Home / Croatia: 1. HNL / Rijeka vs Varazdin

1. HNLUpcoming

Rijeka vs Varazdin prediction & odds

Rijeka

16:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 16:00

Varazdin

Odds 1X2

1Rijeka1.67Nito’s pickXDraw3.262Varazdin3.79

Stadion HNK Rijeka

RijekavsVarazdin

Nito’s pick1.67

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Rijeka

1.67

60%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: 1. HNL
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 16:00 EET
Stadium: Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity: 8,279

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Rijeka60%Confidence1.67Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.67 means bookmakers give it 60%; Nito's confidence is 60% (0 pts)
Rijeka won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–9); Varazdin won 1 (goals 3–4)
In the table Rijeka are 5th with 17 pts, Varazdin 3rd with 18 pts
In 50 meetings Rijeka won 24, Varazdin won 15, 11 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Rijeka

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.67

Rijeka to win: our confidence is 60% at a best price of 1.67.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.92

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 8 points above the 52% the best price of 1.92 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Rijeka51%1.67

Draw26%3.26

Varazdin23%3.79

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 16.9%

Rijeka1.6751%Draw3.2626%Varazdin3.7923%

Double chance

Rijeka or Draw1.14Rijeka or Varazdin1.20Draw or Varazdin1.87

1st-half resultmargin 17.2%

Rijeka2.2238%Draw2.1240%Varazdin4.0121%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Rijeka1.9350%Varazdin1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

24Rijeka wins

11Draws

15Varazdin wins

Last matches: Rijeka

27.10.261. HNLDin. ZagrebRijeka21L
20.10.26Croatian CupKarlovacRijeka14W
16.10.261. HNLRudesRijeka12W
11.10.261. HNLSlaven BelupoRijeka41L
26.09.26Club FriendliesRijekaUnion Berlin01L

Last matches: Varazdin

28.10.26Croatian CupVarazdinLok. Zagreb11D
24.10.261. HNLVarazdinSlaven Belupo12L
18.10.261. HNLHajduk SplitVarazdin10L
11.10.261. HNLLok. ZagrebVarazdin01W
19.09.261. HNLVarazdinOsijek00D

Head-to-head matches

16.08.261. HNLVarazdinRijeka20L
22.04.261. HNLVarazdinRijeka10L
14.02.261. HNLRijekaVarazdin31W
09.11.251. HNLVarazdinRijeka10L
24.08.251. HNLRijekaVarazdin12L
13.04.25HNLRijekaVarazdin10W

2.96Avg goals62%Both scored64%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Rijeka vs Varazdin: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

24Rijeka wins

11Draws

15Varazdin wins

84:64Goals (Rijeka : Varazdin)

2.96Goals per match

62%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

64%Over 2.5

30%Over 3.5

Rijeka at home: 15-7-354:29 goals in 25 games
Varazdin at home: 12-4-935:30 goals in 25 games
Rijeka's biggest win: 4–0Rijeka 4–0 Varazdin, 25 Apr 2006
Varazdin's biggest win: 5–1Varazdin 5–1 Rijeka, 2 May 2006

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	1. HNL	Varazdin	2–0	Rijeka
22 Apr 2026	1. HNL	Varazdin	1–0	Rijeka
14 Feb 2026	1. HNL	Rijeka	3–1	Varazdin
9 Nov 2025	1. HNL	Varazdin	1–0	Rijeka
24 Aug 2025	1. HNL	Rijeka	1–2	Varazdin
13 Apr 2025	HNL	Rijeka	1–0	Varazdin
1 Feb 2025	HNL	Varazdin	1–0	Rijeka
26 Oct 2024	HNL	Rijeka	1–1	Varazdin
11 Aug 2024	HNL	Varazdin	0–0	Rijeka
11 May 2024	HNL	Varazdin	3–1	Rijeka
3 Mar 2024	HNL	Rijeka	2–0	Varazdin
25 Nov 2023	HNL	Varazdin	0–2	Rijeka
3 Sept 2023	HNL	Rijeka	2–2	Varazdin
14 May 2023	HNL	Varazdin	2–0	Rijeka
12 Mar 2023	HNL	Rijeka	3–1	Varazdin
6 Nov 2022	HNL	Varazdin	0–3	Rijeka
27 Aug 2022	HNL	Rijeka	1–2	Varazdin
16 May 2021	HNL	Varazdin	2–3	Rijeka
21 Mar 2021	HNL	Rijeka	2–0	Varazdin
23 Jan 2021	HNL	Varazdin	2–1	Rijeka

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Rijeka2W 0D 3L · goals 8–9

L27.101. HNLADin. Zagreb1–2
W20.10Croatian CupAKarlovac4–1
W16.101. HNLARudes2–1
L11.101. HNLASlaven Belupo1–4
L26.09Club FriendliesHUnion Berlin0–1

Varazdin1W 2D 2L · goals 3–4

D28.10Croatian CupHLok. Zagreb1–1
L24.101. HNLHSlaven Belupo1–2
L18.101. HNLAHajduk Split0–1
W11.101. HNLALok. Zagreb1–0
D19.091. HNLHOsijek0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

RijekaVarazdin

2.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.1Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets5

20%Failed to score30%

2-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

RijekaVarazdin

1. HNL 2026/2027 · 7 games1. HNL 2026/2027 · 8 games

1.9Goals scored1.6

1.0Goals conceded0.9

7.0Corners4.6

17.6Shots14.1

59%Possession48%

1.6Yellow cards1.5

29%Clean sheets50%

29%Failed to score25%

4-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · HNL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Din. Zagreb	10	+12	22	WWLWL
3	Varazdin	11	+5	18	LLWDD
4	Osijek	11	+3	17	LDLDW
5	Rijeka	10	+3	17	LWLWD
6	Istra 1961	11	+1	13	DLWLW

About this match

Rijeka vs Varazdin preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 16:00, Rijeka take on Varazdin in the 1. HNL.

Form · last 5 matches

RijekaLWWLL8 scored · 9 conceded

VarazdinDLLWD3 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

RijekaVarazdin

2.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.1Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

24Rijeka wins

11Draws

15Varazdin wins

50 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

What's at stake

Rijeka5th17 pts · 10 played

Varazdin3rd18 pts · 11 played

Varazdin lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Rijeka to winRijeka60%Confidence1.67Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Stadion HNK Rijeka hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Rijeka the favourite at 1.67 (51% implied), with the draw at 3.26 (26%).

Rijeka to win is our top pick for this game (60% confidence, best price 1.67).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 1.92).

Rijeka come into the game with LWWLL in their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded), while Varazdin have DLLWD (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Rijeka's recent games and 40% of Varazdin's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 40%.

Per game, Rijeka average 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Varazdin 1.2 and 0.9 (clean sheets: 5).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Rijeka 24 wins, Varazdin 15 wins, draws 11.

Those 50 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-16) ended Varazdin 2–0 Rijeka.

In the table, Rijeka are 5th (17 pts from 10 games) and Varazdin are 3rd (18 pts from 11).

Nito explains: Rijeka vs Varazdin

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Rijeka vs Varazdin mean?

The best prices are 1.67 for a Rijeka win, 3.26 for a draw and 3.79 for a Varazdin win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.67 returns 16.70 if Rijeka win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 16.9% removed) that is 51% Rijeka, 26% draw and 23% Varazdin.

What does Nito's pick "Rijeka to win" mean?

It wins only if Rijeka win; a draw or a Varazdin win loses. At 1.67, the price implies a 60% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Rijeka and Varazdin matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Rijeka's last 10 matches and 40% of Varazdin's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Rijeka reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Varazdin in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (64% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Rijeka, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (8 scored, 9 conceded). Varazdin, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Rijeka and Varazdin stand in the table?

Rijeka are 5th with 17 points from 10 games. Varazdin are 3rd with 18 points from 11 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Rijeka vs Varazdin: questions & answers

Who will win Rijeka vs Varazdin?

Our pick is Rijeka to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.67). Bookmaker odds imply Rijeka 51%, draw 26%, Varazdin 23%.

Will both teams score in Rijeka vs Varazdin?

Both teams scored in 62% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Rijeka's matches and 40% of Varazdin's.

What are the odds for Rijeka vs Varazdin?

Odds: Rijeka 1.67, draw 3.26, Varazdin 3.79. Our pick Rijeka to win is available at 1.67.

When is the Rijeka vs Varazdin kick-off?

Rijeka vs Varazdin kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 16:00 (GMT+2) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.

What is the head-to-head record between Rijeka and Varazdin?

50 meetings: Rijeka 24 wins, 11 draws, Varazdin 15 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

Other 1. HNL matches on 1 Nov

19:00Lok. ZagrebOsijek

All 1. HNL fixtures

Rijeka vs Varazdin prediction & odds

Rijeka

Varazdin

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds