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Elversberg vs Mainz prediction & odds

Elversberg

21:30

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 21:30

Mainz

Odds 1X2

1Elversberg3.31XDraw3.962Mainz2.20

ElversbergvsMainz

Nito’s pick1.70

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceElversberg or Draw

1.70

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 21:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceElversberg or Draw60%Confidence1.70Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.70 means bookmakers give it 59%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+1 pts)
Elversberg won 1 of their last 5 (goals 4–10); Mainz won 2 (goals 10–12)
In the table Elversberg are 8th with 10 pts, Mainz 7th with 10 pts
In 2 meetings Elversberg won 0, Mainz won 1, 1 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Elversberg30%3.31

Draw25%3.96

Mainz45%2.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 0.9%

Elversberg3.3130%Draw3.9625%Mainz2.2045%

Double chance

Elversberg or Draw1.70Elversberg or Mainz1.21Draw or Mainz1.32

Total goals 2.5margin 3.0%

Over 2.51.6061%Under 2.52.4739%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.4%

Elversberg +0.51.8553%Mainz -0.52.0747%

1st-half resultmargin 3.3%

Elversberg3.8225%Draw2.6337%Mainz2.5638%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Elversberg1.9749%Mainz1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Elversberg wins

1Draws

1Mainz wins

Last matches: Elversberg

27.10.26DFB-PokalElversbergDarmstadt02L
24.10.26BundesligaRB LeipzigElversberg40L
17.10.26BundesligaElversbergAugsburg43W
10.10.26BundesligaUnion BerlinElversberg10L
20.09.26BundesligaSchalkeElversberg00D

Last matches: Mainz

27.10.26DFB-PokalBochumMainz20L

Elversberg vs Mainz: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2021: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Elversberg wins

1Draws

1Mainz wins

1:2Goals (Elversberg : Mainz)

1.50Goals per match

50%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

0%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Elversberg at home: 0-1-11:2 goals in 2 games
Mainz's biggest win: 0–1Elversberg 0–1 Mainz, 12 Aug 2023

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
12 Aug 2023	Cup	Elversberg	0–1	Mainz
8 Aug 2021	Cup	Elversberg	1–1	Mainz

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Elversberg1W 1D 3L · goals 4–10

L27.10DFB-PokalHDarmstadt0–2
L24.10BundesligaARB Leipzig0–4
W17.10BundesligaHAugsburg4–3
L10.10BundesligaAUnion Berlin0–1
D20.09BundesligaASchalke0–0

Mainz2W 0D 3L · goals 10–12

L27.10DFB-PokalABochum0–2
L24.10BundesligaHWerder Bremen2–3
W17.10BundesligaASchalke1–0
L10.10BundesligaHBayer Leverkusen3–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ElversbergMainz

1.9Goals scored per game2.7

1.9Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets4

40%Failed to score20%

3-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-0-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ElversbergMainz

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 34 gamesBundesliga 2025/2026 · 35 games

1.9Goals scored1.3

1.1Goals conceded1.5

6.1Corners5.1

15.0Shots12.3

53%Possession44%

1.8Yellow cards2.0

29%Clean sheets11%

18%Failed to score31%

11-4-2Home / away record (W-D-L)6-5-6

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Werder Bremen	7	+1	12	WDDWD
7	Mainz	7	+3	10	LWLWL
8	Elversberg	7	-3	10	LWLDL
9	Augsburg	7	+4	9	DLDLD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Elversberg

✕T. ZimmerschiedAnkle Injury
?N. DarvichHamstring Injury
?L. GuntherKnock
?J. GyamerahThigh Injury
?L. PinckertMuscle Injury
?L. SeifertAnkle Injury

Mainz

✕D. KohrFoot Injury
✕SilasBroken shinbone
?N. AmiriKnee Injury
?O. RuoppiKnee Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Elversberg vs Mainz preview

Elversberg host Mainz in the Bundesliga on Fri, 30 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 21:30.

Form · last 5 matches

ElversbergLLWLD4 scored · 10 conceded

MainzLLWLW10 scored · 12 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ElversbergMainz

1.9Goals scored per game2.7

1.9Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

0Elversberg wins

1Draws

1Mainz wins

2 meetings · 1.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Elversberg8th10 pts · 7 played

Nito explains: Elversberg vs Mainz

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Elversberg vs Mainz mean?

The best prices are 3.31 for a Elversberg win, 3.96 for a draw and 2.20 for a Mainz win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.31 returns 33.10 if Elversberg win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 0.9% removed) that is 30% Elversberg, 25% draw and 45% Mainz.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Elversberg or Draw" mean?

It wins if Elversberg win or draw; it loses only if Mainz win. At 1.70, the price implies a 59% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Elversberg and Mainz matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Elversberg's last 10 matches and 50% of Mainz's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Elversberg reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Mainz in 70% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 1.5 goals (0% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Elversberg, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (4 scored, 10 conceded). Mainz, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (10 scored, 12 conceded).

Where do Elversberg and Mainz stand in the table?

Elversberg are 8th with 10 points from 7 games. Mainz are 7th with 10 points from 7 games. They are level on points.

Elversberg vs Mainz: questions & answers

Who will win Elversberg vs Mainz?

Our pick is Double chance: Elversberg or Draw with 60% confidence (best price 1.70). Bookmaker odds imply Elversberg 30%, draw 25%, Mainz 45%.

Will both teams score in Elversberg vs Mainz?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Elversberg's matches and 50% of Mainz's.

What are the odds for Elversberg vs Mainz?

Odds: Elversberg 3.31, draw 3.96, Mainz 2.20. Our pick Double chance: Elversberg or Draw is available at 1.70.

When is the Elversberg vs Mainz kick-off?

Elversberg vs Mainz kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Elversberg and Mainz?

2 meetings: Elversberg 0 wins, 1 draws, Mainz 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Elversberg vs Mainz prediction & odds

Elversberg

Mainz

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds