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Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction & odds

Lincoln

14:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

Birmingham

Odds 1X2

1Lincoln3.36XDraw3.502Birmingham2.20

LincolnvsBirmingham

Nito’s pick1.80

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes

1.80

62%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Championship
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 14:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes62%Confidence1.80Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.80 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+6 pts)
Both teams scored in 40% of Lincoln's last 5 and 60% of Birmingham's
Goals per game in the last 5: Lincoln matches 2.9, Birmingham matches 2.8
Their 4 meetings average 3.0 goals; both teams scored in 75%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lincoln29%3.36

Draw28%3.50

Birmingham44%2.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%

Lincoln3.3629%Draw3.5028%Birmingham2.2044%

Double chance

Lincoln or Draw1.70Lincoln or Birmingham1.23Draw or Birmingham1.24

Total goals 2.5margin 4.0%

Over 2.51.9749%Under 2.51.8851%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.4%

Lincoln +0.251.9949%Birmingham -0.251.8851%

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

Lincoln3.9724%Draw2.2542%Birmingham2.7934%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Lincoln1.9549%Birmingham1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Lincoln wins

0Draws

4Birmingham wins

Last matches: Lincoln

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipLincolnBurnley41W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipMillwallLincoln22D
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipLincolnWest Ham United06L
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipSheffield UtdLincoln30L
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipLincolnSwansea12L

Last matches: Birmingham

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipCardiffBirmingham10L

Lincoln vs Birmingham: head-to-head record

4 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Lincoln wins

0Draws

4Birmingham wins

3:9Goals (Lincoln : Birmingham)

3.00Goals per match

75%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

75%Over 2.5

50%Over 3.5

Lincoln at home: 0-0-11:3 goals in 1 games
Birmingham at home: 3-0-06:2 goals in 3 games
Birmingham's biggest win: 1–3Lincoln 1–3 Birmingham, 19 Oct 2024

Meetings (4 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Mar 2025	League One	Birmingham	1–0	Lincoln
11 Jan 2025	FA Cup	Birmingham	2–1	Lincoln
19 Oct 2024	League One	Lincoln

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lincoln1W 1D 3L · goals 7–14

W24.10EFL ChampionshipHBurnley4–1
D17.10EFL ChampionshipAMillwall2–2
L14.10EFL ChampionshipHWest Ham United0–6
L10.10EFL ChampionshipASheffield Utd0–3
L19.09EFL ChampionshipHSwansea1–2

Birmingham3W 1D 1L · goals 10–3

L24.10EFL ChampionshipACardiff0–1
W17.10EFL ChampionshipHQPR3–0
W13.10EFL ChampionshipHPreston4–0
W10.10EFL ChampionshipAWest Brom

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LincolnBirmingham

1.0Goals scored per game1.8

1.9Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

40%Failed to score10%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Southampton	12	+12	20	WDWWL
7	Birmingham	12	+8	20	LWWWD
8	QPR	12	+8	20	WLWDD
14	Bristol City	12	-3	15	DLLDW
15	Lincoln	12	-7	15	WDLLL
16	Cardiff	12	+2	14

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Lincoln

✕T. DarikwaKnee Injury
✕M. MeliaThigh Injury
✕E. WheatleyInactive

Birmingham

✕M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
✕Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

✕ out · ? doubtful

About this match

Lincoln vs Birmingham preview

Championship fixture: Lincoln welcome Birmingham on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (14:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

LincolnWDLLL7 scored · 14 conceded

BirminghamLWWWD10 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LincolnBirmingham

1.0Goals scored per game1.8

1.9Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

0Lincoln wins

0Draws

4Birmingham wins

4 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 75%

What's at stake

Lincoln15th15 pts · 12 played

Nito explains: Lincoln vs Birmingham

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lincoln vs Birmingham mean?

The best prices are 3.36 for a Lincoln win, 3.50 for a draw and 2.20 for a Birmingham win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.36 returns 33.60 if Lincoln win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.8% removed) that is 29% Lincoln, 28% draw and 44% Birmingham.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: Yes" mean?

It wins if both teams score at least once, whatever the result. At 1.80, the price implies a 56% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lincoln and Birmingham matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Lincoln's last 10 matches and 60% of Birmingham's last 10. In their 4 recorded meetings it was 75%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lincoln reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Birmingham in 70% of their last 10. Their 4 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (75% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lincoln, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (7 scored, 14 conceded). Birmingham, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (10 scored, 3 conceded).

Where do Lincoln and Birmingham stand in the table?

Lincoln are 15th with 15 points from 12 games. Birmingham are 7th with 20 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Lincoln vs Birmingham: questions & answers

Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Bookmaker odds imply Lincoln 29%, draw 28%, Birmingham 44%.

Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (62% confidence, 1.80). Both teams scored in 75% of their 4 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Lincoln's matches and 60% of Birmingham's.

What are the odds for Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Odds: Lincoln 3.36, draw 3.50, Birmingham 2.20. Our pick Both teams to score: Yes is available at 1.80.

When is the Lincoln vs Birmingham kick-off?

Lincoln vs Birmingham kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln and Birmingham?

4 meetings: Lincoln 0 wins, 0 draws, Birmingham 4 wins. Those 4 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

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Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction & odds

Lincoln

Birmingham

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds