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Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction & odds

Pachuca

01:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 01:00

Tigres UANL

Odds 1X2

1Pachuca2.26XDraw3.552Tigres UANL3.17

Estadio Hidalgo

PachucavsTigres UANL

Nito’s pick2.09

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.09

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga MX
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 01:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Hidalgo
Capacity: 30,000
City: Pachuca de Soto

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.09Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.09 means bookmakers give it 48%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+12 pts)
3+ goals in 70% of Pachuca's last 5 and 10% of Tigres UANL's
Goals per game in the last 5: Pachuca matches 3.1, Tigres UANL matches 1.8
Their 50 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 62%

Best price 2.09 means bookmakers give it 48%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+12 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Pachuca42%2.26

Draw27%3.55

Tigres UANL31%3.13

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Pachuca2.2643%Draw3.5527%Tigres UANL3.1730%

Double chance

Pachuca or Draw1.30Pachuca or Tigres UANL1.25Draw or Tigres UANL1.61

Total goals 2.5margin 4.3%

Over 2.51.7754%Under 2.52.0946%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.4%

Pachuca -0.251.9450%Tigres UANL +0.251.9350%

1st-half resultmargin 5.4%

Pachuca2.7834%Draw2.3640%Tigres UANL3.6926%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Pachuca1.9549%Tigres UANL1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Pachuca wins

15Draws

19Tigres UANL wins

Last matches: Pachuca

Copa MXPachucaAtlas11D
Copa MXAtlético ZacatepecPachuca03W
Copa MXPachucaAtlético Zacatepec31W
Copa MXAtlasPachuca11D
26.10.26Liga MXClub AmericaPachuca12W

Last matches: Tigres UANL

25.10.26Liga MXUNAM PumasTigres UANL11D
21.10.26Liga MXTigres UANLClub Leon02L
17.10.26Liga MXGuadalajaraTigres UANL11D
10.10.26Liga MXTigres UANLToluca32W
27.09.26Liga MXTigres UANLPuebla10W

Head-to-head matches

21.02.26Liga MXTigres UANLPachuca12W
23.10.25Liga MXPachucaTigres UANL12L
16.04.25AperturaPachucaTigres UANL00D
27.10.24AperturaTigres UANLPachuca21L
07.04.24AperturaTigres UANLPachuca03W
08.10.23AperturaPachucaTigres UANL11D

2.82Avg goals62%Both scored56%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Pachuca wins

15Draws

19Tigres UANL wins

68:73Goals (Pachuca : Tigres UANL)

2.82Goals per match

62%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

56%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Pachuca at home: 13-8-443:22 goals in 25 games
Tigres UANL at home: 15-7-351:25 goals in 25 games
Pachuca's biggest win: 6–1Pachuca 6–1 Tigres UANL, 13 Feb 2008
Tigres UANL's biggest win: 5–0Tigres UANL 5–0 Pachuca, 11 Sept 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Liga MX	Tigres UANL	1–2	Pachuca
23 Oct 2025	Liga MX	Pachuca	1–2	Tigres UANL
16 Apr 2025	Apertura	Pachuca	0–0	Tigres UANL
27 Oct 2024	Apertura	Tigres UANL	2–1	Pachuca
7 Apr 2024	Apertura	Tigres UANL	0–3	Pachuca
8 Oct 2023	Apertura	Pachuca	1–1	Tigres UANL
16 Jan 2023	Apertura	Tigres UANL	4–1	Pachuca
17 Oct 2022	Apertura	Pachuca	2–1	Tigres UANL
14 Oct 2022	Apertura	Tigres UANL	1–0	Pachuca
7 Aug 2022	Apertura	Pachuca	2–0	Tigres UANL
8 Apr 2022	Apertura	Pachuca	2–1	Tigres UANL
21 Oct 2021	Apertura	Tigres UANL	3–0	Pachuca
19 Mar 2021	Apertura	Pachuca	1–0	Tigres UANL
2 Aug 2020	Apertura	Tigres UANL	1–1	Pachuca
2 Feb 2020	Apertura	Pachuca	2–0	Tigres UANL
10 Nov 2019	Apertura	Tigres UANL	0–0	Pachuca
12 May 2019	Apertura	Tigres UANL	1–1	Pachuca
9 May 2019	Apertura	Pachuca	1–1	Tigres UANL
3 Mar 2019	Apertura	Tigres UANL	3–0	Pachuca
16 Sept 2018	Apertura	Pachuca	1–1	Tigres UANL

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Pachuca3W 2D 0L · goals 10–4

D01.01Copa MXHAtlas1–1
W01.01Copa MXAAtlético Zacatepec3–0
W01.01Copa MXHAtlético Zacatepec3–1
D01.01Copa MXAAtlas1–1
W26.10Liga MXAClub America2–1

Tigres UANL2W 2D 1L · goals 6–6

D25.10Liga MXAUNAM Pumas1–1
L21.10Liga MXHClub Leon0–2
D17.10Liga MXAGuadalajara1–1
W10.10Liga MXHToluca3–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PachucaTigres UANL

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

1.4Goals conceded per game0.9

80%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals10%

1Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score40%

1-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-4-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

PachucaTigres UANL

Liga MX 2025/2026 · 40 gamesLiga MX 2026/2027 · 6 games

1.4Goals scored1.3

1.1Goals conceded1.7

4.7Corners8.0

13.9Shots18.0

48%Possession53%

2.3Yellow cards1.8

25%Clean sheets33%

30%Failed to score17%

12-2-6Home / away record (W-D-L)0-1-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
12	UNAM Pumas	14	-3	17	DLWDL
13	Pachuca	14	+3	16	WLLDL
14	Puebla	14	-5	16	LLDDL
15	Tigres UANL	14	-4	15	DLDWW
16	Atlante	14	-6	14	LWLLW

Comments

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About this match

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL preview

Liga MX fixture: Pachuca welcome Tigres UANL on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (01:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

PachucaDWWDW10 scored · 4 conceded

Tigres UANLDLDWW6 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PachucaTigres UANL

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

1.4Goals conceded per game0.9

80%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals10%

1Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

16Pachuca wins

15Draws

19Tigres UANL wins

50 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

What's at stake

Pachuca13th16 pts · 14 played

Tigres UANL15th15 pts · 14 played

Pachuca lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence2.09Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Hidalgo.

The best available prices are 2.26 on Pachuca, 3.55 on the draw and 3.13 on Tigres UANL, which is roughly 42%, 27% and 31% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Under 2.5 goals: 60% confidence, priced at 2.09.

Recent form over the last 5: Pachuca DWWDW (goals 10–4), Tigres UANL DLDWW (goals 6–6).

Both teams scored in 80% of Pachuca's recent games and 40% of Tigres UANL's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 10% respectively.

Per game, Pachuca average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Tigres UANL 0.9 and 0.9 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 16–15–19 (wins–draws–losses) from Pachuca's side.

Those 50 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-21) ended Tigres UANL 1–2 Pachuca.

Pachuca sit 13th on 16 pts after 14 games, Tigres UANL 15th on 15 pts.

Nito explains: Pachuca vs Tigres UANL

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL mean?

The best prices are 2.26 for a Pachuca win, 3.55 for a draw and 3.13 for a Tigres UANL win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.26 returns 22.60 if Pachuca win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.4% removed) that is 42% Pachuca, 27% draw and 31% Tigres UANL.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.09, the price implies a 48% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Pachuca and Tigres UANL matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Pachuca's last 10 matches and 40% of Tigres UANL's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Pachuca reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Tigres UANL in 10% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (56% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Pachuca, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (10 scored, 4 conceded). Tigres UANL, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (6 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Pachuca and Tigres UANL stand in the table?

Pachuca are 13th with 16 points from 14 games. Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: questions & answers

Who will win Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Bookmaker odds imply Pachuca 42%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 31%.

Will both teams score in Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Both teams scored in 62% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Pachuca's matches and 40% of Tigres UANL's.

What are the odds for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Odds: Pachuca 2.26, draw 3.55, Tigres UANL 3.13. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.09.

When is the Pachuca vs Tigres UANL kick-off?

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 01:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Hidalgo.

What is the head-to-head record between Pachuca and Tigres UANL?

50 meetings: Pachuca 16 wins, 15 draws, Tigres UANL 19 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

Other Liga MX matches on 1 Nov

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Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction & odds

Pachuca

Tigres UANL

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds