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V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & odds

V-Varen

07:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 07:00

Tokyo Verdy

Odds 1X2

1V-Varen2.29XDraw3.012Tokyo Verdy2.77

PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank

V-VarenvsTokyo Verdy

Nito’s pick1.72

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.72

62%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: J-League
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 07:00 EET
Stadium: PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank
Capacity: 20,027
City: Nagasaki

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence1.72Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+4 pts)
3+ goals in 30% of V-Varen's last 5 and 50% of Tokyo Verdy's
Goals per game in the last 5: V-Varen matches 2.3, Tokyo Verdy matches 2.4
Their 22 meetings average 2.6 goals; both teams scored in 64%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.85

We rate Both teams to score: No at 60% — the price of 1.85 implies only 54%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.72

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 62% — the price of 1.72 implies only 58%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

V-Varen39%2.29

Draw29%3.01

Tokyo Verdy32%2.77

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 13.0%

V-Varen2.2939%Draw3.0129%Tokyo Verdy2.7732%

Double chance

V-Varen or Draw1.34V-Varen or Tokyo Verdy1.29Draw or Tokyo Verdy1.50

1st-half resultmargin 15.0%

V-Varen2.9030%Draw1.9944%Tokyo Verdy3.3026%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

V-Varen1.9649%Tokyo Verdy1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9V-Varen wins

6Draws

7Tokyo Verdy wins

Last matches: V-Varen

25.10.26J-LeagueUrawaV-Varen10L
21.10.26J-LeagueV-VarenSanfrecce Hiroshima40W
17.10.26J-LeagueKashimaV-Varen20L
11.10.26J-LeagueChibaV-Varen11D
07.10.26CupShimizuV-Varen21L

Last matches: Tokyo Verdy

24.10.26J-LeagueTokyo VerdyAvispa31W
21.10.26J-LeagueYokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy22D
17.10.26J-LeagueTokyo VerdyTokyo04L
11.10.26J-LeagueTokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima02L
07.10.26CupGainare TottoriTokyo Verdy00D

Head-to-head matches

05.07.23J2-LeagueTokyo VerdyV-Varen12W
07.05.23J2-LeagueV-VarenTokyo Verdy12L
06.08.22J2-LeagueTokyo VerdyV-Varen10L
19.02.22J2-LeagueV-VarenTokyo Verdy11D
07.11.21J2-LeagueTokyo VerdyV-Varen03W
25.04.21J2-LeagueV-VarenTokyo Verdy11D

2.59Avg goals64%Both scored55%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy: head-to-head record

22 meetings since 2011: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9V-Varen wins

6Draws

7Tokyo Verdy wins

30:27Goals (V-Varen : Tokyo Verdy)

2.59Goals per match

64%BTTS

73%Over 1.5

55%Over 2.5

14%Over 3.5

V-Varen at home: 4-5-111:8 goals in 10 games
Tokyo Verdy at home: 6-1-519:19 goals in 12 games
V-Varen's biggest win: 1–5Tokyo Verdy 1–5 V-Varen, 30 Mar 2014
Tokyo Verdy's biggest win: 7–1Tokyo Verdy 7–1 V-Varen, 10 Oct 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
5 Jul 2023	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	1–2	V-Varen
7 May 2023	J2-League	V-Varen	1–2	Tokyo Verdy
6 Aug 2022	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	1–0	V-Varen
19 Feb 2022	J2-League	V-Varen	1–1	Tokyo Verdy
7 Nov 2021	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	0–3	V-Varen
25 Apr 2021	J2-League	V-Varen	1–1	Tokyo Verdy
13 Dec 2020	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	0–2	V-Varen
2 Aug 2020	J2-League	V-Varen	0–0	Tokyo Verdy
31 Aug 2019	J2-League	V-Varen	2–1	Tokyo Verdy
5 May 2019	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	2–1	V-Varen
20 Aug 2017	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	2–1	V-Varen
27 May 2017	J2-League	V-Varen	1–0	Tokyo Verdy
16 Jul 2016	J2-League	V-Varen	2–1	Tokyo Verdy
10 Apr 2016	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	0–0	V-Varen
20 Sept 2015	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	0–1	V-Varen
29 Mar 2015	J2-League	V-Varen	1–1	Tokyo Verdy
9 Nov 2014	J2-League	V-Varen	0–0	Tokyo Verdy
30 Mar 2014	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	1–5	V-Varen
8 Sept 2013	Cup	Tokyo Verdy	3–2	V-Varen
11 Aug 2013	J2-League	Tokyo Verdy	2–1	V-Varen

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

V-Varen1W 1D 3L · goals 6–6

L25.10J-LeagueAUrawa0–1
W21.10J-LeagueHSanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
L17.10J-LeagueAKashima0–2
D11.10J-LeagueAChiba1–1
L07.10CupAShimizu1–2

Tokyo Verdy1W 2D 2L · goals 5–9

W24.10J-LeagueHAvispa3–1
D21.10J-LeagueAYokohama F. Marinos2–2
L17.10J-LeagueHTokyo0–4
L11.10J-LeagueHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
D07.10CupAGainare Tottori0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

V-VarenTokyo Verdy

1.1Goals scored per game0.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored50%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score40%

2-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

V-VarenTokyo Verdy

J1 League 2026 · 20 gamesJ1 League 2025 · 37 games

1.1Goals scored0.6

1.4Goals conceded1.1

3.6Corners4.3

10.8Shots9.7

45%Possession46%

1.0Yellow cards1.3

25%Clean sheets43%

25%Failed to score59%

5-0-5Home / away record (W-D-L)3-7-9

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · J-League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	12	-10	14	LLDWW
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	-4	12	LWLDD
15	Gamba Osaka	12	-7	11	DWDLL
17	Mito	12	-10	9	LLLLL
18	Verdy	12	-12	8	WDLLL
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	-8	7	LLLWL

About this match

V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 07:00, V-Varen take on Tokyo Verdy in the J-League.

Form · last 5 matches

V-VarenLWLDL6 scored · 6 conceded

Tokyo VerdyWDLLD5 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

V-VarenTokyo Verdy

1.1Goals scored per game0.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored50%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

9V-Varen wins

6Draws

7Tokyo Verdy wins

22 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 64%

What's at stake

V-Varen14th12 pts · 12 played

Tokyo Verdy18th8 pts · 12 played

V-Varen lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%Confidence1.72Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank.

The market sees little between the sides: V-Varen 2.29 (39%), draw 3.01 (29%), Tokyo Verdy 2.77 (32%).

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 62% confidence at a best price of 1.72.

We also have Both teams to score: No (60%, 1.85).

Recent form over the last 5: V-Varen LWLDL (goals 6–6), Tokyo Verdy WDLLD (goals 5–9).

Both teams scored in 40% of V-Varen's recent games and 50% of Tokyo Verdy's; over 2.5 goals landed in 30% and 50% respectively.

Per game, V-Varen average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Tokyo Verdy 0.9 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 22 head-to-head games the record reads 9–6–7 (wins–draws–losses) from V-Varen's side.

Those 22 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

The last meeting (2023-07-05) ended Tokyo Verdy 1–2 V-Varen.

V-Varen sit 14th on 12 pts after 12 games, Tokyo Verdy 18th on 8 pts.

Nito explains: V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy mean?

The best prices are 2.29 for a V-Varen win, 3.01 for a draw and 2.77 for a Tokyo Verdy win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.29 returns 22.90 if V-Varen win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 13.0% removed) that is 39% V-Varen, 29% draw and 32% Tokyo Verdy.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.72, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do V-Varen and Tokyo Verdy matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of V-Varen's last 10 matches and 50% of Tokyo Verdy's last 10. In their 22 recorded meetings it was 64%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. V-Varen reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Tokyo Verdy in 50% of their last 10. Their 22 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (55% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWLDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. V-Varen, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 6 conceded). Tokyo Verdy, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (5 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do V-Varen and Tokyo Verdy stand in the table?

V-Varen are 14th with 12 points from 12 games. Tokyo Verdy are 18th with 8 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy: questions & answers

Who will win V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy?

Bookmaker odds imply V-Varen 39%, draw 29%, Tokyo Verdy 32%.

Will both teams score in V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 1.85). Both teams scored in 64% of their 22 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of V-Varen's matches and 50% of Tokyo Verdy's.

What are the odds for V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy?

Odds: V-Varen 2.29, draw 3.01, Tokyo Verdy 2.77. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.72.

When is the V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy kick-off?

V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 07:00 (GMT+2) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank.

What is the head-to-head record between V-Varen and Tokyo Verdy?

22 meetings: V-Varen 9 wins, 6 draws, Tokyo Verdy 7 wins. Those 22 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

Other J-League matches on 1 Nov

All J-League fixtures

V-Varen vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & odds

V-Varen

Tokyo Verdy

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds