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Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction & odds

Crewe

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

AFC Wimbledon

Odds 1X2

1Crewe2.55XDraw3.352AFC Wimbledon2.87

CrewevsAFC Wimbledon

Nito’s pick1.81

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.81

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.81Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.81 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Crewe's last 5 and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's
Goals per game in the last 5: Crewe matches 3.4, AFC Wimbledon matches 2.3
Their 12 meetings average 3.1 goals; both teams scored in 83%

Best price 1.81 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Crewe38%2.55

Draw29%3.35

AFC Wimbledon34%2.87

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

Crewe2.5538%Draw3.3529%AFC Wimbledon2.8734%

Double chance

Crewe or Draw1.34Crewe or AFC Wimbledon1.25Draw or AFC Wimbledon1.44

Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%

Over 2.52.0048%Under 2.51.8152%

More markets (4)

1st-half resultmargin 7.2%

Crewe3.0431%Draw2.2142%AFC Wimbledon3.4427%

Draw no betmargin 6.2%

Crewe1.7753%AFC Wimbledon2.0147%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Crewe1.9649%AFC Wimbledon1.9051%

Draw No Bet (1st Half)margin 5.8%

Yes1.8950%No1.8950%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3Crewe wins

7Draws

2AFC Wimbledon wins

Last matches: Crewe

31.10.26League TwoCreweBarnet11D
24.10.26League TwoChesterfieldCrewe51L
20.10.26League TwoExeterCrewe20L
17.10.26League TwoCreweRochdale32W
10.10.26League TwoSwindonCrewe01W

Last matches: AFC Wimbledon

31.10.26League OneStockport CountyAFC Wimbledon21L

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: head-to-head record

12 meetings since 2011: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3Crewe wins

7Draws

2AFC Wimbledon wins

19:18Goals (Crewe : AFC Wimbledon)

3.08Goals per match

83%BTTS

92%Over 1.5

58%Over 2.5

42%Over 3.5

Crewe at home: 1-5-09:7 goals in 6 games
AFC Wimbledon at home: 2-2-211:10 goals in 6 games
Crewe's biggest win: 3–1Crewe 3–1 AFC Wimbledon, 15 Apr 2022
AFC Wimbledon's biggest win: 3–0AFC Wimbledon 3–0 Crewe, 11 Feb 2025

Meetings (12 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2025	League Two	AFC Wimbledon	3–0	Crewe
28 Jan 2025	League Two	Crewe	1–1	AFC Wimbledon
23 Mar 2024	League Two

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Crewe2W 1D 2L · goals 6–10

D31.10League TwoHBarnet1–1
L24.10League TwoAChesterfield1–5
L20.10League TwoAExeter0–2
W17.10League TwoHRochdale3–2
W10.10League TwoASwindon1–0

AFC Wimbledon0W 1D 4L · goals 3–13

L31.10League OneAStockport County1–2
L27.10EFL TrophyHArsenal U211–2
D24.10League OneHWycombe1–1
L20.10League OneHMansfield0–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CreweAFC Wimbledon

1.7Goals scored per game0.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

80%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score40%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CreweAFC Wimbledon

League Two 2026/2027 · 8 gamesLeague One 2026/2027 · 12 games

1.3Goals scored0.7

0.8Goals conceded1.7

5.6Corners6.0

12.9Shots11.3

50%Possession44%

1.8Yellow cards1.5

38%Clean sheets42%

13%Failed to score42%

2-3-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-5

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About this match

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon preview

FA Cup fixture: Crewe welcome AFC Wimbledon on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

CreweDLLWW6 scored · 10 conceded

AFC WimbledonLLDLL3 scored · 13 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CreweAFC Wimbledon

1.7Goals scored per game0.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

80%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

3Crewe wins

7Draws

2AFC Wimbledon wins

12 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 83%

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence1.81Price

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Crewe 2.55 (38%), draw 3.35 (29%), AFC Wimbledon 2.87 (34%).

Under 2.5 goals is our top pick for this game (60% confidence, best price 1.81).

Crewe come into the game with DLLWW in their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded), while AFC Wimbledon have LLDLL (3 scored, 13 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Crewe's recent games and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's, with both teams scoring in 80% and 50%.

Per game, Crewe average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 1), AFC Wimbledon 0.6 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 12 previous meetings: Crewe 3 wins, AFC Wimbledon 2 wins, draws 7.

Those 12 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

The last meeting (2025-02-11) ended AFC Wimbledon 3–0 Crewe.

Nito explains: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon mean?

The best prices are 2.55 for a Crewe win, 3.35 for a draw and 2.87 for a AFC Wimbledon win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.55 returns 25.50 if Crewe win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 38% Crewe, 29% draw and 34% AFC Wimbledon.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.81, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Crewe and AFC Wimbledon matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Crewe's last 10 matches and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's last 10. In their 12 recorded meetings it was 83%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Crewe reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, AFC Wimbledon in 50% of their last 10. Their 12 meetings averaged 3.1 goals (58% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Crewe, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 10 conceded). AFC Wimbledon, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (3 scored, 13 conceded).

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: questions & answers

Who will win Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?

Bookmaker odds imply Crewe 38%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 34%.

Will both teams score in Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?

Both teams scored in 83% of their 12 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Crewe's matches and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's.

What are the odds for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?

Odds: Crewe 2.55, draw 3.35, AFC Wimbledon 2.87. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.81.

When is the Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon kick-off?

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and AFC Wimbledon?

12 meetings: Crewe 3 wins, 7 draws, AFC Wimbledon 2 wins. Those 12 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction & odds

Crewe

AFC Wimbledon

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds