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Londrina vs América Mineiro prediction & odds

Londrina

21:00
Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 21:00

América Mineiro

Odds 1X2
1Londrina1.90XDraw3.732América Mineiro4.00
Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff
LondrinavsAmérica MineiroNito’s pick1.93

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.93

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Serie B
Kick-off
Stadium
Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff
Capacity
31,019
City
Londrina, Paraná

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence1.93Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+10 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 50% of Londrina's last 5 and 0% of América Mineiro's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Londrina matches 2.3, América Mineiro matches 1.0
  • Their 7 meetings average 3.3 goals; both teams scored in 71%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Londrina
Confidence60%
Indicative price1.90

Londrina to win: our confidence is 60%, 7 points above the 53% the best price of 1.90 implies.

Both teams to scoreNo
Confidence60%
Indicative price2.00

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 10 points above the 50% the best price of 2.00 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
Confidence62%
Indicative price1.93

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 10 points above the 52% the best price of 1.93 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Londrina50%1.90
Draw26%3.73
América Mineiro24%4.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%
Londrina1.9050%Draw3.7326%América Mineiro4.0024%
Double chance
Londrina or Draw1.13Londrina or América Mineiro1.18Draw or América Mineiro1.97
1st-half resultmargin 6.4%
Londrina2.4139%Draw2.3440%América Mineiro4.5221%
More markets (1)
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Londrina1.9450%América Mineiro1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

About this match

Londrina vs América Mineiro preview

Serie B fixture: Londrina welcome América Mineiro on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (21:00 kick-off).