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Londrina vs America MG prediction & odds

Londrina

21:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 21:00

America MG

Odds 1X2

1Londrina1.90XDraw3.732America MG4.00

LondrinavsAmerica MG

Nito’s pick1.93

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.93

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie B
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 21:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence1.93Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+10 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Londrina's last 5 and 0% of America MG's
Goals per game in the last 5: Londrina matches 2.3, America MG matches 1.0
Their 7 meetings average 3.3 goals; both teams scored in 71%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Londrina

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.90

Londrina to win: our confidence is 60%, 7 points above the 53% the best price of 1.90 implies.

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.00

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 10 points above the 50% the best price of 2.00 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.93

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 10 points above the 52% the best price of 1.93 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Londrina50%1.90

Draw26%3.73

America MG24%4.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%

Londrina1.9050%Draw3.7326%America MG4.0024%

Double chance

Londrina or Draw1.13Londrina or America MG1.18Draw or America MG1.97

Total goals 2.5margin 5.1%

Over 2.51.7953%Under 2.52.0347%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.2%

Londrina -0.51.8851%America MG +0.51.9649%

1st-half resultmargin 6.4%

Londrina2.4139%Draw2.3440%America MG4.5221%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Londrina1.9450%America MG1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Londrina wins

2Draws

5America MG wins

Last matches: Londrina

Primeira LigaLondrinaParaná21W
Primeira LigaAvaíLondrina01W
Primeira LigaFigueirenseLondrina01W
24.10.26Serie BCRBLondrina21L
20.10.26Serie BLondrinaCuiaba10W

Last matches: America MG

Primeira LigaFlamengoAmerica MG10L
Primeira LigaGrêmioAmerica MG10L
Primeira LigaAmerica MGCeará00D
26.10.26Serie BAmerica MGCuiaba10W
17.10.26Serie BAmerica MGOperario-PR10W

Head-to-head matches

13.07.26Serie BAmerica MGLondrina11D
08.11.19Serie BLondrinaAmerica MG01L
07.08.19Serie BAmerica MGLondrina43L
01.08.17Serie BAmerica MGLondrina32L
10.06.04Serie BAmerica MGLondrina10L
11.07.03Serie BAmerica MGLondrina22D

3.29Avg goals71%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Londrina vs America MG: head-to-head record

7 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Londrina wins

2Draws

5America MG wins

9:14Goals (Londrina : America MG)

3.29Goals per match

71%BTTS

71%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

43%Over 3.5

Londrina at home: 0-0-10:1 goals in 1 games
America MG at home: 4-2-013:9 goals in 6 games
America MG's biggest win: 0–1Londrina 0–1 America MG, 8 Nov 2019

Meetings (7 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 Jul 2026	Serie B	America MG	1–1	Londrina
8 Nov 2019	Serie B	Londrina	0–1	America MG
7 Aug 2019	Serie B	America MG	4–3	Londrina
1 Aug 2017	Serie B	America MG	3–2	Londrina
10 Jun 2004	Serie B	America MG	1–0	Londrina
11 Jul 2003	Serie B	America MG	2–2	Londrina
7 Oct 2002	Serie B	America MG	2–1	Londrina

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Londrina4W 0D 1L · goals 6–3

W01.01Primeira LigaHParaná2–1
W01.01Primeira LigaAAvaí1–0
W01.01Primeira LigaAFigueirense1–0
L24.10Serie BACRB1–2
W20.10Serie BHCuiaba1–0

America MG2W 1D 2L · goals 2–2

L01.01Primeira LigaAFlamengo0–1
L01.01Primeira LigaAGrêmio0–1
D01.01Primeira LigaHCeará0–0
W26.10Serie BHCuiaba1–0
W17.10Serie BHOperario-PR1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LondrinaAmerica MG

1.0Goals scored per game0.2

1.3Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Both teams scored0%

50%Over 2.5 goals0%

3Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score80%

2-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-5

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
17	Avai	35	-12	37	LDWWL
18	Londrina	35	-7	32	LWDLL
19	America MG	35	-31	23	WWLLL
20	Ponte Preta	35	-55	15	DDLLL

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About this match

Londrina vs America MG preview

Serie B fixture: Londrina welcome America MG on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (21:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

LondrinaWWWLW6 scored · 3 conceded

America MGLLDWW2 scored · 2 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LondrinaAmerica MG

1.0Goals scored per game0.2

1.3Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Both teams scored0%

50%Over 2.5 goals0%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

0Londrina wins

2Draws

5America MG wins

7 meetings · 3.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 71%

What's at stake

Londrina18th32 pts · 35 played

America MG19th23 pts · 35 played

Londrina lead by 9 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%Confidence1.93Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Londrina the favourite at 1.90 (50% implied), with the draw at 3.73 (26%).

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 62% confidence at a best price of 1.93.

We also have Londrina to win (60%, 1.90) and Both teams to score: No (60%, 2.00).

Londrina come into the game with WWWLW in their last 5 (6 scored, 3 conceded), while America MG have LLDWW (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Londrina's recent games and 0% of America MG's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 0%.

Per game, Londrina average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 3), America MG 0.2 and 0.8 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 7 previous meetings: Londrina 0 wins, America MG 5 wins, draws 2.

Those 7 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-13) ended America MG 1–1 Londrina.

In the table, Londrina are 18th (32 pts from 35 games) and America MG are 19th (23 pts from 35).

Nito explains: Londrina vs America MG

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Londrina vs America MG mean?

The best prices are 1.90 for a Londrina win, 3.73 for a draw and 4.00 for a America MG win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.90 returns 19.00 if Londrina win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.4% removed) that is 50% Londrina, 26% draw and 24% America MG.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.93, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Londrina and America MG matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Londrina's last 10 matches and 0% of America MG's last 10. In their 7 recorded meetings it was 71%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Londrina reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, America MG in 0% of their last 10. Their 7 meetings averaged 3.3 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Londrina, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (6 scored, 3 conceded). America MG, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Where do Londrina and America MG stand in the table?

Londrina are 18th with 32 points from 35 games. America MG are 19th with 23 points from 35 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Londrina vs America MG: questions & answers

Who will win Londrina vs America MG?

Our pick is Londrina to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.90). Bookmaker odds imply Londrina 50%, draw 26%, America MG 24%.

Will both teams score in Londrina vs America MG?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 2.00). Both teams scored in 71% of their 7 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Londrina's matches and 0% of America MG's.

What are the odds for Londrina vs America MG?

Odds: Londrina 1.90, draw 3.73, America MG 4.00. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.93.

When is the Londrina vs America MG kick-off?

Londrina vs America MG kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Londrina and America MG?

7 meetings: Londrina 0 wins, 2 draws, America MG 5 wins. Those 7 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

Other Serie B matches on 1 Nov

All Serie B fixtures

Londrina vs America MG prediction & odds

Londrina

America MG

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds