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Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo prediction & odds

Cuiaba

23:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 23:30

Sao Bernardo

Odds 1X2

1Cuiaba1.74XDraw3.702Sao Bernardo5.01

Arena Pantanal

CuiabavsSao Bernardo

Nito’s pick1.33

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 1.5Over 1.5

1.33

78%Confidence

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie B
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 23:30 EET
Stadium: Arena Pantanal
Capacity: 44,003
City: Cuiabá, Mato Grosso

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 1.5Over 1.578%Confidence1.33Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.33 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 78% (+3 pts)
3+ goals in 30% of Cuiaba's last 5 and 50% of Sao Bernardo's
Goals per game in the last 5: Cuiaba matches 1.8, Sao Bernardo matches 2.5

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Sao Bernardo

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.89

We rate Double chance: Draw or Sao Bernardo at 60% — the price of 1.89 implies only 53%.

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.00

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 2.00 implies only 50%.

Total goals 1.5Over 1.5High confidence

Confidence78%

Indicative price1.33

Over 1.5 goals: our confidence is 78%, 3 points above the 75% the best price of 1.33 implies.

Asian handicap -0.5Sao Bernardo +0.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.14

We rate Asian handicap: Sao Bernardo +0.5 at 60% — the price of 2.14 implies only 47%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Cuiaba55%1.74

Draw26%3.70

Sao Bernardo19%5.01

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.5%

Cuiaba1.7455%Draw3.7026%Sao Bernardo5.0119%

Double chance

Cuiaba or Draw1.13Cuiaba or Sao Bernardo1.21Draw or Sao Bernardo1.89

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.52.0546%Under 2.51.7854%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.5%

Cuiaba -0.751.9549%Sao Bernardo +0.751.8851%

1st-half resultmargin 6.5%

Cuiaba2.2941%Draw2.2442%Sao Bernardo5.5017%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Cuiaba1.9450%Sao Bernardo1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Cuiaba wins

1Draws

0Sao Bernardo wins

Last matches: Cuiaba

26.10.26Serie BAmérica MineiroCuiaba10L
20.10.26Serie BLondrinaCuiaba10L
11.10.26Serie BCuiabaAvaí01L
07.10.26Serie BVila NovaCuiaba00D
03.10.26Serie BCuiabaPonte Preta20W

Last matches: Sao Bernardo

24.10.26Serie BSao BernardoVila Nova32W
18.10.26Serie BSao BernardoCriciúma01L
11.10.26Serie BJuventudeSao Bernardo22D
06.10.26Serie BSport RecifeSao Bernardo21L
02.10.26Serie BSao BernardoCRB31W

Head-to-head matches

12.07.26Serie BSao BernardoCuiaba22D

4.00Avg goals100%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo: head-to-head record

1 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Cuiaba wins

1Draws

0Sao Bernardo wins

2:2Goals (Cuiaba : Sao Bernardo)

4.00Goals per match

100%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

100%Over 3.5

Sao Bernardo at home: 0-1-02:2 goals in 1 games

Meetings (1 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
12 Jul 2026	Serie B	Sao Bernardo	2–2	Cuiaba

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Cuiaba1W 1D 3L · goals 2–3

L26.10Serie BAAmérica Mineiro0–1
L20.10Serie BALondrina0–1
L11.10Serie BHAvaí0–1
D07.10Serie BAVila Nova0–0
W03.10Serie BHPonte Preta2–0

Sao Bernardo2W 1D 2L · goals 9–8

W24.10Serie BHVila Nova3–2
L18.10Serie BHCriciúma0–1
D11.10Serie BAJuventude2–2
L06.10Serie BASport Recife1–2
W02.10Serie BHCRB3–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CuiabaSao Bernardo

0.9Goals scored per game1.5

0.9Goals conceded per game1.0

10%Both teams scored50%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets4

60%Failed to score20%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CuiabaSao Bernardo

Serie B 2026 · 22 gamesSerie B 2026 · 24 games

1.0Goals scored1.5

0.9Goals conceded1.1

5.3Corners4.8

13.2Shots11.6

47%Possession48%

1.8Yellow cards2.0

36%Clean sheets25%

41%Failed to score13%

4-5-1Home / away record (W-D-L)6-2-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Operario-PR	35	-1	51	WLLLL
11	Sao Bernardo	35	+10	49	WLDLW
12	Botafogo SP	35	+2	47	WWWWL
13	Cuiaba	35	+4	47	LLLDW
14	Athletic Club	35	0	44	LDDLL

About this match

Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo preview

Cuiaba host Sao Bernardo in the Serie B on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:30.

Form · last 5 matches

CuiabaLLLDW2 scored · 3 conceded

Sao BernardoWLDLW9 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CuiabaSao Bernardo

0.9Goals scored per game1.5

0.9Goals conceded per game1.0

10%Both teams scored50%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

0Cuiaba wins

1Draws

0Sao Bernardo wins

1 meetings

What's at stake

Cuiaba13th47 pts · 35 played

Sao Bernardo11th49 pts · 35 played

Sao Bernardo lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%Confidence1.33Price

+3 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Arena Pantanal.

The best available prices are 1.74 on Cuiaba, 3.70 on the draw and 5.01 on Sao Bernardo, which is roughly 55%, 26% and 19% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals with 78% confidence at a best price of 1.33.

We also have Double chance: Draw or Sao Bernardo (60%, 1.89), Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 2.00) and Asian handicap: Sao Bernardo +0.5 (60%, 2.14).

Recent form over the last 5: Cuiaba LLLDW (goals 2–3), Sao Bernardo WLDLW (goals 9–8).

Both teams scored in 10% of Cuiaba's recent games and 50% of Sao Bernardo's; over 2.5 goals landed in 30% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Cuiaba average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Sao Bernardo 1.5 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 1 head-to-head games the record reads 0–1–0 (wins–draws–losses) from Cuiaba's side.

The last meeting (2026-07-12) ended Sao Bernardo 2–2 Cuiaba.

Cuiaba sit 13th on 47 pts after 35 games, Sao Bernardo 11th on 49 pts.

Nito explains: Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo mean?

The best prices are 1.74 for a Cuiaba win, 3.70 for a draw and 5.01 for a Sao Bernardo win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.74 returns 17.40 if Cuiaba win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.5% removed) that is 55% Cuiaba, 26% draw and 19% Sao Bernardo.

What does Nito's pick "Over 1.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 1.5 goals in total. At 1.33, the price implies a 75% chance; Nito's data rates it at 78%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Cuiaba and Sao Bernardo matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 10% of Cuiaba's last 10 matches and 50% of Sao Bernardo's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Cuiaba reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Sao Bernardo in 50% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LLLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Cuiaba, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (2 scored, 3 conceded). Sao Bernardo, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Cuiaba and Sao Bernardo stand in the table?

Cuiaba are 13th with 47 points from 35 games. Sao Bernardo are 11th with 49 points from 35 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo: questions & answers

Who will win Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Sao Bernardo with 60% confidence (best price 1.89). Bookmaker odds imply Cuiaba 55%, draw 26%, Sao Bernardo 19%.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 2.00). In recent games both teams scored in 10% of Cuiaba's matches and 50% of Sao Bernardo's.

What are the odds for Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo?

Odds: Cuiaba 1.74, draw 3.70, Sao Bernardo 5.01. Our pick Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.33.

When is the Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo kick-off?

Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 23:30 (GMT+2) at Arena Pantanal.

What is the head-to-head record between Cuiaba and Sao Bernardo?

1 meetings: Cuiaba 0 wins, 1 draws, Sao Bernardo 0 wins.

Other Serie B matches on 1 Nov

All Serie B fixtures

Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo prediction & odds

Cuiaba

Sao Bernardo

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds