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Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction & odds

Burton

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Odds 1X2

1Burton1.10XDraw11.232AFC Rushden & Diamonds26.00

BurtonvsAFC Rushden & Diamonds

Nito’s pick1.50

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo

1.50

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo70%Confidence1.50Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.50 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+3 pts)
Both teams scored in 50% of Burton's last 5 and 90% of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's
Goals per game in the last 5: Burton matches 2.3, AFC Rushden & Diamonds matches 4.0

Best price 1.50 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+3 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Burton88%1.10

Draw9%11.23

AFC Rushden & Diamonds4%26.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%

Burton1.1088%Draw11.239%AFC Rushden & Diamonds26.004%

Total goals 2.5margin 7.8%

Over 2.51.2872%Under 2.53.3728%

Asian handicapmargin 5.9%

Burton -2.751.9548%AFC Rushden & Diamonds +2.751.8352%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 8.8%

Burton1.3270%Draw3.8124%AFC Rushden & Diamonds14.726%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Burton1.9350%AFC Rushden & Diamonds1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Burton

31.10.26League OneWycombeBurton20L
24.10.26League OneBurtonLeyton Orient21W
20.10.26League OneBurtonBradford City00D
17.10.26League OnePeterboroughBurton22D
10.10.26League OneDoncasterBurton10L

Last matches: AFC Rushden & Diamonds

17.10.26FA CupAFC Rushden & DiamondsMorecambe21W
03.10.26FA CupAFC Rushden & DiamondsBraintree

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Burton1W 2D 2L · goals 4–6

L31.10League OneAWycombe0–2
W24.10League OneHLeyton Orient2–1
D20.10League OneHBradford City0–0
D17.10League OneAPeterborough2–2
L10.10League OneADoncaster0–1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds4W 0D 1L · goals 11–6

W17.10FA CupHMorecambe2–1
W03.10FA CupHBraintree2–1
W19.09FA CupHPeterborough Sports3–1
W05.09FA CupADesborough

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BurtonAFC Rushden & Diamonds

1.0Goals scored per game2.2

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

50%Both teams scored90%

50%Over 2.5 goals100%

3Clean sheets1

30%Failed to score0%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-2

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About this match

Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds preview

Burton host AFC Rushden & Diamonds in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

BurtonLWDDL4 scored · 6 conceded

AFC Rushden & DiamondsWWWWL11 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BurtonAFC Rushden & Diamonds

1.0Goals scored per game2.2

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

50%Both teams scored90%

50%Over 2.5 goals100%

3Clean sheets1

Our pick

Both teams to scoreNo70%Confidence1.50Price

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.10 on Burton, 11.23 on the draw and 26.00 on AFC Rushden & Diamonds, which is roughly 88%, 9% and 4% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Both teams to score: No is our top pick for this game (70% confidence, best price 1.50).

Recent form over the last 5: Burton LWDDL (goals 4–6), AFC Rushden & Diamonds WWWWL (goals 11–6).

Both teams scored in 50% of Burton's recent games and 90% of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 100% respectively.

Per game, Burton average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 3), AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2.2 and 1.8 (clean sheets: 1).

Nito explains: Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds mean?

The best prices are 1.10 for a Burton win, 11.23 for a draw and 26.00 for a AFC Rushden & Diamonds win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.10 returns 11.00 if Burton win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.7% removed) that is 88% Burton, 9% draw and 4% AFC Rushden & Diamonds.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: No" mean?

It wins if at least one team fails to score. At 1.50, the price implies a 67% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Burton and AFC Rushden & Diamonds matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Burton's last 10 matches and 90% of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Burton reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, AFC Rushden & Diamonds in 100% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LWDDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Burton, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (4 scored, 6 conceded). AFC Rushden & Diamonds, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds: questions & answers

Who will win Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Bookmaker odds imply Burton 88%, draw 9%, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4%.

Will both teams score in Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (70% confidence, 1.50). In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Burton's matches and 90% of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's.

What are the odds for Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?

Odds: Burton 1.10, draw 11.23, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 26.00. Our pick Both teams to score: No is available at 1.50.

When is the Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds kick-off?

Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

Other FA Cup matches on 7 Nov

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Burton vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction & odds

Burton

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds