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Guadalajara vs Atlante prediction & odds

Guadalajara

03:07

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 03:07

Atlante

Odds 1X2

1Guadalajara1.49Nito’s pickXDraw4.702Atlante6.13

Estadio AKRON

GuadalajaravsAtlante

Nito’s pick1.49

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Guadalajara

1.49

74%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga MX
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 03:07 EET
Stadium: Estadio AKRON
Capacity: 46,609
City: Zapopan

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Guadalajara74%Confidence1.49Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.49 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 74% (+7 pts)
Guadalajara won 3 of their last 5 (goals 5–4); Atlante won 0 (goals 1–9)
In the table Guadalajara are 3rd with 26 pts, Atlante 16th with 14 pts
In 26 meetings Guadalajara won 11, Atlante won 8, 7 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)GuadalajaraHigh confidence

Confidence74%

Indicative price1.49

Guadalajara to win: our confidence is 74%, 7 points above the 67% the best price of 1.49 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence72%

Indicative price2.38

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 72%, 30 points above the 42% the best price of 2.38 implies.

Asian handicap -1.5Guadalajara -1.5High confidence

Confidence73%

Indicative price2.37

We rate Asian handicap: Guadalajara -1.5 at 73% — the price of 2.37 implies only 42%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Guadalajara64%1.49

Draw20%4.70

Atlante16%6.13

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.7%

Guadalajara1.4964%Draw4.7020%Atlante6.1316%

Double chance

Guadalajara or Draw1.08Guadalajara or Atlante1.15Draw or Atlante2.54

Total goals 2.5margin 4.5%

Over 2.51.6060%Under 2.52.3840%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.4%

Guadalajara -1.252.0946%Atlante +1.251.8054%

1st-half resultmargin 5.6%

Guadalajara1.9449%Draw2.6436%Atlante6.1715%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Guadalajara1.9350%Atlante1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

11Guadalajara wins

7Draws

8Atlante wins

Last matches: Guadalajara

Copa MXSantos LagunaGuadalajara20L
Copa MXCorrecaminos UATGuadalajara02W
Copa MXGuadalajaraCorrecaminos UAT01L
Copa MXGuadalajaraSantos Laguna21W
25.10.26Liga MXMonterreyGuadalajara01W

Last matches: Atlante

Copa MXAtlanteVenados01L
Copa MXJuárezAtlante10L
Copa MXAtlanteJuárez02L
Copa MXVenadosAtlante41L
24.10.26Liga MXAtlanteAtlético San Luis01L

Head-to-head matches

26.01.14AperturaAtlanteGuadalajara11D
04.08.13AperturaGuadalajaraAtlante10W
14.04.13AperturaGuadalajaraAtlante12L
21.10.12AperturaAtlanteGuadalajara31L
08.01.12AperturaGuadalajaraAtlante01L
24.07.11AperturaAtlanteGuadalajara02W

2.58Avg goals50%Both scored38%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Guadalajara vs Atlante: head-to-head record

26 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

11Guadalajara wins

7Draws

8Atlante wins

39:28Goals (Guadalajara : Atlante)

2.58Goals per match

50%BTTS

77%Over 1.5

38%Over 2.5

27%Over 3.5

Guadalajara at home: 9-2-224:8 goals in 13 games
Atlante at home: 6-5-220:15 goals in 13 games
Guadalajara's biggest win: 7–0Guadalajara 7–0 Atlante, 13 Aug 2004
Atlante's biggest win: 3–1Atlante 3–1 Guadalajara, 21 Oct 2012

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
26 Jan 2014	Apertura	Atlante	1–1	Guadalajara
4 Aug 2013	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–0	Atlante
14 Apr 2013	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–2	Atlante
21 Oct 2012	Apertura	Atlante	3–1	Guadalajara
8 Jan 2012	Apertura	Guadalajara	0–1	Atlante
24 Jul 2011	Apertura	Atlante	0–2	Guadalajara
6 Feb 2011	Apertura	Guadalajara	2–0	Atlante
22 Aug 2010	Apertura	Atlante	2–1	Guadalajara
14 Feb 2010	Apertura	Guadalajara	2–0	Atlante
23 Aug 2009	Apertura	Atlante	3–1	Guadalajara
12 Apr 2009	Apertura	Atlante	2–2	Guadalajara
19 Oct 2008	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–0	Atlante
6 Apr 2008	Apertura	Atlante	1–1	Guadalajara
2 Dec 2007	Apertura	Atlante	1–0	Guadalajara
29 Nov 2007	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–0	Atlante
21 Oct 2007	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–1	Atlante
16 Feb 2007	Apertura	Atlante	0–3	Guadalajara
1 Sept 2006	Apertura	Guadalajara	1–1	Atlante
21 Feb 2006	Apertura	Atlante	2–0	Guadalajara
12 Aug 2005	Apertura	Guadalajara	3–2	Atlante

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Guadalajara3W 0D 2L · goals 5–4

L01.01Copa MXASantos Laguna0–2
W01.01Copa MXACorrecaminos UAT2–0
L01.01Copa MXHCorrecaminos UAT0–1
W01.01Copa MXHSantos Laguna2–1
W25.10Liga MXAMonterrey1–0

Atlante0W 0D 5L · goals 1–9

L01.01Copa MXHVenados0–1
L01.01Copa MXAJuárez0–1
L01.01Copa MXHJuárez0–2
L01.01Copa MXAVenados1–4
L24.10Liga MXHAtlético San Luis0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GuadalajaraAtlante

1.0Goals scored per game0.8

1.0Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets1

30%Failed to score50%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Cruz Azul	14	+9	26	WWWDD
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	+9	26	WWDDL
4	Atlas	14	-1	24	WLWDW
15	Tigres UANL	14	-4	15	DLDWW
16	Atlante	14	-6	14	LWLLW
17	Necaxa	14	-11	10	DLLDL

Comments

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About this match

Guadalajara vs Atlante preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 03:07, Guadalajara take on Atlante in the Liga MX.

Form · last 5 matches

GuadalajaraLWLWW5 scored · 4 conceded

AtlanteLLLLL1 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GuadalajaraAtlante

1.0Goals scored per game0.8

1.0Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

11Guadalajara wins

7Draws

8Atlante wins

26 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Guadalajara3rd26 pts · 14 played

Atlante16th14 pts · 14 played

Guadalajara lead by 12 pts

Our pick

Guadalajara to winGuadalajara74%Confidence1.49Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estadio AKRON hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Guadalajara the favourite at 1.49 (64% implied), with the draw at 4.70 (20%).

Guadalajara to win is our top pick for this game (74% confidence, best price 1.49).

We also have Asian handicap: Guadalajara -1.5 (73%, 2.37) and Under 2.5 goals (72%, 2.38).

Guadalajara come into the game with LWLWW in their last 5 (5 scored, 4 conceded), while Atlante have LLLLL (1 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 20% of Guadalajara's recent games and 30% of Atlante's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 40%.

Per game, Guadalajara average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Atlante 0.8 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 1).

Head-to-head over 26 previous meetings: Guadalajara 11 wins, Atlante 8 wins, draws 7.

Those 26 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2014-01-26) ended Atlante 1–1 Guadalajara.

In the table, Guadalajara are 3rd (26 pts from 14 games) and Atlante are 16th (14 pts from 14).

Nito explains: Guadalajara vs Atlante

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Guadalajara vs Atlante mean?

The best prices are 1.49 for a Guadalajara win, 4.70 for a draw and 6.13 for a Atlante win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.49 returns 14.90 if Guadalajara win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.7% removed) that is 64% Guadalajara, 20% draw and 16% Atlante.

What does Nito's pick "Guadalajara to win" mean?

It wins only if Guadalajara win; a draw or a Atlante win loses. At 1.49, the price implies a 67% chance; Nito's data rates it at 74%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Guadalajara and Atlante matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Guadalajara's last 10 matches and 40% of Atlante's last 10. In their 26 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Guadalajara reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Atlante in 30% of their last 10. Their 26 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (38% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Guadalajara, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (5 scored, 4 conceded). Atlante, last 5: 0 W · 0 D · 5 L (1 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Guadalajara and Atlante stand in the table?

Guadalajara are 3rd with 26 points from 14 games. Atlante are 16th with 14 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 12 points.

Guadalajara vs Atlante: questions & answers

Who will win Guadalajara vs Atlante?

Our pick is Guadalajara to win with 74% confidence (best price 1.49). Bookmaker odds imply Guadalajara 64%, draw 20%, Atlante 16%.

Will both teams score in Guadalajara vs Atlante?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 26 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Guadalajara's matches and 40% of Atlante's.

What are the odds for Guadalajara vs Atlante?

Odds: Guadalajara 1.49, draw 4.70, Atlante 6.13. Our pick Guadalajara to win is available at 1.49.

When is the Guadalajara vs Atlante kick-off?

Guadalajara vs Atlante kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 03:07 (GMT+2) at Estadio AKRON.

What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara and Atlante?

26 meetings: Guadalajara 11 wins, 7 draws, Atlante 8 wins. Those 26 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

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Guadalajara vs Atlante prediction & odds

Guadalajara

Atlante

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds