Correct score predictions today & next days

The three most likely scorelines for upcoming league matches, with the probability of each, worked out from expected goals for both teams.

Read this first: these are statistical estimates, not tips and not a promise. Even the most likely score of a match usually has only a 10–15% chance of landing. Our published, tracked picks are on today's predictions and the record.

80 matches17 leagues21 with an AI forecast scoreline

Today · Friday 6 November

21 matches
GaziantepKasimpasaTurkish Super Lig ·

Expected goals: 0.84 – 1.52

AI forecast: 1-2

Most likely scores

  1. 0-114.3%
  2. 1-112.1%
  3. 0-210.9%

From the same estimate

Home21%
Draw26%
Away53%
Over 2.542%
BTTS yes44%

Gaziantep at home: 5 games, 0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

Kasimpasa away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

BraunschweigCottbusBundesliga 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.91 – 1.79

AI forecast: 1-0

Most likely scores

  1. 1-18.5%
  2. 2-18.1%
  3. 1-27.6%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw22%
Away37%
Over 2.571%
BTTS yes71%

Braunschweig at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

Cottbus away: 5 games, 1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded per game.

SG Dynamo DresdenGreuther FurthBundesliga 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.20

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.6%
  2. 1-09.7%
  3. 2-19.4%

From the same estimate

Home47%
Draw25%
Away28%
Over 2.554%
BTTS yes56%

SG Dynamo Dresden at home: 4 games, 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Greuther Furth away: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Barracas CentralRacing ClubPrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 0.98 – 0.91

Most likely scores

  1. 0-015.2%
  2. 1-014.9%
  3. 0-113.7%

From the same estimate

Home36%
Draw32%
Away32%
Over 2.529%
BTTS yes37%

Barracas Central at home: 15 games, 1.00 scored / 0.87 conceded per game.

Racing Club away: 17 games, 1.00 scored / 1.12 conceded per game.

Willem IIZwolleEredivisie ·

Expected goals: 1.25 – 2.07

Most likely scores

  1. 1-29.7%
  2. 1-19.3%
  3. 0-27.8%

From the same estimate

Home23%
Draw21%
Away56%
Over 2.564%
BTTS yes62%

Willem II at home: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 3.20 conceded per game.

Zwolle away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

DijonRed StarLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.57 – 2.09

Most likely scores

  1. 1-28.8%
  2. 1-18.4%
  3. 2-26.9%

From the same estimate

Home29%
Draw21%
Away50%
Over 2.571%
BTTS yes69%

Dijon at home: 5 games, 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Red Star away: 6 games, 1.83 scored / 1.17 conceded per game.

Grenoble Foot 38ReimsLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 0.65 – 1.52

Most likely scores

  1. 0-117.4%
  2. 0-213.3%
  3. 0-011.4%

From the same estimate

Home16%
Draw26%
Away59%
Over 2.537%
BTTS yes37%

Grenoble Foot 38 at home: 5 games, 0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

Reims away: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded per game.

NancySochauxLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.06 – 0.65

Most likely scores

  1. 1-019.2%
  2. 0-018.1%
  3. 1-112.4%

From the same estimate

Home45%
Draw33%
Away22%
Over 2.525%
BTTS yes31%

Nancy at home: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded per game.

Sochaux away: 6 games, 0.67 scored / 1.17 conceded per game.

DunkerqueGuingampLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.06

Most likely scores

  1. 1-113.1%
  2. 1-012.4%
  3. 0-110.4%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw28%
Away31%
Over 2.541%
BTTS yes47%

Dunkerque at home: 6 games, 1.33 scored / 1.17 conceded per game.

Guingamp away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

BoulogneAnnecyLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 0.96 – 1.23

Most likely scores

  1. 0-113.8%
  2. 1-113.2%
  3. 0-011.1%

From the same estimate

Home29%
Draw29%
Away43%
Over 2.538%
BTTS yes44%

Boulogne at home: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Annecy away: 6 games, 1.50 scored / 1.17 conceded per game.

MontpellierMetzLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.29 – 0.63

Most likely scores

  1. 1-018.8%
  2. 0-014.6%
  3. 2-012.2%

From the same estimate

Home53%
Draw29%
Away18%
Over 2.530%
BTTS yes34%

Montpellier at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded per game.

Metz away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Hamburger SVB. MonchengladbachBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 1.98 – 1.42

Most likely scores

  1. 1-19.4%
  2. 2-19.3%
  3. 1-26.7%

From the same estimate

Home51%
Draw22%
Away28%
Over 2.566%
BTTS yes65%

Hamburger SV at home: 3 games, 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

B. Monchengladbach away: 4 games, 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded per game.

AscoliPalermoSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.42

Most likely scores

  1. 1-110.9%
  2. 2-18.9%
  3. 1-27.8%

From the same estimate

Home43%
Draw24%
Away33%
Over 2.559%
BTTS yes61%

Ascoli at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded per game.

Palermo away: 5 games, 2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

CastellonEibarSpanish Second Division ·

Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.85

Most likely scores

  1. 1-013.2%
  2. 2-011.4%
  3. 1-111.2%

From the same estimate

Home58%
Draw24%
Away18%
Over 2.547%
BTTS yes47%

Castellon at home: 5 games, 2.40 scored / 0.20 conceded per game.

Eibar away: 6 games, 1.83 scored / 1.17 conceded per game.

ToulouseStrasbourgLigue 1 ·

Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.44

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.1%
  2. 2-18.8%
  3. 1-28.0%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw24%
Away35%
Over 2.558%
BTTS yes61%

Toulouse at home: 4 games, 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded per game.

Strasbourg away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 2.60 conceded per game.

VeneziaUdineseSerie A ·

Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.91

Most likely scores

  1. 1-110.1%
  2. 1-29.7%
  3. 0-18.0%

From the same estimate

Home25%
Draw22%
Away53%
Over 2.561%
BTTS yes61%

Venezia at home: 5 games, 0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Udinese away: 4 games, 1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded per game.

St. LiegeBeverenBelgian Pro League ·

Expected goals: 2.00 – 0.89

AI forecast: 0-0

Most likely scores

  1. 1-011.1%
  2. 2-011.1%
  3. 1-19.9%

From the same estimate

Home63%
Draw21%
Away16%
Over 2.555%
BTTS yes51%

St. Liege at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

Beveren away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded per game.

EvertonCoventryPremier League ·

Expected goals: 1.49 – 0.78

Most likely scores

  1. 1-015.4%
  2. 1-112.0%
  3. 2-011.5%

From the same estimate

Home54%
Draw26%
Away20%
Over 2.540%
BTTS yes42%

Everton at home: 4 games, 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Coventry away: 4 games, 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

SevillaAlavesLa Liga ·

Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.07

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.0%
  2. 1-010.3%
  3. 2-19.8%

From the same estimate

Home54%
Draw23%
Away23%
Over 2.554%
BTTS yes55%

Sevilla at home: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Alaves away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded per game.

DerbyBoltonEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.79

Most likely scores

  1. 0-111.7%
  2. 1-111.0%
  3. 0-210.4%

From the same estimate

Home20%
Draw23%
Away57%
Over 2.551%
BTTS yes51%

Derby at home: 5 games, 0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

Bolton away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

FamalicaoAroucaPrimeira Liga ·

Expected goals: 0.80 – 1.20

Most likely scores

  1. 0-116.2%
  2. 0-013.5%
  3. 1-113.0%

From the same estimate

Home25%
Draw30%
Away45%
Over 2.532%
BTTS yes39%

Famalicao at home: 4 games, 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

Arouca away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

Tomorrow · Saturday 7 November

59 matches
IndependienteDep. RiestraPrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 1.04 – 0.45

Most likely scores

  1. 1-023.5%
  2. 0-022.6%
  3. 2-012.2%

From the same estimate

Home50%
Draw34%
Away16%
Over 2.519%
BTTS yes23%

Independiente at home: 15 games, 1.20 scored / 1.27 conceded per game.

Dep. Riestra away: 15 games, 0.20 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

San LorenzoPlatensePrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 0.90 – 1.01

Most likely scores

  1. 0-115.0%
  2. 0-014.8%
  3. 1-113.5%

From the same estimate

Home31%
Draw32%
Away37%
Over 2.530%
BTTS yes38%

San Lorenzo at home: 15 games, 0.93 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Platense away: 15 games, 1.00 scored / 1.07 conceded per game.

UniónVélez SarsfieldPrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.46

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.1%
  2. 0-19.4%
  3. 1-28.8%

From the same estimate

Home33%
Draw25%
Away41%
Over 2.552%
BTTS yes56%

Unión at home: 15 games, 1.67 scored / 1.07 conceded per game.

Vélez Sarsfield away: 15 games, 1.47 scored / 0.93 conceded per game.

BanfieldAtlético TucumánPrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.06

Most likely scores

  1. 1-113.4%
  2. 1-012.6%
  3. 0-111.7%

From the same estimate

Home38%
Draw29%
Away33%
Over 2.538%
BTTS yes44%

Banfield at home: 15 games, 1.20 scored / 1.13 conceded per game.

Atlético Tucumán away: 15 games, 0.93 scored / 1.13 conceded per game.

TigreSarmiento JuninPrimera Division ·

Expected goals: 1.49 – 0.90

Most likely scores

  1. 1-013.6%
  2. 1-112.3%
  3. 2-010.1%

From the same estimate

Home51%
Draw26%
Away23%
Over 2.543%
BTTS yes46%

Tigre at home: 15 games, 1.00 scored / 0.87 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Junin away: 15 games, 1.00 scored / 1.87 conceded per game.

NecaxaTijuanaLiga MX ·

Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.84

Most likely scores

  1. 1-19.8%
  2. 1-29.0%
  3. 2-17.3%

From the same estimate

Home31%
Draw23%
Away46%
Over 2.565%
BTTS yes65%

Necaxa at home: 8 games, 1.13 scored / 1.88 conceded per game.

Tijuana away: 7 games, 1.57 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Atlético San LuisJuárezLiga MX ·

Expected goals: 2.00 – 0.91

Most likely scores

  1. 1-010.9%
  2. 2-010.9%
  3. 1-19.9%

From the same estimate

Home63%
Draw21%
Away16%
Over 2.556%
BTTS yes52%

Atlético San Luis at home: 8 games, 1.13 scored / 1.50 conceded per game.

Juárez away: 7 games, 0.57 scored / 3.00 conceded per game.

AtlanteSantos LagunaLiga MX ·

Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.43

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.0%
  2. 2-18.9%
  3. 1-27.8%

From the same estimate

Home42%
Draw24%
Away34%
Over 2.559%
BTTS yes61%

Atlante at home: 7 games, 1.00 scored / 1.43 conceded per game.

Santos Laguna away: 7 games, 1.43 scored / 2.43 conceded per game.

EyupsporKocaelisporTurkish Super Lig ·

Expected goals: 0.89 – 1.38

Most likely scores

  1. 0-114.3%
  2. 1-112.7%
  3. 0-010.4%

From the same estimate

Home24%
Draw28%
Away48%
Over 2.539%
BTTS yes44%

Eyupspor at home: 5 games, 0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

Kocaelispor away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Holstein KielArminia BielefeldBundesliga 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.69 – 0.89

Most likely scores

  1. 1-012.8%
  2. 1-111.4%
  3. 2-010.8%

From the same estimate

Home56%
Draw24%
Away20%
Over 2.548%
BTTS yes48%

Holstein Kiel at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Arminia Bielefeld away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

NurnbergDarmstadtBundesliga 2 ·

Expected goals: 3.18 – 0.80

Most likely scores

  1. 3-010.0%
  2. 2-09.4%
  3. 3-18.0%

From the same estimate

Home83%
Draw11%
Away6%
Over 2.576%
BTTS yes53%

Nurnberg at home: 5 games, 2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Darmstadt away: 4 games, 0.25 scored / 3.25 conceded per game.

VfL OsnabruckKaiserslauternBundesliga 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.03

Most likely scores

  1. 1-113.4%
  2. 1-013.0%
  3. 0-111.5%

From the same estimate

Home39%
Draw29%
Away32%
Over 2.537%
BTTS yes44%

VfL Osnabruck at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

Kaiserslautern away: 5 games, 0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

LeedsTottenhamPremier League ·

Expected goals: 1.25 – 0.79

Most likely scores

  1. 1-016.2%
  2. 0-013.0%
  3. 1-112.8%

From the same estimate

Home47%
Draw29%
Away24%
Over 2.533%
BTTS yes39%

Leeds at home: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded per game.

Tottenham away: 4 games, 0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Bristol CityNorwichEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.87

Most likely scores

  1. 0-111.3%
  2. 1-110.6%
  3. 0-210.5%

From the same estimate

Home19%
Draw22%
Away59%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes52%

Bristol City at home: 5 games, 0.40 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Norwich away: 5 games, 2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

PortsmouthStokeEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.41

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.6%
  2. 2-18.6%
  3. 1-08.2%

From the same estimate

Home39%
Draw25%
Away36%
Over 2.555%
BTTS yes58%

Portsmouth at home: 5 games, 2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Stoke away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

WrexhamWolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.18

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.4%
  2. 1-010.4%
  3. 2-18.9%

From the same estimate

Home43%
Draw26%
Away31%
Over 2.549%
BTTS yes53%

Wrexham at home: 5 games, 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Wolverhampton Wanderers away: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

MalagaRacing SantanderLa Liga ·

Expected goals: 2.12 – 1.33

Most likely scores

  1. 2-19.5%
  2. 1-18.9%
  3. 2-07.1%

From the same estimate

Home56%
Draw21%
Away24%
Over 2.567%
BTTS yes65%

Malaga at home: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Racing Santander away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 3.60 conceded per game.

SamsunsporKonyasporTurkish Super Lig ·

Expected goals: 1.24 – 1.55

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.8%
  2. 0-19.5%
  3. 1-29.2%

From the same estimate

Home30%
Draw25%
Away45%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes56%

Samsunspor at home: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded per game.

Konyaspor away: 4 games, 0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded per game.

ClermontRodezLigue 2 ·

Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.26

Most likely scores

  1. 1-113.0%
  2. 0-111.5%
  3. 1-010.4%

From the same estimate

Home33%
Draw28%
Away39%
Over 2.543%
BTTS yes49%

Clermont at home: 6 games, 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Rodez away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded per game.

Burgos CFCelta Vigo BSpanish Second Division ·

Expected goals: 1.81 – 0.98

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-011.2%
  2. 1-110.9%
  3. 2-010.1%

From the same estimate

Home57%
Draw23%
Away20%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes52%

Burgos CF at home: 7 games, 1.57 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Celta Vigo B away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

CagliariFrosinoneSerie A ·

Expected goals: 1.18 – 1.46

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.3%
  2. 0-110.4%
  3. 1-29.0%

From the same estimate

Home31%
Draw26%
Away43%
Over 2.549%
BTTS yes53%

Cagliari at home: 4 games, 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Frosinone away: 4 games, 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

TorinoLecceSerie A ·

Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.57

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-110.6%
  2. 2-18.4%
  3. 1-28.3%

From the same estimate

Home39%
Draw24%
Away38%
Over 2.561%
BTTS yes63%

Torino at home: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Lecce away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

CesenaCatanzaroSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.76 – 1.17

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.0%
  2. 2-19.7%
  3. 1-09.4%

From the same estimate

Home51%
Draw23%
Away25%
Over 2.556%
BTTS yes57%

Cesena at home: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Catanzaro away: 6 games, 1.17 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Juve StabiaArezzoSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.22

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.5%
  2. 1-010.2%
  3. 0-19.0%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw26%
Away33%
Over 2.548%
BTTS yes53%

Juve Stabia at home: 4 games, 1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded per game.

Arezzo away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

PadovaEmpoliSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.27 – 0.99

Most likely scores

  1. 1-013.3%
  2. 1-113.1%
  3. 0-010.4%

From the same estimate

Home43%
Draw28%
Away29%
Over 2.539%
BTTS yes45%

Padova at home: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Empoli away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

PisaSudtirolSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.83 – 1.66

Most likely scores

  1. 1-19.3%
  2. 2-18.5%
  3. 1-27.7%

From the same estimate

Home42%
Draw22%
Away36%
Over 2.568%
BTTS yes68%

Pisa at home: 5 games, 1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Sudtirol away: 4 games, 1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

DortmundElversbergBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 2.00 – 0.81

AI forecast: 3-1

Most likely scores

  1. 2-012.0%
  2. 1-012.0%
  3. 2-19.8%

From the same estimate

Home65%
Draw20%
Away14%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes48%

Dortmund at home: 4 games, 2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded per game.

Elversberg away: 4 games, 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

MainzBayern MunichBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 1.33 – 2.20

AI forecast: 0-3

Most likely scores

  1. 1-29.4%
  2. 1-18.6%
  3. 0-27.1%

From the same estimate

Home23%
Draw20%
Away57%
Over 2.569%
BTTS yes65%

Mainz at home: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded per game.

Bayern Munich away: 4 games, 1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

PaderbornEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 1.79 – 1.24

AI forecast: 1-2

Most likely scores

  1. 1-110.7%
  2. 2-19.6%
  3. 1-08.6%

From the same estimate

Home50%
Draw23%
Away26%
Over 2.558%
BTTS yes59%

Paderborn at home: 4 games, 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Eintracht Frankfurt away: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 2.75 conceded per game.

RB LeipzigAugsburgBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 3.67 – 1.04

AI forecast: 2-1 (3 of 3)

Most likely scores

  1. 3-17.7%
  2. 3-07.4%
  3. 4-17.1%

From the same estimate

Home84%
Draw9%
Away6%
Over 2.585%
BTTS yes63%

RB Leipzig at home: 4 games, 4.50 scored / 0.00 conceded per game.

Augsburg away: 3 games, 3.00 scored / 2.67 conceded per game.

ArsenalHullPremier League ·

Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.78

AI forecast: 3-0 (1 of 3)

Most likely scores

  1. 1-014.1%
  2. 2-012.1%
  3. 1-111.0%

From the same estimate

Home60%
Draw24%
Away17%
Over 2.546%
BTTS yes44%

Arsenal at home: 4 games, 2.25 scored / 0.50 conceded per game.

Hull away: 4 games, 1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded per game.

FulhamNewcastlePremier League ·

Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.66

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-19.6%
  2. 2-18.4%
  3. 1-28.0%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw23%
Away37%
Over 2.566%
BTTS yes67%

Fulham at home: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

Newcastle away: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

BirminghamSwanseaEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 2.86 – 0.89

Most likely scores

  1. 2-09.6%
  2. 3-09.2%
  3. 2-18.6%

From the same estimate

Home78%
Draw13%
Away9%
Over 2.572%
BTTS yes56%

Birmingham at home: 5 games, 2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

Swansea away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded per game.

CharltonSheffield UtdEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.38

AI forecast: 1-1

Most likely scores

  1. 0-113.6%
  2. 1-112.7%
  3. 0-09.8%

From the same estimate

Home26%
Draw27%
Away47%
Over 2.541%
BTTS yes46%

Charlton at home: 5 games, 0.40 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Sheffield Utd away: 5 games, 1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

QPRLincolnEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.89

AI forecast: 2-0

Most likely scores

  1. 1-012.5%
  2. 1-111.1%
  3. 2-010.9%

From the same estimate

Home58%
Draw23%
Away19%
Over 2.549%
BTTS yes49%

QPR at home: 5 games, 2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Lincoln away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

BlackburnWest Ham UnitedEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.59 – 2.16

Most likely scores

  1. 1-28.7%
  2. 1-18.1%
  3. 2-26.9%

From the same estimate

Home28%
Draw21%
Away51%
Over 2.572%
BTTS yes70%

Blackburn at home: 5 games, 1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

West Ham United away: 5 games, 3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

CardiffBurnleyEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 2.28 – 1.41

Most likely scores

  1. 2-19.1%
  2. 1-18.0%
  3. 3-17.0%

From the same estimate

Home57%
Draw20%
Away23%
Over 2.571%
BTTS yes68%

Cardiff at home: 5 games, 2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Burnley away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

PrestonSouthamptonEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.51

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.3%
  2. 0-111.6%
  3. 1-29.3%

From the same estimate

Home27%
Draw26%
Away48%
Over 2.547%
BTTS yes51%

Preston at home: 4 games, 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded per game.

Southampton away: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded per game.

WatfordMiddlesbroughEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.28 – 1.89

Most likely scores

  1. 1-110.2%
  2. 1-29.6%
  3. 0-17.9%

From the same estimate

Home26%
Draw22%
Away52%
Over 2.561%
BTTS yes61%

Watford at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Middlesbrough away: 5 games, 2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

West BromMillwallEFL Championship ·

Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.99

Most likely scores

  1. 1-012.2%
  2. 1-112.0%
  3. 2-09.5%

From the same estimate

Home51%
Draw25%
Away24%
Over 2.547%
BTTS yes50%

West Brom at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

Millwall away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

WesterloCharleroiBelgian Pro League ·

Expected goals: 1.78 – 2.02

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-28.1%
  2. 1-18.1%
  3. 2-27.2%

From the same estimate

Home35%
Draw21%
Away44%
Over 2.573%
BTTS yes72%

Westerlo at home: 5 games, 3.20 scored / 2.80 conceded per game.

Charleroi away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded per game.

Dundee UtdMotherwellScottish Premiership ·

Expected goals: 1.60 – 1.46

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.0%
  2. 2-18.8%
  3. 1-28.0%

From the same estimate

Home41%
Draw24%
Away35%
Over 2.559%
BTTS yes61%

Dundee Utd at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Motherwell away: 6 games, 1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

St JohnstoneDundee FCScottish Premiership ·

Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.36

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.0%
  2. 1-08.8%
  3. 2-18.5%

From the same estimate

Home39%
Draw25%
Away36%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes56%

St Johnstone at home: 6 games, 1.67 scored / 1.50 conceded per game.

Dundee FC away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

EspanyolDep. La CorunaLa Liga ·

Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.41

AI forecast: 2-1 (1 of 2)

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.0%
  2. 0-18.7%
  3. 1-08.5%

From the same estimate

Home36%
Draw25%
Away38%
Over 2.553%
BTTS yes57%

Espanyol at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Dep. La Coruna away: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

Cadiz CFOviedoSpanish Second Division ·

Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.22

AI forecast: 0-1 (1 of 2)

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.3%
  2. 1-010.1%
  3. 2-18.9%

From the same estimate

Home42%
Draw26%
Away32%
Over 2.550%
BTTS yes54%

Cadiz CF at home: 7 games, 1.29 scored / 0.86 conceded per game.

Oviedo away: 6 games, 1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded per game.

SittardTelstarEredivisie ·

Expected goals: 1.20 – 1.26

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.9%
  2. 0-110.8%
  3. 1-010.3%

From the same estimate

Home35%
Draw27%
Away38%
Over 2.544%
BTTS yes50%

Sittard at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded per game.

Telstar away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

NacionalAcademico ViseuPrimeira Liga ·

Expected goals: 1.09 – 2.01

Most likely scores

  1. 1-29.9%
  2. 1-19.9%
  3. 0-29.1%

From the same estimate

Home20%
Draw21%
Away59%
Over 2.560%
BTTS yes57%

Nacional at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded per game.

Academico Viseu away: 5 games, 1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

GalatasarayAmedsporTurkish Super Lig ·

Expected goals: 2.00 – 1.34

Most likely scores

  1. 2-19.5%
  2. 1-19.5%
  3. 2-07.1%

From the same estimate

Home53%
Draw22%
Away26%
Over 2.565%
BTTS yes64%

Galatasaray at home: 5 games, 2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Amedspor away: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

GoztepeBasaksehirTurkish Super Lig ·

Expected goals: 1.86 – 0.90

AI forecast: 1-1 (1 of 2)

Most likely scores

  1. 1-011.7%
  2. 2-010.9%
  3. 1-110.6%

From the same estimate

Home60%
Draw22%
Away18%
Over 2.552%
BTTS yes50%

Goztepe at home: 4 games, 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

Basaksehir away: 4 games, 0.25 scored / 2.25 conceded per game.

MantovaVeronaSerie B ·

Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.33

Most likely scores

  1. 1-111.5%
  2. 2-19.0%
  3. 1-08.6%

From the same estimate

Home43%
Draw25%
Away32%
Over 2.556%
BTTS yes58%

Mantova at home: 5 games, 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

Verona away: 4 games, 1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded per game.

ParmaBolognaSerie A ·

Expected goals: 0.83 – 1.38

Most likely scores

  1. 0-115.2%
  2. 1-112.6%
  3. 0-011.0%

From the same estimate

Home23%
Draw28%
Away50%
Over 2.538%
BTTS yes42%

Parma at home: 5 games, 0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Bologna away: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded per game.

LeuvenKV MechelenBelgian Pro League ·

Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.27

Most likely scores

  1. 1-112.7%
  2. 1-09.9%
  3. 0-19.8%

From the same estimate

Home37%
Draw27%
Away36%
Over 2.547%
BTTS yes52%

Leuven at home: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

KV Mechelen away: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded per game.

NottinghamManchester CityPremier League ·

Expected goals: 0.56 – 1.40

Most likely scores

  1. 0-119.7%
  2. 0-014.0%
  3. 0-213.8%

From the same estimate

Home15%
Draw27%
Away58%
Over 2.531%
BTTS yes32%

Nottingham at home: 4 games, 0.00 scored / 0.75 conceded per game.

Manchester City away: 4 games, 2.25 scored / 0.75 conceded per game.

StuttgartWerder BremenBundesliga ·

Expected goals: 2.13 – 1.70

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 2-18.4%
  2. 1-17.8%
  3. 2-27.1%

From the same estimate

Home48%
Draw21%
Away31%
Over 2.574%
BTTS yes72%

Stuttgart at home: 3 games, 2.00 scored / 1.67 conceded per game.

Werder Bremen away: 4 games, 1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded per game.

OsasunaAth BilbaoLa Liga ·

Expected goals: 1.04 – 0.72

AI forecast: 2-1 (1 of 2)

Most likely scores

  1. 1-017.9%
  2. 0-017.2%
  3. 1-112.9%

From the same estimate

Home43%
Draw33%
Away25%
Over 2.526%
BTTS yes33%

Osasuna at home: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded per game.

Ath Bilbao away: 4 games, 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded per game.

CordobaCeutaSpanish Second Division ·

Expected goals: 2.39 – 1.16

Most likely scores

  1. 2-19.5%
  2. 2-08.2%
  3. 1-18.0%

From the same estimate

Home65%
Draw18%
Away17%
Over 2.569%
BTTS yes62%

Cordoba at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded per game.

Ceuta away: 5 games, 0.80 scored / 3.00 conceded per game.

LeganesAlbaceteSpanish Second Division ·

Expected goals: 1.62 – 0.78

Most likely scores

  1. 1-014.7%
  2. 2-011.9%
  3. 1-111.5%

From the same estimate

Home57%
Draw25%
Away18%
Over 2.543%
BTTS yes43%

Leganes at home: 5 games, 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

Albacete away: 6 games, 0.50 scored / 2.33 conceded per game.

Den HaagSparta RotterdamEredivisie ·

Expected goals: 2.00 – 2.34

AI forecast: 2-1

Most likely scores

  1. 1-27.1%
  2. 2-27.1%
  3. 1-16.1%

From the same estimate

Home34%
Draw20%
Away47%
Over 2.581%
BTTS yes78%

Den Haag at home: 5 games, 1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded per game.

Sparta Rotterdam away: 5 games, 2.20 scored / 2.40 conceded per game.

AberdeenHibernianScottish Premiership ·

Expected goals: 0.98 – 0.98

Most likely scores

  1. 0-014.2%
  2. 1-013.9%
  3. 0-113.8%

From the same estimate

Home34%
Draw31%
Away34%
Over 2.531%
BTTS yes39%

Aberdeen at home: 6 games, 0.83 scored / 0.83 conceded per game.

Hibernian away: 5 games, 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded per game.

How we estimate correct scores

  1. Expected goals for each side. Home attack = the home team's goals per home game ÷ the league's average home goals; away defence = the away team's goals conceded per away game ÷ the same average. Expected home goals = league home average × home attack × away defence. The away side is the mirror image. Only this season's league games count, and each record is blended with 4 games at the league average so a short run can't dominate.
  2. A score grid. Each side's goals follow a Poisson distribution with that expectation; the chance of, say, 2-1 is P(home scores 2) × P(away scores 1). We list the three most likely scorelines.
  3. The same grid gives 1X2, over 2.5 and BTTS — so you can see how a score estimate fits the rest of the match picture.

Limits

FAQ

How are these correct score predictions calculated?

From goal expectations: each team's goals scored and conceded per game at home or away in this season's league, compared with the league average, give an expected number of goals for each side. Each side's goals then follow a Poisson distribution, and the probability of every scoreline (0-0 up to 10-10) comes from multiplying the two. Small samples are pulled towards the league average.

How often does the most likely score actually happen?

Rarely more than 1 time in 8. Even the single most likely scoreline of a match usually has a 10–15% chance, because there are dozens of possible results. That is why correct score odds are long, and why no honest site can promise a correct score.

Are these the same as Tipnito picks?

No. Our published picks (1X2, double chance, BTTS, over/under, Asian handicap) come from our selector and are tracked on the record page. Correct scores here are a statistical estimate shown for information; where an AI forecast in our feed suggested a scoreline, we show it separately.

Which matches are included?

Matches in the next three days in the domestic leagues we cover, when both teams have played at least 3 home (home side) or away (away side) league games this season and the league has enough results. Cup ties and European matches are left out because there is no comparable season table.

For information only — not betting advice. Prices are the best available at publication. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.