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Wimborne vs Crawley prediction & odds

Wimborne

17:00
Kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 17:00

Crawley

Odds 1X2
1Wimborne5.40XDraw4.602Crawley1.57Nito’s pick
The Wyatt Homes Stadium
WimbornevsCrawleyNito’s pick1.57

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Crawley
1.57

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off
Stadium
The Wyatt Homes Stadium
Capacity
3,250
City
Wimborne, Dorset

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Crawley75%Confidence1.57Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+11 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Wimborne18%5.40
Draw21%4.60
Crawley61%1.57

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%
Wimborne5.4018%Draw4.6021%Crawley1.5761%
Total goals 2.5margin 7.0%
Over 2.51.5760%Under 2.52.3140%
Asian handicapmargin 5.6%
Wimborne +11.9249%Crawley -11.8751%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 8.1%
Wimborne5.4117%Draw2.5436%Crawley1.9946%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Wimborne vs Crawley preview

Wimborne host Crawley in the FA Cup on Sun, 8 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.