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Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction & odds

Aston Villa

22:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 22:00

Fulham

Odds 1X2

1Aston Villa2.04XDraw3.752Fulham3.75

Villa Park

Aston VillavsFulham

Nito’s pick2.14

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.14

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 22:00 EET
Stadium: Villa Park
Capacity: 42,824
City: Birmingham

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.14Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.14 means bookmakers give it 47%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+13 pts)
3+ goals in 90% of Aston Villa's last 5 and 40% of Fulham's
Goals per game in the last 5: Aston Villa matches 3.8, Fulham matches 2.2
Their 50 meetings average 2.7 goals; both teams scored in 56%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.14

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 13 points above the 47% the best price of 2.14 implies.

Asian handicap -0.5Fulham +0.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.79

Asian handicap: Fulham +0.5: our confidence is 60%, 4 points above the 56% the best price of 1.79 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Aston Villa48%2.04

Draw26%3.75

Fulham26%3.75

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.4%

Aston Villa2.0448%Draw3.7526%Fulham3.7526%

Double chance

Aston Villa or Draw1.21Aston Villa or Fulham1.21Draw or Fulham1.90

Total goals 2.5margin 3.1%

Over 2.51.7456%Under 2.52.1944%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.5%

Aston Villa -0.52.0548%Fulham +0.51.8652%

1st-half resultmargin 3.8%

Aston Villa2.7036%Draw2.4140%Fulham3.9524%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Aston Villa1.9550%Fulham1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

21Aston Villa wins

14Draws

15Fulham wins

Last matches: Aston Villa

28.10.26EFL CupBournemouthAston Villa30L
24.10.26Premier LeagueAston VillaManchester City21W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAston VillaViking31W
17.10.26Premier LeagueNewcastleAston Villa01W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAston VillaFenerbahce60W

Last matches: Fulham

28.10.26EFL CupFulhamCrystal Palace01L
24.10.26Premier LeagueCoventryFulham01W
17.10.26Premier LeagueFulhamHull10W
10.10.26Premier LeagueIpswichFulham21L
20.09.26Premier LeagueFulhamManchester Utd11D

Head-to-head matches

25.04.26Premier LeagueFulhamAston Villa10L
28.09.25Premier LeagueAston VillaFulham31W
03.05.25Premier LeagueAston VillaFulham10W
19.10.24Premier LeagueFulhamAston Villa13W
17.02.24Premier LeagueFulhamAston Villa12W
12.11.23Premier LeagueAston VillaFulham31W

2.68Avg goals56%Both scored48%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Aston Villa vs Fulham: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1963: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

21Aston Villa wins

14Draws

15Fulham wins

72:62Goals (Aston Villa : Fulham)

2.68Goals per match

56%BTTS

78%Over 1.5

48%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Aston Villa at home: 15-7-341:21 goals in 25 games
Fulham at home: 12-7-641:31 goals in 25 games
Aston Villa's biggest win: 0–3Fulham 0–3 Aston Villa, 28 Sept 2020
Fulham's biggest win: 5–1Fulham 5–1 Aston Villa, 11 Nov 1966

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Premier League	Fulham	1–0	Aston Villa
28 Sept 2025	Premier League	Aston Villa	3–1	Fulham
3 May 2025	Premier League	Aston Villa	1–0	Fulham
19 Oct 2024	Premier League	Fulham	1–3	Aston Villa
17 Feb 2024	Premier League	Fulham	1–2	Aston Villa
12 Nov 2023	Premier League	Aston Villa	3–1	Fulham
25 Apr 2023	Premier League	Aston Villa	1–0	Fulham
20 Oct 2022	Premier League	Fulham	3–0	Aston Villa
4 Apr 2021	Premier League	Aston Villa	3–1	Fulham
28 Sept 2020	Premier League	Fulham	0–3	Aston Villa
4 Jan 2020	FA Cup	Fulham	2–1	Aston Villa
26 May 2018	Championship	Aston Villa	0–1	Fulham
17 Feb 2018	Championship	Fulham	2–0	Aston Villa
21 Oct 2017	Championship	Aston Villa	2–1	Fulham
17 Apr 2017	Championship	Fulham	3–1	Aston Villa
22 Oct 2016	Championship	Aston Villa	1–0	Fulham
5 Apr 2014	Premier League	Aston Villa	1–2	Fulham
8 Dec 2013	Premier League	Fulham	2–0	Aston Villa
13 Apr 2013	Premier League	Aston Villa	1–1	Fulham
20 Oct 2012	Premier League	Fulham	1–0	Aston Villa

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Aston Villa4W 0D 1L · goals 12–5

L28.10EFL CupABournemouth0–3
W24.10Premier LeagueHManchester City2–1
W21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHViking3–1
W17.10Premier LeagueANewcastle1–0
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueHFenerbahce6–0

Fulham2W 1D 2L · goals 4–4

L28.10EFL CupHCrystal Palace0–1
W24.10Premier LeagueACoventry1–0
W17.10Premier LeagueHHull1–0
L10.10Premier LeagueAIpswich1–2
D20.09Premier LeagueHManchester Utd1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Aston VillaFulham

2.4Goals scored per game1.2

1.4Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored40%

90%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score30%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Aston VillaFulham

Premier League 2026/2027 · 6 gamesPremier League 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.0Goals scored1.0

1.8Goals conceded1.6

2.8Corners5.6

11.3Shots14.4

47%Possession54%

2.0Yellow cards1.6

17%Clean sheets20%

50%Failed to score40%

0-1-2Home / away record (W-D-L)0-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Newcastle	8	-2	11	WLLWL
9	Aston Villa	8	-3	11	WWDWL
10	Hull	8	+1	10	DLDLD
14	Tottenham	8	-2	9	WWDLD
15	Fulham	8	-2	8	WWLDD
16	Manchester Utd	8	-3	7	LDDDL

Comments

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About this match

Aston Villa vs Fulham preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:00, Aston Villa take on Fulham in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

Aston VillaLWWWW12 scored · 5 conceded

FulhamLWWLD4 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Aston VillaFulham

2.4Goals scored per game1.2

1.4Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored40%

90%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

21Aston Villa wins

14Draws

15Fulham wins

50 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

What's at stake

Aston Villa9th11 pts · 8 played

Fulham15th8 pts · 8 played

Aston Villa lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence2.14Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Villa Park hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Aston Villa the favourite at 2.04 (48% implied), with the draw at 3.75 (26%).

Under 2.5 goals is our top pick for this game (60% confidence, best price 2.14).

We also have Asian handicap: Fulham +0.5 (60%, 1.79).

Aston Villa come into the game with LWWWW in their last 5 (12 scored, 5 conceded), while Fulham have LWWLD (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 90% of Aston Villa's recent games and 40% of Fulham's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 40%.

Per game, Aston Villa average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Fulham 1.2 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Aston Villa 21 wins, Fulham 15 wins, draws 14.

Those 50 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-25) ended Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa.

In the table, Aston Villa are 9th (11 pts from 8 games) and Fulham are 15th (8 pts from 8).

Nito explains: Aston Villa vs Fulham

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Aston Villa vs Fulham mean?

The best prices are 2.04 for a Aston Villa win, 3.75 for a draw and 3.75 for a Fulham win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.04 returns 20.40 if Aston Villa win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.4% removed) that is 48% Aston Villa, 26% draw and 26% Fulham.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.14, the price implies a 47% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Aston Villa and Fulham matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Aston Villa's last 10 matches and 40% of Fulham's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 56%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Aston Villa reached that in 90% of their last 10 matches, Fulham in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (48% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Aston Villa, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (12 scored, 5 conceded). Fulham, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Aston Villa and Fulham stand in the table?

Aston Villa are 9th with 11 points from 8 games. Fulham are 15th with 8 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Aston Villa vs Fulham: questions & answers

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Fulham +0.5 with 60% confidence (best price 1.79). Bookmaker odds imply Aston Villa 48%, draw 26%, Fulham 26%.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Both teams scored in 56% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Aston Villa's matches and 40% of Fulham's.

What are the odds for Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Odds: Aston Villa 2.04, draw 3.75, Fulham 3.75. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.14.

When is the Aston Villa vs Fulham kick-off?

Aston Villa vs Fulham kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Villa Park.

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Fulham?

50 meetings: Aston Villa 21 wins, 14 draws, Fulham 15 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

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Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction & odds

Aston Villa

Fulham

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds