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Juventus vs Napoli prediction & odds

Juventus

21:45
Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 21:45

Napoli

Odds 1X2
1Juventus2.32XDraw3.322Napoli3.43
Allianz Stadium
JuventusvsNapoliNito’s pick1.85

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.85

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Serie A
Kick-off
Stadium
Allianz Stadium
Capacity
45,666
City
Torino

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.85Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.85 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+6 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 50% of Juventus's last 5 and 60% of Napoli's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Juventus matches 3.0, Napoli matches 3.5
  • Their 50 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 56%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Juventus38%2.30
Draw30%2.96
Napoli32%2.80

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.4%
Juventus2.3242%Draw3.3229%Napoli3.4328%
Double chance
Juventus or Draw1.31Juventus or Napoli1.28Draw or Napoli1.60
Total goals 2.5margin 2.7%
Over 2.52.0348%Under 2.51.8752%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 2.6%
Juventus -0.251.9650%Napoli +0.251.9450%
1st-half resultmargin 4.0%
Juventus2.8833%Draw2.2543%Napoli4.0224%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%
Juventus1.9749%Napoli1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

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About this match

Juventus vs Napoli preview

Juventus host Napoli in the Serie A on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 21:45.