UEFA Nations League - League AUpcoming

Czech Republic vs Spain prediction & odds

Czech Republic

21:45

Kick-off Thu 12 Nov, 21:45

Spain

Odds 1X2

1Czech Republic13.00XDraw7.662Spain1.21

Czech RepublicvsSpain

Nito’s pick1.41

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.41

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: UEFA Nations League - League A
Kick-off: Thu 12 Nov 21:45 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.575%Confidence1.41Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.41 means bookmakers give it 71%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+4 pts)
3+ goals in 80% of Czech Republic's last 5 and 60% of Spain's
Goals per game in the last 5: Czech Republic matches 3.2, Spain matches 2.8
Their 8 meetings average 2.1 goals; both teams scored in 38%

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.41

We rate Over 2.5 goals at 75% — the price of 1.41 implies only 71%.

Asian handicap +1.25Spain -1.25High confidence

Confidence74%

Indicative price1.41

We rate Asian handicap: Spain -1.25 at 74% — the price of 1.41 implies only 71%.

Asian handicap +1.5Spain -1.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.58

Asian handicap: Spain -1.5: our confidence is 65% at a best price of 1.58.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Czech Republic7%13.00

Draw13%7.66

Spain80%1.21

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.4%

Czech Republic13.007%Draw7.6613%Spain1.2180%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.8%

Over 2.51.4166%Under 2.52.7934%

Asian handicapmargin 4.0%

Czech Republic +21.8851%Spain -21.9749%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 6.9%

Czech Republic10.249%Draw3.1530%Spain1.5361%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Czech Republic1.9350%Spain1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Czech Republic wins

2Draws

6Spain wins

Last matches: Czech Republic

06.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueEnglandCzech Republic30L
03.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueSpainCzech Republic31L
29.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueCzech RepublicEngland02L
26.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueCzech RepublicCroatia12L
25.06.26FIFA World CupCzech RepublicMexico03L

Last matches: Spain

06.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueCroatiaSpain12W
03.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueSpainCzechia31W
29.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueSpainCroatia41W
26.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueEnglandSpain23W
19.07.26FIFA World CupSpainArgentina10W

Head-to-head matches

03.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueSpainCzech Republic31L
12.06.22UEFA Nations LeagueSpainCzech Republic20L
05.06.22UEFA Nations LeagueCzech RepublicSpain22D
13.06.16European ChampionshipSpainCzech Republic10L
07.10.11European ChampionshipCzech RepublicSpain02L
25.03.11European ChampionshipSpainCzech Republic21L

2.13Avg goals38%Both scored38%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Czech Republic vs Spain: head-to-head record

8 meetings since 1996: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Czech Republic wins

2Draws

6Spain wins

4:13Goals (Czech Republic : Spain)

2.13Goals per match

38%BTTS

63%Over 1.5

38%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

Czech Republic at home: 0-2-12:4 goals in 3 games
Spain at home: 5-0-09:2 goals in 5 games
Spain's biggest win: 3–1Spain 3–1 Czech Republic, 3 Oct 2026

Meetings (8 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
3 Oct 2026	UEFA Nations League	Spain	3–1	Czech Republic
12 Jun 2022	UEFA Nations League	Spain	2–0	Czech Republic
5 Jun 2022	UEFA Nations League	Czech Republic	2–2	Spain
13 Jun 2016	European Championship	Spain	1–0	Czech Republic
7 Oct 2011	European Championship	Czech Republic	0–2	Spain
25 Mar 2011	European Championship	Spain	2–1	Czech Republic
7 Jun 1997	WC Qualifying Europe	Spain	1–0	Czech Republic
8 Oct 1996	WC Qualifying Europe	Czech Republic	0–0	Spain

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Czech Republic0W 0D 5L · goals 2–13

L06.10UEFA Nations LeagueAEngland0–3
L03.10UEFA Nations LeagueASpain1–3
L29.09UEFA Nations LeagueHEngland0–2
L26.09UEFA Nations LeagueHCroatia1–2
L25.06FIFA World CupHMexico0–3

Spain5W 0D 0L · goals 13–5

W06.10UEFA Nations LeagueACroatia2–1
W03.10UEFA Nations LeagueHCzechia3–1
W29.09UEFA Nations LeagueHCroatia4–1
W26.09UEFA Nations LeagueAEngland3–2
W19.07FIFA World CupHArgentina1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Czech RepublicSpain

1.2Goals scored per game2.2

2.0Goals conceded per game0.6

70%Both teams scored50%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

0Clean sheets5

30%Failed to score0%

3-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)5-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Group 3

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Spain	4	+7	12	WWWW
2	England	4	+11	9	WWWL
3	Croatia	4	-10	3	LLLW
4	Czech Republic	4	-8	0	LLLL

Comments

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About this match

Czech Republic vs Spain preview

On Thu, 12 Nov 2026 at 21:45, Czech Republic take on Spain in the UEFA Nations League - League A.

Form · last 5 matches

Czech RepublicLLLLL2 scored · 13 conceded

SpainWWWWW13 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Czech RepublicSpain

1.2Goals scored per game2.2

2.0Goals conceded per game0.6

70%Both teams scored50%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

0Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

0Czech Republic wins

2Draws

6Spain wins

8 meetings · 2.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 38%

What's at stake

Czech Republic4th0 pts · 4 played

Spain1st12 pts · 4 played

Spain lead by 12 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.575%Confidence1.41Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 13.00 on Czech Republic, 7.66 on the draw and 1.21 on Spain, which is roughly 7%, 13% and 80% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Over 2.5 goals: 75% confidence, priced at 1.41.

We also have Asian handicap: Spain -1.25 (74%, 1.41) and Asian handicap: Spain -1.5 (65%, 1.58).

Recent form over the last 5: Czech Republic LLLLL (goals 2–13), Spain WWWWW (goals 13–5).

Both teams scored in 70% of Czech Republic's recent games and 50% of Spain's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Czech Republic average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Spain 2.2 and 0.6 (clean sheets: 5).

Across 8 head-to-head games the record reads 0–2–6 (wins–draws–losses) from Czech Republic's side.

Those 8 games averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-03) ended Spain 3–1 Czech Republic.

Czech Republic sit 4th on 0 pts after 4 games, Spain 1st on 12 pts.

Nito explains: Czech Republic vs Spain

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Czech Republic vs Spain mean?

The best prices are 13.00 for a Czech Republic win, 7.66 for a draw and 1.21 for a Spain win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 13.00 returns 130.00 if Czech Republic win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.4% removed) that is 7% Czech Republic, 13% draw and 80% Spain.

What does Nito's pick "Over 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.41, the price implies a 71% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Czech Republic and Spain matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Czech Republic's last 10 matches and 50% of Spain's last 10. In their 8 recorded meetings it was 38%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Czech Republic reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Spain in 60% of their last 10. Their 8 meetings averaged 2.1 goals (38% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Czech Republic, last 5: 0 W · 0 D · 5 L (2 scored, 13 conceded). Spain, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (13 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Czech Republic and Spain stand in the table?

Czech Republic are 4th with 0 points from 4 games. Spain are 1st with 12 points from 4 games. The gap between them is 12 points.

Czech Republic vs Spain: questions & answers

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Spain -1.25 with 74% confidence (best price 1.41). Bookmaker odds imply Czech Republic 7%, draw 13%, Spain 80%.

Will both teams score in Czech Republic vs Spain?

Both teams scored in 38% of their 8 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Czech Republic's matches and 50% of Spain's.

What are the odds for Czech Republic vs Spain?

Odds: Czech Republic 13.00, draw 7.66, Spain 1.21. Our pick Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.41.

When is the Czech Republic vs Spain kick-off?

Czech Republic vs Spain kicks off on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Czech Republic and Spain?

8 meetings: Czech Republic 0 wins, 2 draws, Spain 6 wins. Those 8 games averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

Other UEFA Nations League - League A matches on 12 Nov

All UEFA Nations League - League A fixtures

Czech Republic vs Spain prediction & odds

Czech Republic

Spain

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds