Home / Norway: Eliteserien / Valerenga vs Tromso

EliteserienUpcoming

Valerenga vs Tromso prediction & odds

Valerenga

20:15

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 20:15

Tromso

Odds 1X2

1Valerenga2.52XDraw3.772Tromso2.65

Intility Arena

ValerengavsTromso

Nito’s pick1.53

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Tromso

1.53

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eliteserien
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 20:15 EET
Stadium: Intility Arena
Capacity: 18,000
City: Oslo

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Tromso70%Confidence1.53Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.53 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+5 pts)
Tromso won 2 of their last 5 (goals 9–9); Valerenga won 2 (goals 8–7)
In the table Tromso are 5th with 40 pts, Valerenga 10th with 29 pts
In 50 meetings Tromso won 13, Valerenga won 20, 17 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Valerenga38%2.52

Draw26%3.77

Tromso36%2.65

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

Valerenga2.5238%Draw3.7726%Tromso2.6536%

Double chance

Valerenga or Draw1.39Valerenga or Tromso1.23Draw or Tromso1.53

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.51.5362%Under 2.52.5238%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 16.9%

Valerenga2.6133%Draw2.3137%Tromso2.8330%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Valerenga1.9549%Tromso1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

20Valerenga wins

17Draws

13Tromso wins

Last matches: Valerenga

28.10.26NM CupenSarpsborg 08Valerenga32L
24.10.26EliteserienBodo/GlimtValerenga01W
18.10.26EliteserienValerengaBrann31W
12.10.26EliteserienKFUM OsloValerenga21L
20.09.26EliteserienValerengaFredrikstad11D

Last matches: Tromso

28.10.26NM CupenTromsoHaugesund32W

Valerenga vs Tromso: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1998: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

20Valerenga wins

17Draws

13Tromso wins

73:60Goals (Valerenga : Tromso)

2.66Goals per match

46%BTTS

70%Over 1.5

46%Over 2.5

32%Over 3.5

Valerenga at home: 15-8-246:19 goals in 25 games
Tromso at home: 11-9-541:27 goals in 25 games
Valerenga's biggest win: 4–0Valerenga 4–0 Tromso, 17 Apr 2016
Tromso's biggest win: 4–0Tromso 4–0 Valerenga, 11 Jul 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Jul 2026	Eliteserien	Tromso	4–0	Valerenga
4 Oct 2025	Eliteserien	Valerenga	1–0	Tromso
31 May 2025

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Valerenga2W 1D 2L · goals 8–7

L28.10NM CupenASarpsborg 082–3
W24.10EliteserienABodo/Glimt1–0
W18.10EliteserienHBrann3–1
L12.10EliteserienAKFUM Oslo1–2
D20.09EliteserienHFredrikstad1–1

Tromso2W 2D 1L · goals 9–9

W28.10NM CupenHHaugesund3–2
L25.10EliteserienAViking1–3
D18.10EliteserienHKFUM Oslo1–1
D11.10EliteserienAFredrikstad1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ValerengaTromso

2.4Goals scored per game1.4

1.8Goals conceded per game2.1

80%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets1

10%Failed to score30%

1-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ValerengaTromso

Eliteserien 2025 · 30 gamesEliteserien 2026 · 16 games

1.6Goals scored1.8

1.8Goals conceded1.1

5.3Corners5.4

13.9Shots13.6

48%Possession48%

1.6Yellow cards1.1

20%Clean sheets50%

13%Failed to score25%

8-4-3Home / away record (W-D-L)3-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eliteserien

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Rosenborg	24	+15	40	WWDWW
5	Tromso	24	+9	40	LDDWL
6	Lillestrom	24	+2	39	WWDLW
9	Brann	24	+2	29	LLLWL
10	Valerenga	24	-7	29	WWLDL
11	Fredrikstad	24	-12	29

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Valerenga vs Tromso preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 20:15, Valerenga take on Tromso in the Eliteserien.

Form · last 5 matches

ValerengaLWWLD8 scored · 7 conceded

TromsoWLDDW9 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ValerengaTromso

2.4Goals scored per game1.4

1.8Goals conceded per game2.1

80%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

20Valerenga wins

17Draws

13Tromso wins

50 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 46%

What's at stake

Valerenga10th29 pts · 24 played

Nito explains: Valerenga vs Tromso

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Valerenga vs Tromso mean?

The best prices are 2.52 for a Valerenga win, 3.77 for a draw and 2.65 for a Tromso win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.52 returns 25.20 if Valerenga win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 38% Valerenga, 26% draw and 36% Tromso.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Tromso" mean?

It wins if Tromso win or draw; it loses only if Valerenga win. At 1.53, the price implies a 65% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Valerenga and Tromso matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Valerenga's last 10 matches and 70% of Tromso's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 46%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Valerenga reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Tromso in 60% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (46% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Valerenga, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (8 scored, 7 conceded). Tromso, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (9 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Valerenga and Tromso stand in the table?

Valerenga are 10th with 29 points from 24 games. Tromso are 5th with 40 points from 24 games. The gap between them is 11 points.

Valerenga vs Tromso: questions & answers

Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Tromso with 70% confidence (best price 1.53). Bookmaker odds imply Valerenga 38%, draw 26%, Tromso 36%.

Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Tromso?

Both teams scored in 46% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Valerenga's matches and 70% of Tromso's.

What are the odds for Valerenga vs Tromso?

Odds: Valerenga 2.52, draw 3.77, Tromso 2.65. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Tromso is available at 1.53.

When is the Valerenga vs Tromso kick-off?

Valerenga vs Tromso kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 20:15 (GMT+2) at Intility Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Valerenga and Tromso?

50 meetings: Valerenga 20 wins, 17 draws, Tromso 13 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.

Other Eliteserien matches on 1 Nov

All Eliteserien fixtures

Valerenga vs Tromso prediction & odds

Valerenga

Tromso

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds