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New York City vs CF Montreal prediction & odds

New York City

20:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 20:00

CF Montreal

Odds 1X2

1New York City1.46Nito’s pickXDraw5.002CF Montreal6.68

New York CityvsCF Montreal

Nito’s pick1.46

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)New York City

1.46

72%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: MLS
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 20:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)New York City72%Confidence1.46Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.46 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+4 pts)
New York City won 1 of their last 5 (goals 6–8); CF Montreal won 0 (goals 2–11)
In the table New York City are 12th with 38 pts, CF Montreal 15th with 25 pts
In 24 meetings New York City won 13, CF Montreal won 6, 5 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)New York CityHigh confidence

Confidence72%

Indicative price1.46

We rate New York City to win at 72% — the price of 1.46 implies only 68%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.48

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.48 implies only 40%.

Asian handicap -1.25CF Montreal +1.25High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.92

Asian handicap: CF Montreal +1.25: our confidence is 65%, 13 points above the 52% the best price of 1.92 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

New York City66%1.46

Draw19%5.00

CF Montreal14%6.68

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

New York City1.4666%Draw5.0019%CF Montreal6.6814%

Double chance

New York City or Draw1.06New York City or CF Montreal1.13Draw or CF Montreal2.77

Total goals 2.5margin 4.0%

Over 2.51.5761%Under 2.52.4839%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.8%

New York City -1.251.9749%CF Montreal +1.251.9251%

1st-half resultmargin 4.9%

New York City1.8751%Draw2.7734%CF Montreal6.5215%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

New York City1.9350%CF Montreal1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13New York City wins

5Draws

6CF Montreal wins

Last matches: New York City

28.10.26MLSNew York CityAtlanta Utd21W
24.10.26MLSOrlando CityNew York City22D
17.10.26MLSNew York CityLos Angeles FC11D
14.10.26MLSInter MiamiNew York City20L
10.10.26MLSChicago FireNew York City21L

Last matches: CF Montreal

28.10.26MLSCharlotteCF Montreal40L
24.10.26MLSCF MontrealNashville SC02L
21.10.26Canadian ChampionshipCF MontrealForge11D
18.10.26MLSSeattle SoundersCF Montreal11D
14.10.26MLSCF MontrealAtlanta Utd03L

Head-to-head matches

25.04.26MLSCF MontrealNew York City10L
28.06.25MLSCF MontrealNew York City10L
10.05.25MLSNew York CityCF Montreal01L
19.10.24MLSCF MontrealNew York City20L
03.07.24MLSNew York CityCF Montreal20W
30.08.23MLSNew York CityCF Montreal20W

2.29Avg goals46%Both scored38%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

New York City vs CF Montreal: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 2015: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13New York City wins

5Draws

6CF Montreal wins

36:19Goals (New York City : CF Montreal)

2.29Goals per match

46%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

38%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

New York City at home: 7-3-222:9 goals in 12 games
CF Montreal at home: 4-2-610:14 goals in 12 games
New York City's biggest win: 4–1New York City 4–1 CF Montreal, 12 Mar 2022
CF Montreal's biggest win: 2–0CF Montreal 2–0 New York City, 19 Oct 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	MLS	CF Montreal	1–0	New York City
28 Jun 2025	MLS	CF Montreal	1–0	New York City
10 May 2025	MLS	New York City	0–1	CF Montreal
19 Oct 2024	MLS	CF Montreal	2–0	New York City
3 Jul 2024	MLS	New York City	2–0	CF Montreal
30 Aug 2023	MLS	New York City	2–0	CF Montreal
1 Jul 2023	MLS	CF Montreal	0–1	New York City
23 Oct 2022	MLS	CF Montreal	1–3	New York City
30 Jul 2022	MLS	CF Montreal	0–0	New York City
12 Mar 2022	MLS	New York City	4–1	CF Montreal
21 Jul 2021	MLS	New York City	1–0	CF Montreal
7 Jul 2021	MLS	CF Montreal	2–1	New York City
25 Oct 2020	MLS	New York City	3–1	CF Montreal
4 May 2019	MLS	CF Montreal	0–2	New York City
6 Apr 2019	MLS	New York City	0–0	CF Montreal
22 Sept 2018	MLS	CF Montreal	1–1	New York City
11 Jul 2018	MLS	New York City	3–0	CF Montreal
27 Sept 2017	MLS	CF Montreal	0–1	New York City
18 Mar 2017	MLS	New York City	1–1	CF Montreal
17 Jul 2016	MLS	CF Montreal	1–3	New York City

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

New York City1W 2D 2L · goals 6–8

W28.10MLSHAtlanta Utd2–1
D24.10MLSAOrlando City2–2
D17.10MLSHLos Angeles FC1–1
L14.10MLSAInter Miami0–2
L10.10MLSAChicago Fire1–2

CF Montreal0W 2D 3L · goals 2–11

L28.10MLSACharlotte0–4
L24.10MLSHNashville SC0–2
D21.10Canadian ChampionshipHForge1–1
D18.10MLSASeattle Sounders1–1
L14.10MLSHAtlanta Utd0–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

New York CityCF Montreal

1.1Goals scored per game0.8

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets0

30%Failed to score50%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

New York CityCF Montreal

MLS 2026 · 27 gamesMLS 2026 · 28 games

1.5Goals scored1.1

1.3Goals conceded2.1

3.8Corners5.2

11.6Shots13.0

53%Possession48%

1.7Yellow cards2.1

19%Clean sheets14%

19%Failed to score39%

4-4-6Home / away record (W-D-L)2-1-11

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Toronto FC	32	-10	39	WLWDW
12	New York City	32	+3	38	WDDLL
13	DC United	32	-18	33	LLLLW
14	Atlanta Utd	32	-16	30	LLLWL
15	CF Montreal	32	-30	25	LLDLL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

New York City

✕D. BaieraKnee Injury
✕A. FarnosLeg Injury
✕M. MoralezKnee Injury
✕K. TrewinAnkle Injury
?A. MartinezThigh Injury

CF Montreal

✕B. CeballosLower-Body Injury
✕T. GillierUpper-Body Injury
✕B. HidalgoGroin Injury
?J. NealLower-Body Injury
?P. OwusuLower-Body Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

New York City vs CF Montreal preview

New York City host CF Montreal in the MLS on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 20:00.

Form · last 5 matches

New York CityWDDLL6 scored · 8 conceded

CF MontrealLLDDL2 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

New York CityCF Montreal

1.1Goals scored per game0.8

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

13New York City wins

5Draws

6CF Montreal wins

24 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 46%

What's at stake

New York City12th38 pts · 32 played

CF Montreal15th25 pts · 32 played

New York City lead by 13 pts

Our pick

New York City to winNew York City72%Confidence1.46Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.46 on New York City, 5.00 on the draw and 6.68 on CF Montreal, which is roughly 66%, 19% and 14% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

New York City to win is our top pick for this game (72% confidence, best price 1.46).

We also have Asian handicap: CF Montreal +1.25 (65%, 1.92) and Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.48).

Recent form over the last 5: New York City WDDLL (goals 6–8), CF Montreal LLDDL (goals 2–11).

Both teams scored in 60% of New York City's recent games and 50% of CF Montreal's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 50% respectively.

Per game, New York City average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 2), CF Montreal 0.8 and 1.8 (clean sheets: 0).

Across 24 head-to-head games the record reads 13–5–6 (wins–draws–losses) from New York City's side.

Those 24 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-25) ended CF Montreal 1–0 New York City.

New York City sit 12th on 38 pts after 32 games, CF Montreal 15th on 25 pts.

Nito explains: New York City vs CF Montreal

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for New York City vs CF Montreal mean?

The best prices are 1.46 for a New York City win, 5.00 for a draw and 6.68 for a CF Montreal win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.46 returns 14.60 if New York City win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 66% New York City, 19% draw and 14% CF Montreal.

What does Nito's pick "New York City to win" mean?

It wins only if New York City win; a draw or a CF Montreal win loses. At 1.46, the price implies a 68% chance; Nito's data rates it at 72%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do New York City and CF Montreal matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of New York City's last 10 matches and 50% of CF Montreal's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 46%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. New York City reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, CF Montreal in 50% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (38% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDDLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. New York City, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (6 scored, 8 conceded). CF Montreal, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (2 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do New York City and CF Montreal stand in the table?

New York City are 12th with 38 points from 32 games. CF Montreal are 15th with 25 points from 32 games. The gap between them is 13 points.

New York City vs CF Montreal: questions & answers

Who will win New York City vs CF Montreal?

Our pick is New York City to win with 72% confidence (best price 1.46). Bookmaker odds imply New York City 66%, draw 19%, CF Montreal 14%.

Will both teams score in New York City vs CF Montreal?

Both teams scored in 46% of their 24 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of New York City's matches and 50% of CF Montreal's.

What are the odds for New York City vs CF Montreal?

Odds: New York City 1.46, draw 5.00, CF Montreal 6.68. Our pick New York City to win is available at 1.46.

When is the New York City vs CF Montreal kick-off?

New York City vs CF Montreal kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between New York City and CF Montreal?

24 meetings: New York City 13 wins, 5 draws, CF Montreal 6 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.

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New York City vs CF Montreal prediction & odds

New York City

CF Montreal

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds