Africa Cup Of Nations - QualificationUpcoming

Ivory Coast vs Gambia prediction & odds

Ivory Coast

21:00

Kick-off Thu 12 Nov, 21:00

Gambia

Odds 1X2

1Ivory Coast1.21XDraw6.602Gambia13.48

Ivory CoastvsGambia

Nito’s pick1.57

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo

1.57

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Africa Cup Of Nations - Qualification
Kick-off: Thu 12 Nov 21:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo70%Confidence1.57Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+6 pts)
Both teams scored in 30% of Ivory Coast's last 5 and 70% of Gambia's
Goals per game in the last 5: Ivory Coast matches 2.0, Gambia matches 4.4
Their 4 meetings average 2.3 goals; both teams scored in 0%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.57

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 70%, 6 points above the 64% the best price of 1.57 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.16

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 16 points above the 46% the best price of 2.16 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Ivory Coast79%1.21

Draw14%6.60

Gambia7%13.48

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.2%

Ivory Coast1.2179%Draw6.6014%Gambia13.487%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.5%

Over 2.51.6657%Under 2.52.1643%

Asian handicapmargin 5.1%

Ivory Coast -1.751.8452%Gambia +1.751.9748%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 9.4%

Ivory Coast1.5858%Draw2.7533%Gambia10.259%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4Ivory Coast wins

0Draws

0Gambia wins

Last matches: Ivory Coast

03.10.26FriendliesIvory CoastCameroon01L
29.09.26Africa Cup of Nations QualificationSomaliaIvory Coast02W
24.09.26Africa Cup of Nations QualificationIvory CoastGhana20W
30.06.26FIFA World CupIvory CoastNorway12L
25.06.26FIFA World CupCuraçaoIvory Coast02W

Last matches: Gambia

29.09.26Africa Cup of Nations QualificationGhanaGambia24W
25.09.26Africa Cup of Nations QualificationGambiaSomalia21W
29.05.26FriendliesIranGambia31L
31.03.26FriendliesSenegalGambia31L
14.10.25World Cup Qualifiers CAFSeychellesGambia07W

Head-to-head matches

24.03.25World Cup Qualifiers CAFIvory CoastGambia10W
20.11.23World Cup Qualifiers CAFGambiaIvory Coast02W
08.06.13WC Qualifying AfricaGambiaIvory Coast03W
23.03.13WC Qualifying AfricaIvory CoastGambia30W

2.25Avg goals0%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Ivory Coast vs Gambia: head-to-head record

4 meetings since 2013: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4Ivory Coast wins

0Draws

0Gambia wins

9:0Goals (Ivory Coast : Gambia)

2.25Goals per match

0%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Ivory Coast at home: 2-0-04:0 goals in 2 games
Gambia at home: 0-0-20:5 goals in 2 games
Ivory Coast's biggest win: 0–3Gambia 0–3 Ivory Coast, 8 Jun 2013

Meetings (4 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Mar 2025	World Cup Qualifiers CAF	Ivory Coast	1–0	Gambia
20 Nov 2023	World Cup Qualifiers CAF	Gambia	0–2	Ivory Coast
8 Jun 2013	WC Qualifying Africa	Gambia	0–3	Ivory Coast
23 Mar 2013	WC Qualifying Africa	Ivory Coast	3–0	Gambia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Ivory Coast3W 0D 2L · goals 7–3

L03.10FriendliesHCameroon0–1
W29.09Africa Cup of Nations QualificationASomalia2–0
W24.09Africa Cup of Nations QualificationHGhana2–0
L30.06FIFA World CupHNorway1–2
W25.06FIFA World CupACuraçao2–0

Gambia3W 0D 2L · goals 15–9

W29.09Africa Cup of Nations QualificationAGhana4–2
W25.09Africa Cup of Nations QualificationHSomalia2–1
L29.05FriendliesAIran1–3
L31.03FriendliesASenegal1–3
W14.10World Cup Qualifiers CAFASeychelles7–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Ivory CoastGambia

1.4Goals scored per game2.6

0.6Goals conceded per game1.8

30%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals80%

6Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score10%

2-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Ivory CoastGambia

World Cup 2026 · 4 gamesCup Of Nations Qualification 2025 · 4 games

1.3Goals scored1.0

1.0Goals conceded1.0

6.5Corners4.5

11.3Shots11.5

49%Possession46%

1.0Yellow cards1.8

50%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score0%

1-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Group C

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Ivory Coast	2	+4	6	WW
2	Gambia	2	+3	6	WW
3	Somalia	2	-3	0	LL

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About this match

Ivory Coast vs Gambia preview

On Thu, 12 Nov 2026 at 21:00, Ivory Coast take on Gambia in the Africa Cup Of Nations - Qualification.

Form · last 5 matches

Ivory CoastLWWLW7 scored · 3 conceded

GambiaWWLLW15 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Ivory CoastGambia

1.4Goals scored per game2.6

0.6Goals conceded per game1.8

30%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals80%

6Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

4Ivory Coast wins

0Draws

0Gambia wins

4 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 0%

What's at stake

Ivory Coast1st6 pts · 2 played

Gambia2nd6 pts · 2 played

Level on points

Our pick

Both teams to scoreNo70%Confidence1.57Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Ivory Coast the favourite at 1.21 (79% implied), with the draw at 6.60 (14%).

Both teams to score: No is our top pick for this game (70% confidence, best price 1.57).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (62%, 2.16).

Ivory Coast come into the game with LWWLW in their last 5 (7 scored, 3 conceded), while Gambia have WWLLW (15 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of Ivory Coast's recent games and 80% of Gambia's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 70%.

Per game, Ivory Coast average 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Gambia 2.6 and 1.8 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 4 previous meetings: Ivory Coast 4 wins, Gambia 0 wins, draws 0.

Those 4 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

The last meeting (2025-03-24) ended Ivory Coast 1–0 Gambia.

In the table, Ivory Coast are 1st (6 pts from 2 games) and Gambia are 2nd (6 pts from 2).

Nito explains: Ivory Coast vs Gambia

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Ivory Coast vs Gambia mean?

The best prices are 1.21 for a Ivory Coast win, 6.60 for a draw and 13.48 for a Gambia win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.21 returns 12.10 if Ivory Coast win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.2% removed) that is 79% Ivory Coast, 14% draw and 7% Gambia.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: No" mean?

It wins if at least one team fails to score. At 1.57, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Ivory Coast and Gambia matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Ivory Coast's last 10 matches and 70% of Gambia's last 10. In their 4 recorded meetings it was 0%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Ivory Coast reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Gambia in 80% of their last 10. Their 4 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Ivory Coast, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (7 scored, 3 conceded). Gambia, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (15 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Ivory Coast and Gambia stand in the table?

Ivory Coast are 1st with 6 points from 2 games. Gambia are 2nd with 6 points from 2 games. They are level on points.

Ivory Coast vs Gambia: questions & answers

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Bookmaker odds imply Ivory Coast 79%, draw 14%, Gambia 7%.

Will both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (70% confidence, 1.57). Both teams scored in 0% of their 4 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Ivory Coast's matches and 70% of Gambia's.

What are the odds for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Odds: Ivory Coast 1.21, draw 6.60, Gambia 13.48. Our pick Both teams to score: No is available at 1.57.

When is the Ivory Coast vs Gambia kick-off?

Ivory Coast vs Gambia kicks off on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 at 21:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Ivory Coast and Gambia?

4 meetings: Ivory Coast 4 wins, 0 draws, Gambia 0 wins. Those 4 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Other Africa Cup Of Nations - Qualification matches on 12 Nov

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Ivory Coast vs Gambia prediction & odds

Ivory Coast

Gambia

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds