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Paris FC vs Monaco prediction & odds

Paris FC

18:15
Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 18:15

Monaco

Odds 1X2
1Paris FC2.34XDraw3.572Monaco3.07
Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FCvsMonacoNito’s pick1.31

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceParis FC or Draw
1.31

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Ligue 1
Kick-off
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Capacity
20,000
City
Paris

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceParis FC or Draw74%Confidence1.31Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.31 means bookmakers give it 76%; Nito's confidence is 74% (-2 pts)
  • Paris FC won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–7); Monaco won 2 (goals 8–5)
  • In the table Paris FC are 6th with 14 pts, Monaco 4th with 15 pts
  • In 2 meetings Paris FC won 2, Monaco won 0, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Paris FC41%2.34
Draw27%3.57
Monaco32%3.07

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.3%
Paris FC2.3441%Draw3.5727%Monaco3.0732%
Double chance
Paris FC or Draw1.31Paris FC or Monaco1.25Draw or Monaco1.61
Total goals 2.5margin 3.2%
Over 2.51.8353%Under 2.52.0647%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 2.5%
Paris FC -0.252.0348%Monaco +0.251.8852%
1st-half resultmargin 3.9%
Paris FC2.9433%Draw2.3641%Monaco3.6426%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Paris FC1.9549%Monaco1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

About this match

Paris FC vs Monaco preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:15, Paris FC take on Monaco in the Ligue 1.