with 7 pts, Shakhtar Donetsk 2nd with 25 pts
In 7 meetings Obolon won 0, Shakhtar Donetsk won 7, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.22

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.22 implies only 45%.

Asian handicap -1.25Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25

Confidence62%

Indicative price3.34

Asian handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25: our confidence is 62%, 32 points above the 30% the best price of 3.34 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Shakhtar Donetsk85%1.13

Draw11%8.93

Obolon4%22.71

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.1%

Shakhtar Donetsk1.1385%Draw8.9311%Obolon22.714%

Total goals 2.5margin 7.2%

Over 2.51.6158%Under 2.52.2242%

Asian handicapmargin 5.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk -2.251.9150%Obolon +2.251.8850%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 8.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk1.4364%Draw3.0830%Obolon15.826%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Shakhtar Donetsk1.9350%Obolon1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

7Shakhtar Donetsk wins

0Draws

0Obolon wins

Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk

27.10.26Ukrainian CupShakhtar DonetskDyn. Kyiv30W
24.10.26Premier LeagueShakhtar DonetskFK Zorya Luhansk00D
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueInterShakhtar Donetsk10L
17.10.26Premier LeagueShakhtar DonetskKolos Kovalivka21W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueShakhtar DonetskAEK Athens31W

Last matches: Obolon

23.10.26Premier LeaguePolissya ZhytomyrObolon30L
16.10.26Premier LeagueObolonVeres-Rivne20W
18.09.26Premier LeagueCh. OdesaObolon11D
12.09.26Premier LeagueLNZ CherkasyObolon31L
05.09.26Premier LeagueMetalist 1925Obolon50L

Head-to-head matches

13.05.26Premier LeagueShakhtar DonetskObolon31W
22.11.25Premier LeagueObolonShakhtar Donetsk06W
29.03.25Premier LeagueObolonShakhtar Donetsk02W
23.09.24Premier LeagueShakhtar DonetskObolon40W
30.03.24Premier LeagueObolonShakhtar Donetsk03W
16.09.23Premier LeagueShakhtar DonetskObolon10W

3.00Avg goals14%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon: head-to-head record

7 meetings since 2014: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

7Shakhtar Donetsk wins

0Draws

0Obolon wins

20:1Goals (Shakhtar Donetsk : Obolon)

3.00Goals per match

14%BTTS

71%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

43%Over 3.5

Shakhtar Donetsk at home: 3-0-08:1 goals in 3 games
Obolon at home: 0-0-40:12 goals in 4 games
Shakhtar Donetsk's biggest win: 0–6Obolon 0–6 Shakhtar Donetsk, 22 Nov 2025

Meetings (7 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 May 2026	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk	3–1	Obolon
22 Nov 2025	Premier League	Obolon	0–6	Shakhtar Donetsk
29 Mar 2025	Premier League	Obolon	0–2	Shakhtar Donetsk
23 Sept 2024	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk	4–0	Obolon
30 Mar 2024	Premier League	Obolon	0–3	Shakhtar Donetsk
16 Sept 2023	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk	1–0	Obolon
23 Aug 2014	Cup	Obolon	0–1	Shakhtar Donetsk

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Shakhtar Donetsk3W 1D 1L · goals 8–3

W27.10Ukrainian CupHDyn. Kyiv3–0
D24.10Premier LeagueHFK Zorya Luhansk0–0
L21.10UEFA Champions LeagueAInter0–1
W17.10Premier LeagueHKolos Kovalivka2–1
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueHAEK Athens3–1

Obolon1W 1D 3L · goals 4–12

L23.10Premier LeagueAPolissya Zhytomyr0–3
W16.10Premier LeagueHVeres-Rivne2–0
D18.09Premier LeagueACh. Odesa1–1
L12.09Premier LeagueALNZ Cherkasy1–3
L05.09Premier LeagueAMetalist 19250–5

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Shakhtar DonetskObolon

2.0Goals scored per game0.4

0.4Goals conceded per game1.7

30%Both teams scored20%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

6Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score70%

5-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-4-5

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	10	+15	25	WWDWW
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	+15	25	DWWWW
3	FC Kharkiv	9	+11	21	WWWWW
12	Livyi Bereg	9	-2	8	DLLWL
13	Obolon	9	-11	7	LWDL
14	Ch. Odesa	9	-6	6	DLLDL

About this match

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon preview

Premier League fixture: Shakhtar Donetsk welcome Obolon on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 (18:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Shakhtar DonetskWDLWW8 scored · 3 conceded

ObolonLWDLL4 scored · 12 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Shakhtar DonetskObolon

2.0Goals scored per game0.4

0.4Goals conceded per game1.7

30%Both teams scored20%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

6Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

7Shakhtar Donetsk wins

0Draws

0Obolon wins

7 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 14%

What's at stake

Shakhtar Donetsk2nd25 pts · 10 played

Obolon13th7 pts · 9 played

Shakhtar Donetsk lead by 18 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk +1.2562%Confidence3.34Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.13 on Shakhtar Donetsk, 8.93 on the draw and 22.71 on Obolon, which is roughly 85%, 11% and 4% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Asian handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25 with 62% confidence at a best price of 3.34.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.22).

Recent form over the last 5: Shakhtar Donetsk WDLWW (goals 8–3), Obolon LWDLL (goals 4–12).

Both teams scored in 30% of Shakhtar Donetsk's recent games and 20% of Obolon's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 40% respectively.

Per game, Shakhtar Donetsk average 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Obolon 0.4 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 7 head-to-head games the record reads 7–0–0 (wins–draws–losses) from Shakhtar Donetsk's side.

Those 7 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-13) ended Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon.

Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd on 25 pts after 10 games, Obolon 13th on 7 pts.

Nito explains: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon mean?

The best prices are 1.13 for a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 8.93 for a draw and 22.71 for a Obolon win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.13 returns 11.30 if Shakhtar Donetsk win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.1% removed) that is 85% Shakhtar Donetsk, 11% draw and 4% Obolon.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25" mean?

Asian handicap: +1.25 goals are added to Obolon's final score, and the bet wins if Obolon are still ahead after that. A quarter line splits the stake over the two nearest lines. At 3.34, the price implies a 30% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 matches and 20% of Obolon's last 10. In their 7 recorded meetings it was 14%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Shakhtar Donetsk reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Obolon in 40% of their last 10. Their 7 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 3 conceded). Obolon, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (4 scored, 12 conceded).

Where do Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon stand in the table?

Shakhtar Donetsk are 2nd with 25 points from 10 games. Obolon are 13th with 7 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 18 points.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon: questions & answers

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25 with 62% confidence (best price 3.34). Bookmaker odds imply Shakhtar Donetsk 85%, draw 11%, Obolon 4%.

Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?

Both teams scored in 14% of their 7 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Shakhtar Donetsk's matches and 20% of Obolon's.

What are the odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?

Odds: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.13, draw 8.93, Obolon 22.71. Our pick Asian handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25 is available at 3.34.

When is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon kick-off?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon?

7 meetings: Shakhtar Donetsk 7 wins, 0 draws, Obolon 0 wins. Those 7 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon prediction & odds

Shakhtar Donetsk

Obolon

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds