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Altrincham vs Notts Co prediction & odds

Altrincham

19:30
Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 19:30

Notts Co

Odds 1X2
1Altrincham4.50XDraw4.062Notts Co1.76
The J. Davidson Stadium
AltrinchamvsNotts CoNito’s pick2.12

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
2.12

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off
Stadium
The J. Davidson Stadium
Capacity
6,085
City
Altrincham, Cheshire

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.565%Confidence2.12Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 2.12 means bookmakers give it 47%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+18 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 70% of Altrincham's last 5 and 30% of Notts Co's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Altrincham matches 3.2, Notts Co matches 2.5
  • Their 7 meetings average 2.7 goals; both teams scored in 57%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Notts Co
Confidence62%
Indicative price1.76

Notts Co to win: our confidence is 62%, 5 points above the 57% the best price of 1.76 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price2.12

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 18 points above the 47% the best price of 2.12 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Altrincham21%4.50
Draw24%4.06
Notts Co55%1.76

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%
Altrincham4.5021%Draw4.0624%Notts Co1.7655%
Double chance
Altrincham or Draw1.93Altrincham or Notts Co1.18Draw or Notts Co1.13
Total goals 2.75margin 6.4%
Over 2.751.8850%Under 2.751.8850%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 5.8%
Altrincham +0.751.8651%Notts Co -0.751.9249%
1st-half resultmargin 17.0%
Altrincham3.8322%Draw2.2338%Notts Co2.1739%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Altrincham1.9450%Notts Co1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

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About this match

Altrincham vs Notts Co preview

FA Cup fixture: Altrincham welcome Notts Co on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 (19:30 kick-off).