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Start vs Lillestrom prediction & odds

Start

18:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 18:00

Lillestrom

Odds 1X2

1Start2.84XDraw3.752Lillestrom2.35

StartvsLillestrom

Nito’s pick1.38

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Lillestrom

1.38

74%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eliteserien
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 18:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Lillestrom74%Confidence1.38Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.38 means bookmakers give it 72%; Nito's confidence is 74% (+2 pts)
Lillestrom won 3 of their last 5 (goals 8–10); Start won 2 (goals 9–14)
In the table Lillestrom are 6th with 39 pts, Start 16th with 19 pts
In 37 meetings Lillestrom won 21, Start won 8, 8 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Start34%2.84

Draw26%3.75

Lillestrom41%2.35

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%

Start2.8434%Draw3.7526%Lillestrom2.3541%

Double chance

Start or Draw1.54Start or Lillestrom1.23Draw or Lillestrom1.38

Total goals 2.5margin 5.1%

Over 2.51.5661%Under 2.52.4439%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.0%

Start +0.251.8153%Lillestrom -0.252.0547%

1st-half resultmargin 5.2%

Start3.2929%Draw2.5038%Lillestrom2.8733%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Start1.9549%Lillestrom1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

8Start wins

8Draws

21Lillestrom wins

Last matches: Start

25.10.26EliteserienStartSandefjord10W
18.10.26EliteserienMoldeStart61L
11.10.26EliteserienStartHamKam24L
06.10.26NM CupenRaufossStart15W
20.09.26EliteserienSandefjordStart30L

Last matches: Lillestrom

28.10.26NM CupenLillestromSogndal21W
25.10.26

Start vs Lillestrom: head-to-head record

37 meetings since 1994: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

8Start wins

8Draws

21Lillestrom wins

44:70Goals (Start : Lillestrom)

3.08Goals per match

51%BTTS

84%Over 1.5

62%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Start at home: 8-5-629:22 goals in 19 games
Lillestrom at home: 15-3-048:15 goals in 18 games
Start's biggest win: 3–0Start 3–0 Lillestrom, 16 Sept 2018
Lillestrom's biggest win: 7–0Lillestrom 7–0 Start, 24 Aug 2002

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	Lillestrom	3–1	Start
16 Aug 2025	Adeccoligaen	Lillestrom	3–0	Start

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Start2W 0D 3L · goals 9–14

W25.10EliteserienHSandefjord1–0
L18.10EliteserienAMolde1–6
L11.10EliteserienHHamKam2–4
W06.10NM CupenARaufoss5–1
L20.09EliteserienASandefjord0–3

Lillestrom3W 1D 1L · goals 8–10

W28.10NM CupenHSogndal2–1
W25.10EliteserienHBrann3–2
L22.10Europa LeagueHReal Sociedad0–6
W18.10EliteserienASandefjord2–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

StartLillestrom

2.0Goals scored per game1.8

2.0Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score20%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eliteserien

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	Tromso	24	+9	40	LDDWL
6	Lillestrom	24	+2	39	WWDLW
7	Sarpsborg 08	24	-5	31	WLWLD
15	Kristiansund	24	-24	20	DLLLL
16	Start	24	-28	19	WLLLW

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Start

✕J. HuseboFoot Injury
✕F. ManojlovicHand Injury
✕K. TonnesenLeg Injury
?S. GriesbeckInjury

Lillestrom

✕C. JebaraGroin Injury
?P. DahlbergInjury
?E. B. GarnasKnee Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Start vs Lillestrom preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:00, Start take on Lillestrom in the Eliteserien.

Form · last 5 matches

StartWLLWL9 scored · 14 conceded

LillestromWWLWD8 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

StartLillestrom

2.0Goals scored per game1.8

2.0Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

8Start wins

8Draws

21Lillestrom wins

37 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 51%

What's at stake

Start16th19 pts · 24 played

Nito explains: Start vs Lillestrom

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Start vs Lillestrom mean?

The best prices are 2.84 for a Start win, 3.75 for a draw and 2.35 for a Lillestrom win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.84 returns 28.40 if Start win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.4% removed) that is 34% Start, 26% draw and 41% Lillestrom.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Lillestrom" mean?

It wins if Lillestrom win or draw; it loses only if Start win. At 1.38, the price implies a 72% chance; Nito's data rates it at 74%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Start and Lillestrom matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Start's last 10 matches and 60% of Lillestrom's last 10. In their 37 recorded meetings it was 51%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Start reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Lillestrom in 70% of their last 10. Their 37 meetings averaged 3.1 goals (62% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLLWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Start, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (9 scored, 14 conceded). Lillestrom, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Start and Lillestrom stand in the table?

Start are 16th with 19 points from 24 games. Lillestrom are 6th with 39 points from 24 games. The gap between them is 20 points.

Start vs Lillestrom: questions & answers

Who will win Start vs Lillestrom?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Lillestrom with 74% confidence (best price 1.38). Bookmaker odds imply Start 34%, draw 26%, Lillestrom 41%.

Will both teams score in Start vs Lillestrom?

Both teams scored in 51% of their 37 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Start's matches and 60% of Lillestrom's.

What are the odds for Start vs Lillestrom?

Odds: Start 2.84, draw 3.75, Lillestrom 2.35. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Lillestrom is available at 1.38.

When is the Start vs Lillestrom kick-off?

Start vs Lillestrom kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Start and Lillestrom?

37 meetings: Start 8 wins, 8 draws, Lillestrom 21 wins. Those 37 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

Other Eliteserien matches on 1 Nov

All Eliteserien fixtures

Start vs Lillestrom prediction & odds

Start

Lillestrom

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds