Home / Germany: Bundesliga / Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

BundesligaFT

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV result, stats & H2H

Paderborn

1–0

Hamburger SV

R. Philippe 88′

24/10/2026 16:30 · Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn1–0Hamburger SV

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half0 - 0

13′

O. Stange

2nd half1 - 0

46′

T. Moffi

T. Baack46′

54′

S. Nandja

J. ter Horst58′

F. Gotze62′

M. Pieringer63′

R. Philippe71′

71′A. Gronbaek

71′

A. S. Lokonga

S. Michel79′

87′

A. S. Lokonga

1-0

R. Philippe88′

89′M. Polzin

90′

A. Rossing-Lelesiit

Key stats

The main team numbers from the match feed; all of them are in the Stats tab

Key stats

PaderbornHamburger SV

6Shots on target1

12Fouls15

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

All stats (8)

Top-rated players

Highest player ratings from the official match data feed

Top 5

Paderborn

Hamburger SV

Raphael ObermairMF · 90′Player of the match7.9
Santiago CastañedaMF · 90′7.7
Nahuel NollGK · 90′7.7
Tjark Lasse SchellerDF · 90′7.6
Rayan PhilippeFW · 20′7.6

Raphael ObermairMF · 90′Player of the match7.9
Santiago CastañedaMF · 90′7.7
Nahuel NollGK · 90′7.7

Otto StangeFW · 76′7.3
Zakaria El OuahdiMF · 90′7.2
Warmed OmariDF · 90′7.0

All player stats →

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.62Lost

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sat 24 Oct 16:30 EEST
Stadium: Home Deluxe Arena
Capacity: 15,306
City: Paderborn

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.565%Confidence1.62lost

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.62 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+3 pts)
3+ goals in 40% of Paderborn's last 5 and 70% of Hamburger SV's
Goals per game in the last 5: Paderborn matches 2.3, Hamburger SV matches 3.1
Their 16 meetings average 3.2 goals; both teams scored in 56%

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Price2.50Won

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 20 points above the 40% the best price of 2.50 implies.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Price1.62Lost

Over 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 3 points above the 62% the best price of 1.62 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Closing odds

	Paderborn	Draw	Hamburger SV
1X2	2.29 2.31	3.94 3.94	3.07 3.04

Last pre-match price before kick-off (bold) and the opening price (grey), recorded by Tipnito.

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

7Paderborn wins

2Draws

7Hamburger SV wins

Last matches: Paderborn

28.10.26DFB-PokalPaderbornStuttgart01L
17.10.26BundesligaWerder BremenPaderborn22D
10.10.26BundesligaPaderbornStuttgart02L
20.09.26BundesligaPaderbornHoffenheim31W
12.09.26BundesligaDortmundPaderborn30L

Last matches: Hamburger SV

27.10.26DFB-PokalHamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt13L
17.10.26BundesligaHamburger SVStuttgart10W
10.10.26BundesligaHoffenheimHamburger SV23W
19.09.26BundesligaHamburger SVFC Koln21W
13.09.26BundesligaRB LeipzigHamburger SV50L

Head-to-head matches

24.10.26BundesligaPaderbornHamburger SV10W
02.03.25Bundesliga 2PaderbornHamburger SV20W
28.09.24Bundesliga 2Hamburger SVPaderborn22D
10.05.24Bundesliga 2PaderbornHamburger SV10W
09.12.23Bundesliga 2Hamburger SVPaderborn12W
05.05.23Bundesliga 2Hamburger SVPaderborn22D

3.19Avg goals56%Both scored69%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: head-to-head record

16 meetings since 2014: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

7Paderborn wins

2Draws

7Hamburger SV wins

26:25Goals (Paderborn : Hamburger SV)

3.19Goals per match

56%BTTS

81%Over 1.5

69%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Paderborn at home: 4-0-514:15 goals in 9 games
Hamburger SV at home: 2-2-310:12 goals in 7 games
Paderborn's biggest win: 4–1Paderborn 4–1 Hamburger SV, 12 May 2019
Hamburger SV's biggest win: 0–3Paderborn 0–3 Hamburger SV, 4 Feb 2015

Meetings (16 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Oct 2026	Bundesliga	Paderborn	1–0	Hamburger SV
2 Mar 2025	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	2–0	Hamburger SV
28 Sept 2024	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	2–2	Paderborn
10 May 2024	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	1–0	Hamburger SV
9 Dec 2023	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	1–2	Paderborn
5 May 2023	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	2–2	Paderborn
30 Oct 2022	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	2–3	Hamburger SV
2 Apr 2022	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	1–2	Paderborn
22 Oct 2021	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	1–2	Hamburger SV
30 Jan 2021	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	3–1	Paderborn
28 Sept 2020	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	3–4	Hamburger SV
12 May 2019	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	4–1	Hamburger SV
2 Apr 2019	Cup	Paderborn	0–2	Hamburger SV
7 Dec 2018	Bundesliga 2	Hamburger SV	1–0	Paderborn
4 Feb 2015	Bundesliga	Paderborn	0–3	Hamburger SV
30 Aug 2014	Bundesliga	Hamburger SV	0–3	Paderborn

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Paderborn1W 1D 3L · goals 5–9

L28.10DFB-PokalHStuttgart0–1
D17.10BundesligaAWerder Bremen2–2
L10.10BundesligaHStuttgart0–2
W20.09BundesligaHHoffenheim3–1
L12.09BundesligaADortmund0–3

Hamburger SV3W 0D 2L · goals 7–11

L27.10DFB-PokalHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
W17.10BundesligaHStuttgart1–0
W10.10BundesligaAHoffenheim3–2
W19.09BundesligaHFC Koln2–1
L13.09BundesligaARB Leipzig0–5

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.1Goals scored per game1.2

1.2Goals conceded per game1.9

30%Both teams scored40%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

60%Failed to score40%

1-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

PaderbornHamburger SV

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 34 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 4 games

1.7Goals scored0.5

1.3Goals conceded3.3

5.1Corners3.8

15.3Shots9.5

53%Possession41%

1.9Yellow cards1.3

26%Clean sheets0%

12%Failed to score75%

10-3-4Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-2

Match stats

Team and player statistics from the match feed

Match statistics

PaderbornHamburger SV

Top stats

6Shots on target1

Passes

532Passes332

449Accurate passes241

84%Pass accuracy73%

Defence

12Fouls15

1Goalkeeper saves5

Discipline

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Player statistics

Top-rated players

7.9Raphael ObermairPaderborn
7.7Santiago CastañedaPaderborn
7.7Nahuel NollPaderborn
7.6Tjark Lasse SchellerPaderborn
7.6Rayan PhilippePaderborn

Paderborn (16)

Hamburger SV (16)

Ratings and per-player numbers come from the official match data feed. Hover or long-press a column header for its full name.

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Hoffenheim	7	0	9	WWLLW
11	Hamburger SV	7	-10	9	LWWWL
12	FC Koln	7	-3	8	DLWLD
13	Paderborn	7	-3	8	WDLWL
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	-7	8	LWLDW

Line-ups

Starting XI and formations, with ratings, goals, cards and substitutions when the feed has them

Line-ups

PaderbornFormationHamburger SV

Paderborn

Hamburger SV

Goal
Yellow card
Substituted off
Came on
Captain
Player rating (match feed)

Substitutes

Coaches

Ralf KettemannMerlin Polzin

Comments

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About this match

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV preview

Final score in the Bundesliga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026: Paderborn 1–0 Hamburger SV.

Form · last 5 matches

PaderbornLDLWL5 scored · 9 conceded

Hamburger SVLWWWL7 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.1Goals scored per game1.2

1.2Goals conceded per game1.9

30%Both teams scored40%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

7Paderborn wins

2Draws

7Hamburger SV wins

16 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

League table

Paderborn13th8 pts · 7 played

Hamburger SV11th9 pts · 7 played

Hamburger SV lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%Confidence1.62lost

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Our top pick, Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 (65% confidence), lost.

Our other picks were Both teams to score: No (60%, 2.50).

Paderborn come into the game with LDLWL in their last 5 (5 scored, 9 conceded), while Hamburger SV have LWWWL (7 scored, 11 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Paderborn's recent games and 70% of Hamburger SV's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 40%.

Per game, Paderborn average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Hamburger SV 1.2 and 1.9 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 16 previous meetings: Paderborn 7 wins, Hamburger SV 7 wins, draws 2.

Those 16 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

In the table, Paderborn are 13th (8 pts from 7 games) and Hamburger SV are 11th (9 pts from 7).

Nito explains: Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Paderborn and Hamburger SV matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Paderborn's last 10 matches and 40% of Hamburger SV's last 10. In their 16 recorded meetings it was 56%. In this match it did not (Paderborn 1-0 Hamburger SV).

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Paderborn reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Hamburger SV in 70% of their last 10. Their 16 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (69% over 2.5). This match had 1 goals: under.

What does the form guide LDLWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Paderborn, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (5 scored, 9 conceded). Hamburger SV, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (7 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Paderborn and Hamburger SV stand in the table?

Paderborn are 13th with 8 points from 7 games. Hamburger SV are 11th with 9 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: questions & answers

Who won Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

Paderborn won 1–0.

Did both teams score in Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

No, the match finished 1–0.

When was Paderborn vs Hamburger SV played?

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV was played on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (GMT+3) at Home Deluxe Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Paderborn and Hamburger SV?

16 meetings: Paderborn 7 wins, 2 draws, Hamburger SV 7 wins. Those 16 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

Other Bundesliga matches on 24 Oct

All Bundesliga fixtures

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV result, stats & H2H

Paderborn

Hamburger SV

Key events

Key events

Key stats

Key stats

Top-rated players

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Closing odds

Head-to-head

Head-to-head

Last matches: Paderborn

Last matches: Hamburger SV

Head-to-head matches

Meetings (16 most recent)

Form, last 5 matches

Goals and trends · last 10

Season stats

Match stats

Match statistics

Top stats

Passes

Defence

Discipline

Player statistics

Top-rated players

Standings

Table · Bundesliga

Line-ups

Line-ups

Substitutes

Coaches

Comments

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV preview

Form · last 5 matches

Key facts · last 5

Head-to-head in numbers

League table

Our pick

Nito explains: Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

How often do Paderborn and Hamburger SV matches see both teams score?

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

What does the form guide LDLWL mean?

Where do Paderborn and Hamburger SV stand in the table?

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: questions & answers

Other Bundesliga matches on 24 Oct

More on this match

Key facts

Key stats

Key stats

Top-rated players

Closing odds

Head-to-head

Head-to-head

Last matches: Paderborn

Last matches: Hamburger SV

Head-to-head matches

Meetings (16 most recent)

Form, last 5 matches

Goals and trends · last 10

Season stats

Match stats

Match statistics

Top stats

Passes

Defence

Discipline

Player statistics

Top-rated players

Standings

Table · Bundesliga

Form · last 5 matches

Key facts · last 5

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.