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Nautico vs Avaí prediction & odds

Nautico

00:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 00:30

Avaí

Odds 1X2

1Nautico2.07XDraw3.402Avaí3.88

Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

NauticovsAvaí

Nito’s pick1.83

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.83

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie B
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 00:30 EET
Stadium: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho
Capacity: 22,856
City: Recife, Pernambuco

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.565%Confidence1.83Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.83 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+10 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Nautico's last 5 and 30% of Avaí's
Goals per game in the last 5: Nautico matches 2.7, Avaí matches 1.8
Their 19 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 58%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Nautico

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.07

We rate Nautico to win at 60% — the price of 2.07 implies only 48%.

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.90

We rate Both teams to score: No at 60% — the price of 1.90 implies only 53%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.83

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 65% — the price of 1.83 implies only 55%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Nautico47%2.07

Draw28%3.40

Avaí25%3.88

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Nautico2.0747%Draw3.4028%Avaí3.8825%

Double chance

Nautico or Draw1.18Nautico or Avaí1.20Draw or Avaí1.79

1st-half resultmargin 6.3%

Nautico2.5737%Draw2.2442%Avaí4.4021%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Nautico1.9549%Avaí1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Nautico wins

3Draws

11Avaí wins

Last matches: Nautico

26.10.26Serie BJuventudeNautico40L
19.10.26Serie BGoiásNautico00D
11.10.26Serie BNauticoVila Nova02L
08.10.26Serie BNauticoNovorizontino02L
03.10.26Serie BFortalezaNautico11D

Last matches: Avaí

Primeira LigaFigueirenseAvaí11D
Primeira LigaAvaíLondrina01L
Primeira LigaParanáAvaí20L
24.10.26Serie BAvaíBotafogo SP02L
18.10.26Serie BAvaíAthletic Club00D

Head-to-head matches

12.07.26Serie BAvaíNautico20L
21.11.21Serie BNauticoAvaí12L
14.08.21Serie BAvaíNautico20L
06.11.20Serie BNauticoAvaí22D
09.08.20Serie BAvaíNautico31L
12.11.16Serie BAvaíNautico30L

2.79Avg goals58%Both scored53%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Nautico vs Avaí: head-to-head record

19 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Nautico wins

3Draws

11Avaí wins

23:30Goals (Nautico : Avaí)

2.79Goals per match

58%BTTS

84%Over 1.5

53%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Nautico at home: 3-1-412:11 goals in 8 games
Avaí at home: 7-2-219:11 goals in 11 games
Nautico's biggest win: 4–1Nautico 4–1 Avaí, 14 Aug 2006
Avaí's biggest win: 3–0Avaí 3–0 Nautico, 12 Nov 2016

Meetings (19 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
12 Jul 2026	Serie B	Avaí	2–0	Nautico
21 Nov 2021	Serie B	Nautico	1–2	Avaí
14 Aug 2021	Serie B	Avaí	2–0	Nautico
6 Nov 2020	Serie B	Nautico	2–2	Avaí
9 Aug 2020	Serie B	Avaí	3–1	Nautico
12 Nov 2016	Serie B	Avaí	3–0	Nautico
23 Jul 2016	Serie B	Nautico	3–1	Avaí
4 Oct 2014	Serie B	Avaí	0–2	Nautico
28 May 2014	Serie B	Nautico	0–1	Avaí
5 Dec 2009	Serie A	Nautico	0–1	Avaí
15 Aug 2009	Serie A	Avaí	2–1	Nautico
10 Nov 2006	Serie B	Avaí	1–1	Nautico
14 Aug 2006	Serie B	Nautico	4–1	Avaí
1 Sept 2005	Serie B	Avaí	2–1	Nautico
29 Oct 2004	Serie B	Nautico	2–1	Avaí
1 Oct 2004	Serie B	Avaí	1–0	Nautico
27 May 2004	Serie B	Avaí	2–4	Nautico
27 Jun 2003	Serie B	Avaí	1–1	Nautico
9 Sept 2002	Serie B	Nautico	0–2	Avaí

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Nautico0W 2D 3L · goals 1–9

L26.10Serie BAJuventude0–4
D19.10Serie BAGoiás0–0
L11.10Serie BHVila Nova0–2
L08.10Serie BHNovorizontino0–2
D03.10Serie BAFortaleza1–1

Avaí0W 2D 3L · goals 1–6

D01.01Primeira LigaAFigueirense1–1
L01.01Primeira LigaHLondrina0–1
L01.01Primeira LigaAParaná0–2
L24.10Serie BHBotafogo SP0–2
D18.10Serie BHAthletic Club0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

NauticoAvaí

0.9Goals scored per game0.5

1.8Goals conceded per game1.3

40%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets2

50%Failed to score60%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

NauticoAvaí

Serie B 2026 · 23 gamesSerie B 2025 · 35 games

1.3Goals scored1.3

1.2Goals conceded1.1

6.8Corners4.6

18.1Shots13.0

57%Possession47%

2.6Yellow cards2.1

30%Clean sheets31%

35%Failed to score23%

6-3-3Home / away record (W-D-L)4-8-7

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
14	Athletic Club	35	0	44	LDDLL
15	Nautico	35	-7	43	LDLLD
16	Ceara	35	-7	43	LDLWW
17	Avai	35	-12	37	LDWWL
18	Londrina	35	-7	32	LWDLL

About this match

Nautico vs Avaí preview

Serie B fixture: Nautico welcome Avaí on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (00:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

NauticoLDLLD1 scored · 9 conceded

AvaíDLLLD1 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

NauticoAvaí

0.9Goals scored per game0.5

1.8Goals conceded per game1.3

40%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

5Nautico wins

3Draws

11Avaí wins

19 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Nautico15th43 pts · 35 played

Avaí17th37 pts · 35 played

Nautico lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%Confidence1.83Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho.

The best available prices are 2.07 on Nautico, 3.40 on the draw and 3.88 on Avaí, which is roughly 47%, 28% and 25% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Under 2.5 goals is our top pick for this game (65% confidence, best price 1.83).

We also have Nautico to win (60%, 2.07) and Both teams to score: No (60%, 1.90).

Recent form over the last 5: Nautico LDLLD (goals 1–9), Avaí DLLLD (goals 1–6).

Both teams scored in 40% of Nautico's recent games and 30% of Avaí's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 30% respectively.

Per game, Nautico average 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Avaí 0.5 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 19 head-to-head games the record reads 5–3–11 (wins–draws–losses) from Nautico's side.

Those 19 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-12) ended Avaí 2–0 Nautico.

Nautico sit 15th on 43 pts after 35 games, Avaí 17th on 37 pts.

Nito explains: Nautico vs Avaí

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Nautico vs Avaí mean?

The best prices are 2.07 for a Nautico win, 3.40 for a draw and 3.88 for a Avaí win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.07 returns 20.70 if Nautico win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 47% Nautico, 28% draw and 25% Avaí.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.83, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Nautico and Avaí matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Nautico's last 10 matches and 30% of Avaí's last 10. In their 19 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Nautico reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Avaí in 30% of their last 10. Their 19 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (53% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Nautico, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (1 scored, 9 conceded). Avaí, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (1 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Nautico and Avaí stand in the table?

Nautico are 15th with 43 points from 35 games. Avaí are 17th with 37 points from 35 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Nautico vs Avaí: questions & answers

Who will win Nautico vs Avaí?

Our pick is Nautico to win with 60% confidence (best price 2.07). Bookmaker odds imply Nautico 47%, draw 28%, Avaí 25%.

Will both teams score in Nautico vs Avaí?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 1.90). Both teams scored in 58% of their 19 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Nautico's matches and 30% of Avaí's.

What are the odds for Nautico vs Avaí?

Odds: Nautico 2.07, draw 3.40, Avaí 3.88. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.83.

When is the Nautico vs Avaí kick-off?

Nautico vs Avaí kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (GMT+2) at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho.

What is the head-to-head record between Nautico and Avaí?

19 meetings: Nautico 5 wins, 3 draws, Avaí 11 wins. Those 19 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Other Serie B matches on 1 Nov

All Serie B fixtures

Nautico vs Avaí prediction & odds

Nautico

Avaí

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds