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Southampton vs QPR prediction & odds

Southampton

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

QPR

Odds 1X2

1Southampton1.84Nito’s pickXDraw4.002QPR4.10

SouthamptonvsQPR

Nito’s pick1.84

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Southampton

1.84

63%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Championship
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Southampton63%Confidence1.84Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.84 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+9 pts)
Southampton won 3 of their last 5 (goals 6–4); QPR won 2 (goals 12–7)
In the table Southampton are 6th with 20 pts, QPR 8th with 20 pts
In 48 meetings Southampton won 21, QPR won 17, 10 were drawn

Best price 1.84 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+9 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Southampton

Confidence63%

Indicative price1.84

Southampton to win: our confidence is 63%, 9 points above the 54% the best price of 1.84 implies.

Asian handicap -0.75Southampton -0.75

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.93

We rate Asian handicap: Southampton -0.75 at 60% — the price of 1.93 implies only 52%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Southampton52%1.84

Draw24%4.00

QPR24%4.10

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%

Southampton1.8452%Draw4.0024%QPR4.1024%

Double chance

Southampton or Draw1.17Southampton or QPR1.17Draw or QPR2.02

1st-half resultmargin 17.1%

Southampton2.1140%Draw2.3436%QPR3.7123%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Southampton1.9350%QPR1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

21Southampton wins

10Draws

17QPR wins

Last matches: Southampton

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipWest Ham UnitedSouthampton23W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipSouthamptonBolton00D
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichSouthampton01W
11.10.26EFL ChampionshipSouthamptonPortsmouth10W
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipWrexhamSouthampton21L

Last matches: QPR

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipQPRSwansea50W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipBirminghamQPR30L
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipQPRDerby41W
09.10.26EFL ChampionshipWest Ham UnitedQPR11D
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipQPRPreston22D

Head-to-head matches

24.02.26EFL ChampionshipSouthamptonQPR50W
05.11.25EFL ChampionshipQPRSouthampton12W
23.12.23ChampionshipQPRSouthampton01W
26.08.23ChampionshipSouthamptonQPR21W
07.02.15Premier LeagueQPRSouthampton01W
27.09.14Premier LeagueSouthamptonQPR21W

2.88Avg goals58%Both scored63%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Southampton vs QPR: head-to-head record

48 meetings since 1968: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

21Southampton wins

10Draws

17QPR wins

75:63Goals (Southampton : QPR)

2.88Goals per match

58%BTTS

81%Over 1.5

63%Over 2.5

31%Over 3.5

Southampton at home: 10-6-840:30 goals in 24 games
QPR at home: 9-4-1133:35 goals in 24 games
Southampton's biggest win: 5–0Southampton 5–0 QPR, 24 Feb 2026
QPR's biggest win: 4–0QPR 4–0 Southampton, 23 Mar 1984

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Feb 2026	EFL Championship	Southampton	5–0	QPR
5 Nov 2025	EFL Championship	QPR	1–2	Southampton
23 Dec 2023	Championship	QPR	0–1	Southampton
26 Aug 2023	Championship	Southampton	2–1	QPR
7 Feb 2015	Premier League	QPR	0–1	Southampton
27 Sept 2014	Premier League	Southampton	2–1	QPR
2 Mar 2013	Premier League	Southampton	1–2	QPR
17 Nov 2012	Premier League	QPR	1–3	Southampton
14 Mar 2009	Championship	Southampton	0–0	QPR
14 Sept 2008	Championship	QPR	4–1	Southampton
9 Feb 2008	Championship	Southampton	2–3	QPR
1 Sept 2007	Championship	QPR	0–3	Southampton
20 Jan 2007	Championship	QPR	0–2	Southampton
29 Sept 2006	Championship	Southampton	1–2	QPR
13 Jan 2006	Championship	QPR	1–0	Southampton
9 Sept 2005	Championship	Southampton	1–1	QPR
29 Mar 1996	Premier League	QPR	3–0	Southampton
3 Nov 1995	Premier League	Southampton	2–0	QPR
14 Apr 1995	Premier League	Southampton	2–1	QPR
27 Dec 1994	Premier League	QPR	2–2	Southampton

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Southampton3W 1D 1L · goals 6–4

W24.10EFL ChampionshipAWest Ham United3–2
D17.10EFL ChampionshipHBolton0–0
W14.10EFL ChampionshipANorwich1–0
W11.10EFL ChampionshipHPortsmouth1–0
L19.09EFL ChampionshipAWrexham1–2

QPR2W 2D 1L · goals 12–7

W24.10EFL ChampionshipHSwansea5–0
L17.10EFL ChampionshipABirmingham0–3
W14.10EFL ChampionshipHDerby4–1
D09.10EFL ChampionshipAWest Ham United1–1
D19.09EFL ChampionshipHPreston2–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

SouthamptonQPR

2.0Goals scored per game1.7

0.9Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score30%

4-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

SouthamptonQPR

Championship 2026/2027 · 8 gamesChampionship 2025/2026 · 45 games

2.4Goals scored1.3

1.3Goals conceded1.6

5.6Corners4.9

16.4Shots12.7

58%Possession45%

1.8Yellow cards1.8

0%Clean sheets22%

0%Failed to score29%

4-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)6-7-10

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	West Brom	12	+3	21	DWWLL
6	Southampton	12	+12	20	WDWWL
7	Birmingham	12	+8	20	LWWWD
8	QPR	12	+8	20	WLWDD
9	Stoke	12	+2	20	DWLWW

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Southampton

?F. DownesAnkle Injury
?C. LarinHamstring Injury

QPR

✕R. BurrellInactive
✕I. ChairMuscle Injury
✕T. LampteyInactive
✕N. MadsenInjury
✕A. S. MbengueKnee Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Southampton vs QPR preview

Southampton host QPR in the Championship on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

SouthamptonWDWWL6 scored · 4 conceded

QPRWLWDD12 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

SouthamptonQPR

2.0Goals scored per game1.7

0.9Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

21Southampton wins

10Draws

17QPR wins

48 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Southampton6th20 pts · 12 played

QPR8th20 pts · 12 played

Level on points

Our pick

Southampton to winSouthampton63%Confidence1.84Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Southampton the favourite at 1.84 (52% implied), with the draw at 4.00 (24%).

The selection we rate highest is Southampton to win: 63% confidence, priced at 1.84.

We also have Asian handicap: Southampton -0.75 (60%, 1.93).

Southampton come into the game with WDWWL in their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded), while QPR have WLWDD (12 scored, 7 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Southampton's recent games and 60% of QPR's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 60%.

Per game, Southampton average 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 3), QPR 1.7 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 48 previous meetings: Southampton 21 wins, QPR 17 wins, draws 10.

Those 48 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-24) ended Southampton 5–0 QPR.

In the table, Southampton are 6th (20 pts from 12 games) and QPR are 8th (20 pts from 12).

Nito explains: Southampton vs QPR

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Southampton vs QPR mean?

The best prices are 1.84 for a Southampton win, 4.00 for a draw and 4.10 for a QPR win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.84 returns 18.40 if Southampton win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.7% removed) that is 52% Southampton, 24% draw and 24% QPR.

What does Nito's pick "Southampton to win" mean?

It wins only if Southampton win; a draw or a QPR win loses. At 1.84, the price implies a 54% chance; Nito's data rates it at 63%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Southampton and QPR matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Southampton's last 10 matches and 60% of QPR's last 10. In their 48 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Southampton reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, QPR in 60% of their last 10. Their 48 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (63% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Southampton, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (6 scored, 4 conceded). QPR, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (12 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Southampton and QPR stand in the table?

Southampton are 6th with 20 points from 12 games. QPR are 8th with 20 points from 12 games. They are level on points.

Southampton vs QPR: questions & answers

Who will win Southampton vs QPR?

Our pick is Southampton to win with 63% confidence (best price 1.84). Bookmaker odds imply Southampton 52%, draw 24%, QPR 24%.

Will both teams score in Southampton vs QPR?

Both teams scored in 58% of their 48 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Southampton's matches and 60% of QPR's.

What are the odds for Southampton vs QPR?

Odds: Southampton 1.84, draw 4.00, QPR 4.10. Our pick Southampton to win is available at 1.84.

When is the Southampton vs QPR kick-off?

Southampton vs QPR kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and QPR?

48 meetings: Southampton 21 wins, 10 draws, QPR 17 wins. Those 48 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Other Championship matches on 31 Oct

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Southampton vs QPR prediction & odds

Southampton

QPR

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds