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Bolton vs Bristol City prediction & odds

Bolton

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Bristol City

Odds 1X2

1Bolton3.08XDraw3.632Bristol City2.38

BoltonvsBristol City

Nito’s pick1.51

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceBolton or Draw

1.51

68%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Championship
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceBolton or Draw68%Confidence1.51Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.51 means bookmakers give it 66%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+2 pts)
Bolton won 2 of their last 5 (goals 9–11); Bristol City won 1 (goals 2–3)
In the table Bolton are 18th with 14 pts, Bristol City 14th with 15 pts
In 25 meetings Bolton won 7, Bristol City won 14, 4 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceBolton or DrawHigh confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.51

Double chance: Bolton or Draw: our confidence is 68% at a best price of 1.51.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.05

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.05 implies only 49%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Bolton33%2.64

Draw28%3.08

Bristol City39%2.23

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.0%

Bolton3.0832%Draw3.6327%Bristol City2.3841%

Double chance

Bolton or Draw1.51Bolton or Bristol City1.27Draw or Bristol City1.36

Total goals 2.5margin 3.7%

Over 2.51.8253%Under 2.52.0547%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.9%

Bolton +0.251.8951%Bristol City -0.252.0049%

1st-half resultmargin 4.3%

Bolton3.6726%Draw2.3441%Bristol City2.9133%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Bolton1.9649%Bristol City1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

7Bolton wins

4Draws

14Bristol City wins

Last matches: Bolton

23.10.26EFL ChampionshipBoltonMiddlesbrough15L
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipSouthamptonBolton00D
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipWolverhampton WanderersBolton13W
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipBoltonStoke12L
20.09.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichBolton34W

Last matches: Bristol City

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipStokeBristol City00D
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipBristol CitySheffield Utd01L
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipBristol CityBlackburn01L
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipCharltonBristol City11D
18.09.26EFL ChampionshipBristol CityWatford10W

Head-to-head matches

25.01.19FA CupBristol CityBolton21L
12.01.19ChampionshipBristol CityBolton21L
11.08.18ChampionshipBoltonBristol City22D
02.02.18ChampionshipBoltonBristol City10W
26.09.17ChampionshipBristol CityBolton20L
19.03.16ChampionshipBristol CityBolton60L

2.84Avg goals60%Both scored60%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Bolton vs Bristol City: head-to-head record

25 meetings since 1907: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

7Bolton wins

4Draws

14Bristol City wins

27:44Goals (Bolton : Bristol City)

2.84Goals per match

60%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

60%Over 2.5

24%Over 3.5

Bolton at home: 4-4-417:17 goals in 12 games
Bristol City at home: 10-0-327:10 goals in 13 games
Bolton's biggest win: 4–2Bolton 4–2 Bristol City, 8 Apr 1910
Bristol City's biggest win: 6–0Bristol City 6–0 Bolton, 19 Mar 2016

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2019	FA Cup	Bristol City	2–1	Bolton
12 Jan 2019	Championship	Bristol City	2–1	Bolton
11 Aug 2018	Championship	Bolton	2–2	Bristol City
2 Feb 2018	Championship	Bolton	1–0	Bristol City
26 Sept 2017	Championship	Bristol City	2–0	Bolton
19 Mar 2016	Championship	Bristol City	6–0	Bolton
7 Nov 2015	Championship	Bolton	0–0	Bristol City
13 Apr 2013	Championship	Bristol City	1–2	Bolton
20 Oct 2012	Championship	Bolton	3–2	Bristol City
12 Apr 1999	Championship	Bolton	1–0	Bristol City
22 Oct 1998	Championship	Bristol City	2–1	Bolton
9 Dec 1994	Championship	Bristol City	0–1	Bolton
19 Aug 1994	Championship	Bolton	0–2	Bristol City
25 Mar 1994	Championship	Bolton	2–2	Bristol City
1 Oct 1993	Championship	Bristol City	2–0	Bolton
11 Apr 1980	Premier League	Bristol City	2–1	Bolton
30 Nov 1979	Premier League	Bolton	1–1	Bristol City
10 Nov 1978	Premier League	Bristol City	4–1	Bolton
18 Aug 1978	Premier League	Bolton	1–2	Bristol City
8 Apr 1910	Premier League	Bolton	4–2	Bristol City

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Bolton2W 1D 2L · goals 9–11

L23.10EFL ChampionshipHMiddlesbrough1–5
D17.10EFL ChampionshipASouthampton0–0
W13.10EFL ChampionshipAWolverhampton Wanderers3–1
L10.10EFL ChampionshipHStoke1–2
W20.09EFL ChampionshipANorwich4–3

Bristol City1W 2D 2L · goals 2–3

D24.10EFL ChampionshipAStoke0–0
L17.10EFL ChampionshipHSheffield Utd0–1
L13.10EFL ChampionshipHBlackburn0–1
D10.10EFL ChampionshipACharlton1–1
W18.09EFL ChampionshipHWatford1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BoltonBristol City

1.4Goals scored per game1.0

2.2Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score40%

1-0-4Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
13	Millwall	12	-1	15	LDLWD
14	Bristol City	12	-3	15	DLLDW
15	Lincoln	12	-7	15	WDLLL
17	Wrexham	12	-3	14	LWLDW
18	Bolton	12	-7	14	LDWLW
19	Charlton	12	-7	14	LLDDL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Bolton

✕E. ErhahonThigh Injury
✕R. HardieHamstring Injury
✕J. McAteeKnee Injury
✕J. NelsonInactive
?C. Forino-JosephGroin Injury

Bristol City

✕N. EileIllness
?E. AdebayoInactive
?R. DickieKnee Injury
?L. TolajHealth problems

✕ out · ? doubtful

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About this match

Bolton vs Bristol City preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, Bolton take on Bristol City in the Championship.

Form · last 5 matches

BoltonLDWLW9 scored · 11 conceded

Bristol CityDLLDW2 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BoltonBristol City

1.4Goals scored per game1.0

2.2Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

7Bolton wins

4Draws

14Bristol City wins

25 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 60%

What's at stake

Bolton18th14 pts · 12 played

Bristol City14th15 pts · 12 played

Bristol City lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Double chanceBolton or Draw68%Confidence1.51Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Bolton 2.64 (33%), draw 3.08 (28%), Bristol City 2.23 (39%).

Double chance: Bolton or Draw is our top pick for this game (68% confidence, best price 1.51).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.05).

Recent form over the last 5: Bolton LDWLW (goals 9–11), Bristol City DLLDW (goals 2–3).

Both teams scored in 60% of Bolton's recent games and 50% of Bristol City's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 40% respectively.

Per game, Bolton average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Bristol City 1.0 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 25 head-to-head games the record reads 7–4–14 (wins–draws–losses) from Bolton's side.

Those 25 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

The last meeting (2019-01-25) ended Bristol City 2–1 Bolton.

Bolton sit 18th on 14 pts after 12 games, Bristol City 14th on 15 pts.

Nito explains: Bolton vs Bristol City

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Bolton vs Bristol City mean?

The best prices are 2.64 for a Bolton win, 3.08 for a draw and 2.23 for a Bristol City win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.64 returns 26.40 if Bolton win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 15.2% removed) that is 33% Bolton, 28% draw and 39% Bristol City.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Bolton or Draw" mean?

It wins if Bolton win or draw; it loses only if Bristol City win. At 1.51, the price implies a 66% chance; Nito's data rates it at 68%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Bolton and Bristol City matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Bolton's last 10 matches and 50% of Bristol City's last 10. In their 25 recorded meetings it was 60%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Bolton reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Bristol City in 40% of their last 10. Their 25 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (60% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Bolton, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (9 scored, 11 conceded). Bristol City, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Where do Bolton and Bristol City stand in the table?

Bolton are 18th with 14 points from 12 games. Bristol City are 14th with 15 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Bolton vs Bristol City: questions & answers

Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Double chance: Bolton or Draw with 68% confidence (best price 1.51). Bookmaker odds imply Bolton 33%, draw 28%, Bristol City 39%.

Will both teams score in Bolton vs Bristol City?

Both teams scored in 60% of their 25 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Bolton's matches and 50% of Bristol City's.

What are the odds for Bolton vs Bristol City?

Odds: Bolton 2.64, draw 3.08, Bristol City 2.23. Our pick Double chance: Bolton or Draw is available at 1.51.

When is the Bolton vs Bristol City kick-off?

Bolton vs Bristol City kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Bolton and Bristol City?

25 meetings: Bolton 7 wins, 4 draws, Bristol City 14 wins. Those 25 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Other Championship matches on 31 Oct

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Bolton vs Bristol City prediction & odds

Bolton

Bristol City

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds