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GFA74 vs St Etienne prediction & odds

GFA74

16:00
Kick-off Sun 15 Nov, 16:00

St Etienne

Odds 1X2
1GFA748.00XDraw6.002St Etienne1.34Nito’s pick
GFA74vsSt EtienneNito’s pick1.34

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)St Etienne
1.34

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 85% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Coupe De France
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)St Etienne85%Confidence1.34Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.34 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 85% (+10 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 85% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)St EtienneHigh confidence
Confidence85%
Indicative price1.34

St Etienne to win: our confidence is 85%, 10 points above the 75% the best price of 1.34 implies.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence
Confidence70%
Indicative price2.15

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 70%, 23 points above the 47% the best price of 2.15 implies.

Asian handicap +1.5St Etienne -1.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price1.88

Asian handicap: St Etienne -1.5: our confidence is 65%, 12 points above the 53% the best price of 1.88 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

This match is in today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

GFA7412%8.00
Draw16%6.00
St Etienne72%1.34

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%
GFA748.0012%Draw6.0016%St Etienne1.3472%
Total goals 2.5margin 9.3%
Over 2.51.4364%Under 2.52.5436%
Asian handicapmargin 7.8%
GFA74 +1.51.8351%St Etienne -1.51.8849%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

GFA74 vs St Etienne preview

Coupe De France fixture: GFA74 welcome St Etienne on Sun, 15 Nov 2026 (16:00 kick-off).